I daresay that if in less than a year, there’s enough obvious need to re-regulate and enough political pressure to force re-regulation by this president and this congress (presumably still in power), then this is evidence in itself that dropping Net Neutrality was a bad idea. If you’re suggesting you could claim vindication somehow, I’m not seeing it.
Re-regulation in the next ten years… well, I suppose that depends on whether or not the Democrats (I assume) are re-regulating just for political show or if a genuine and obvious need has arisen, and not to address some weird unexpected technical problem that nobody could’ve reasonably seem coming, but to address issues that have been discussed and predicted in this thread and similar discussions elsewhere.
The caveats are my effort to be fair, but I suppose they make the post hard to read. Let me try:
Definition of “re-regulation” : a restoration of Net Neutrality or something very much like it, imposed on the major carriers. Minor tweaks here and there, I wouldn’t count.
Scenario 1: Re-regulation occurs within the next year. I assume this current government will still be in power and if the demand for re-regulation is so great that they have to accept it, then killing NN was an obvious failure.
Scenario 2: There are obvious problems calling out for re-regulation, but this president and this congress will not re-regulate. Judgement call, and I’d expect discussions of how serious these problems actually are.
Scenario 3: The Democrats take back the House in 2018, but not the Senate. The House demands re-regulation but can’t get it passed. Same result as Scenario 2.
Scenario 4: The Democrats retake Congress in 2018. They pass regulation but it gets vetoed by Trump. Does he have a good reason? Are there signs the loss of NN are positive?
Scenario 5: Same as 4, but Trump signs the bill. I’d take this as a sign killing NN was a failure.
Scenario 6: Sometime in the next decade, a major carrier completely collapses because of Enron-style commodity trading gone wild. Clear sign that killing NN was a bad idea.
I’m open to other scenario ideas, and if as in #4 there are signs that killing NN has a positive effect, I’m sure these will come to light by and by. Maybe in ten years there will be enough wireless broadband available that the U.S. in 2027 (at least in the urban centers) has internet capabilities close to what South Korea enjoyed in 2010.
Anyway, the presumption that one’s opponents are playing “heads I win, tails don’t count” is among the sourest of grapes.