Feds seize bitcoins - how & what then?

Actually if the feds want to hurt Bitcoins they need to re-release the coins back into circulation, thus driving down the value.

Deflation is bad only insofar as it exists against the common currency you are operating with. Few get paid in bitcoins and they are used for only a very narrow set of transactions within any economy. Bitcoins are a lot like precious metals in an economy with fiat currency. Mostly harmless, insofar as deflation is concerned.

The best way for the Feds to both use the bitcoins to their advantage and to reduce the perceived value of bitcoins is to start using the acquired bitcoins in sting operations.

Reading about the seizure made me wonder, does anyone know what do the authorities do with the cash they seize in a drug bust say? Do they keep it? Destroy it?

Good point.

After the trial, it’s seized and spent.

Go after who? Bitcoin isn’t a company, or a physical thing. It’s a distributed currency. There’s nobody to go after.

ETA: as I understand it the bitcoins seized in the raid were being held in escrow by SilkRoad. They’re essentially money that has been spent by people trying to buy drugs being kept in a dedicated account until those drugs arrive.

Sigh. No. Bitcoins can’t be remined, as I said repeatedly.

With the key, yes. With the server image, no. Unless the key was stored on the server image, which would be a supremely stupid (and completely pointless) thing to do. As for the gov transferring the money, I believe they have already done this, haven’t checked the blockchain myself but everyone in the resurrected bitcointalk forums says so.

It wouldn’t do very much, it’s some 20k bitcoins out of over 10 million.

Right.

Right – although there’s dispute about the “who” part. That is, if “who” is a number, yes. Attributing that number to an individual is possible if the person wasn’t very very careful. However, a careful (and capable) enough person might be able to avoid any traces.

The wallet would be password-protected, unless those holding the wallet are foolish. If someone has the data and is really good at crypto and has the processing resources and the password wasn’t terribly strong, it might be recoverable.

Deflation as a general rule is a terrible thing for a national or world economy, because it encourages hoarding rather than investment. However, bitcoins aren’t a dominant currency, they’re at most a hedge, and a deflationary hedge might just be ideal to drive the value up: it encourages hoarding the bitcoins, and the more people hoard them (and want to hoard them) the more valuable they become. So, bad for sawbucks, good for bitcoins.

If they report the keys, whover was quickest at spending them would win. I don’t believe there’s a way to destroy them. The most they could do is transfer them to the same account, and state that all bitcoins on that account would never be transferred again (the new keys go to the bit bucket). I doubt the transaction records for those keys would get deleted, so it’d really be no different than simply deleting the original keys, except maybe people would know exactly which ones went to limbo.

That doesn’t solve anything, it just raises the value of the ones already in circulation. The only thing that can ruin bitcoins is lack of confidence, which is what they may be trying to do here

Money has two purposes which are related, store of value and medium of exchange. The store of value of bitcoins is that inflation is supposedly impossible because only 21 million will ever be created. Not spending the seized bitcoins will make the others slightly more valuable. However, the primary function of money is medium of exchange. The fewer bitcoins that are being circulated the fewer people will be willing to take them and the fewer people that will be willing to spend them. This downward spiral would destroy bitcoins value as a medium of exchange. If they are no longer useful as a medium of exchange then they lose their use as a store of value. It is impossible to inflate confederate money as well but it is still worthless. What the Silk Road bust proves is that anonymity in online transactions is harder than people thought and if these types of websites are the primary marketplace where bitcoins are used, then bitcoins may be in trouble.