# FBI Search and Seizure at Trump's Mar-A-Lago Residence, August 8, 2022, Case Dismissed July 15, 2024

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/fbi-search-and-seizure-at-trumps-mar-a-lago-residence-august-8-2022-case-dismissed-july-15-2024/969329>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [August 8, 2022, 11:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/fbi-search-and-seizure-at-trumps-mar-a-lago-residence-august-8-2022-case-dismissed-july-15-2024/969329 "2022-08-08T23:18:32Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 7037

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**Author:** ![Stratocaster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/stratocaster/32/16393_2.png) [@Stratocaster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Stratocaster)\
**Post date:** [July 24, 2023, 11:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/fbi-search-and-seizure-at-trumps-mar-a-lago-residence-august-8-2022-case-dismissed-july-15-2024/969329/7037 "2023-07-24T23:18:30Z")

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> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> I’m on record somewhere around here saying that I 1) don’t believe Trump will be the Republican nominee for 2024…

What leads you to predict that? Someone comes from out of nowhere (as has happened from time to time)? Some aspect of the criminal proceedings finally makes him radioactive? His health? Something else?

I ask because his base and polling lead obviously would seem to make him the presumptive favorite, the normal “it’s way early” caveat granted. I’m in no way super-confident about anything in politics these days, but if you forced me to bet the house, I’d wager Trump’s the nominee.

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