Ignorance fought.
I foolishly thought that 82 points was what a .500 team would get, and of course more than half the teams make the playoffs (16 of 30) so there’d always be someone in with 82 points. Looking over last year’s standings, it’s clear that the Overtime Loss points greatly skew the point totals.
If there were only wins and losses, there’d by 2460 total points earned league-wide, and a perfectly average team (.500) would get 82. (2460 / 30)
Last year there were 2761 points earned league-wide, meaning the perfectly average team (.500) would get 92 points. And since more than half the teams make the playoffs, 92 points should easily make it. While 92 points would have just missed the Western Conference playoffs by 1 spot, it would have beaten out three teams in the Eastern Conference playoffs to sit comfortably in the 6 seed.
With 301 Overtime Loss points last year, the extra 10 points per team is what makes a winless 82 point team unlikely to make the playoffs.