# Football Outsiders' Playoff Odds, as of Week 10

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/football-outsiders-playoff-odds-as-of-week-10/673797>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [November 13, 2013, 7:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/football-outsiders-playoff-odds-as-of-week-10/673797 "2013-11-13T07:05:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2013, 7:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/football-outsiders-playoff-odds-as-of-week-10/673797/1 "2013-11-13T07:05:30Z")

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[For those of you who like numbers and simulations.](http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds)

Inexact, to be sure (last year, a team beat 4.5% odds given by this system to get into the playoffs), but kind of interesting to think about nonetheless.

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**Author:** ![zoog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/7ea924/32.png) [@zoog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zoog)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2013, 6:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/football-outsiders-playoff-odds-as-of-week-10/673797/2 "2013-11-13T18:55:59Z")

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At a glance, I like the Packers to beat their 21.9% odds here to get in if Rodgers can be back in time for Thanksgiving (if he’s out much longer than that, they’re screwed), and the Ravens chances are probably a little underrated at 14%.

On the other side of the coin - as much as I hate to say it, I don’ t think the Bears really have a 39.3% chance at getting in, and I think that the Cowboys are way overrated at 59.5% (but I guess somebody has to win that division).