# Florida polls: Now Bush is up by 1% in two different ones.

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/florida-polls-now-bush-is-up-by-1-in-two-different-ones/272447>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [November 2, 2004, 12:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/florida-polls-now-bush-is-up-by-1-in-two-different-ones/272447 "2004-11-02T00:07:09Z")\
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**Author:** ![rfgdxm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c0e974/32.png) [@rfgdxm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rfgdxm)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 3:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/florida-polls-now-bush-is-up-by-1-in-two-different-ones/272447/18 "2004-11-02T03:44:40Z")

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> [@Sam Stone](#):
>
> There are two margins of error we have to consider here. The first is the mathematical margin of error of the poll given a certain sample size. The other, which is far more important, is the error built in to the assumptions of the pollster and the information they are missing completely.

[http://www.electoral-vote.com/index.html](http://www.electoral-vote.com/index.html)

Scroll down the page to the final 2000 national poll results. While Gore was just slightly higher in the final popular vote, only 2 polls had Gore ahead, with 2 tied. This suggests to me that however the pollsters were doing things in 2000, they had a sample that was skewed Republican. Perhaps younger voters hang up on pollsters more than older people? With the cell phone factor missing a lot more younger voters than in 2000, this may skew the poll sample even more Republican.

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