# For volcano watchers - maybe you'll get lucky! {Kilauea may be erupting} **URL:** \ **Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\ **Created:** [September 5, 2023, 8:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665 "2023-09-05T20:52:19Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 27
**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\ **Post date:** [March 11, 2026, 5:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/521 "2026-03-11T17:16:55Z")
Now with the sun up, all three cameras are just blanketed with fog. @CairoCarol, what’s the word on the island? ---
**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\ **Post date:** [March 11, 2026, 7:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/522 "2026-03-11T19:03:13Z")
> [@Maus\_Magill](#): > > what’s the word on the island? I don’t know whether the current fog is related - it may not be - but the entire state is under a severe weather warning going into the next few days. Supposedly the rain/wind/lightning will be worst on the Big Island by Friday, and it’s only Wednesday today. 40 miles north of the volcano where I am, it’s a bit cloudy, but nothing unusual. ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 11, 2026, 11:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/523 "2026-03-11T23:24:44Z")
Here a few hours later, roughly 1330 HT on Wed 3/11, the fog has lifted enough to see the vents are steaming / smoking profusely and there’s a dim, but unmistakable orange glow under them. ---
**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 10:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/524 "2026-03-12T10:57:34Z")
Here’s a video showing a time lapse of the whole Kilauea incident from 3/10/2026 from the B1 cam… [![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/hBiiqvVGO84/maxresdefault.jpg "B1cam A 2026 03 10 4K timelapse Kīlauea volcano, Hawaii @usgs") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBiiqvVGO84) I didn’t know there was a B1 cam ! I don’t know if it’s the same as [this one](https://youtu.be/6IaMqotNF_s) because it’s currently dark ! ---
**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 12:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/525 "2026-03-12T12:23:37Z")
Annotated video of webcam destruction: [![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/AGTm4XW9Jzk/maxresdefault.jpg "Watch Kilauea's Webcam Get Destroyed by Falling Volcanic Bombs") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AGTm4XW9Jzk) Brian ---
**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 1:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/526 "2026-03-12T13:39:58Z")
The Cameras: [![](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/55142630462_371ac94ccb_b.jpg) ](https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/55142630462_371ac94ccb_b.jpg) ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 3:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/527 "2026-03-12T15:53:58Z")
Great map; thank you. I’d been struggling a bit to triangulate where they all are/were/will be again. If B1 is a vid cam it’d be neat if its stream was also available on YT. ---
**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 6:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/528 "2026-03-12T18:42:39Z")
Thanks. And B1 has sound - which sounds like V1 ! ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 8:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/529 "2026-03-12T20:25:57Z")
Hmm. If anyone has a url for a livestream from B1 cam please share. From what I can find at the HVO website, B1 is a still cam that shoots every so often (maybe half-hourly?). See **[Kīlauea | U.S. Geological Survey](https://www.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea)** and click the B1 cam icon on the map. ---
**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 8:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/530 "2026-03-12T20:32:56Z")
It was that link I mentioned above. [![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/6IaMqotNF_s/maxresdefault.jpg "🔴 Live Now: 24/7 Kilauea Volcano Livestream in Hawaii (Cam B)") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6IaMqotNF_s) ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 8:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/531 "2026-03-12T20:41:27Z")
D’oh, thank you. I saw the time lapse vid that was in-lined, but completely missed the url hidden behind the innocuous words “this one”. Oops on me. 🤦‍♂️ For the record, here is the YouTube link for the B1 Cam livestream with sound: `https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6IaMqotNF_s` which previews here at SDMB as @pjd shows just above. ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 20, 2026, 9:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/532 "2026-03-20T21:29:06Z")
Two items: - Today NASA has released a neat satellite image of the most recent eruption episode: **[Restless Kīlauea Launches Lava and Ash - NASA Science](https://science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-observatory/restless-kilauea-launches-lava-and-ash/)**. An interesting factoid presented in the article is that in the roughly year and a half this eruption has been going off and on, it’s added about 300 feet of lava depth to the crater floor. That’s a lot. Which causes me to wonder how much taller it can get before the current crater lip is reached. Although is seems there’s an inner and an outer crater, and even if it fills the inner crater, there’s a lot more room in the outer crater before lava is cascading down the outsides and into the jungles and towns. - HVO issued a fresh bulletin today: **[USGS Volcano Notice - DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-20T18:30:49+00:00](https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans-public/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-20T18:30:49+00:00)**. They now estimate the next episode is “due” around Apr 1 to 10. The estimate range typically tightens down as conditions ripen before the next episode begins. We’re getting warmer! Albeit slowly for now. ---
**Author:** ![markn\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f9ae1b/32.png) [@markn\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/markn_1)\ **Post date:** [March 20, 2026, 10:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/533 "2026-03-20T22:02:44Z")
I don’t think there are any towns downslope from Halema’uma’u. If a lava flow escaped the crater it would flow down about 10 miles and then into the ocean. And I think most of that path isn’t even jungle, I think it’s almost all fairly recent lava flows that haven’t revegetated yet. ETA Map of recent Kilauea flows. [![](https://d9-wret.s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/assets/palladium/production/s3fs-public/media/images/MicrosoftTeams-image%20%2815%29_3.png) ](https://d9-wret.s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/assets/palladium/production/s3fs-public/media/images/MicrosoftTeams-image%20%2815%29_3.png) ETA2 Actually looking at that map, I’ll moderate my statement a bit. A number of recent flows traveled east all the way to Puna. I’m not sure if they orginated in Halema’uma’u though. ---
**Author:** ![smithsb](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smithsb/32/12107_2.png) [@smithsb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/smithsb)\ **Post date:** [March 20, 2026, 11:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/534 "2026-03-20T23:34:38Z")
All of them originated there, just not overflowing the crater. There are rift zones to the east where the latest heavy destruction of property/homes happened. Also zones to the south. As the crater /magma chamber fills; it puts pressure on the channels in these rift zones. The previous flows have surface hardened but the deeper parts are still hot and capable of flowing slowly. In the 2018 eruption, the first scenes were the “old” lava being pushed out as giant crumbling walls of hot rocks. As the eruption progressed, the new very liquid magma surfaced and you saw the running rivers of red burying neighborhoods, filling fresh water lakes, an entire bay. Mauna Loa erupts the same way; leaks out the sides as the magma chamber fills to a certain point. ---
**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2026, 2:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/535 "2026-03-21T02:42:12Z")
> [@smithsb](#): > > As the eruption progressed, the new very liquid magma surfaced and you saw the running rivers of red burying neighborhoods, filling fresh water lakes, an entire bay. Yes! It was slo-mo drama at times - “will the flow reach these homes, or won’t it?” > [@smithsb](#): > > Mauna Loa erupts the same way; leaks out the sides as the magma chamber fills to a certain point. During the most recent Mauna Loa eruption, there was a low level of concern regarding some homes that were in the path of the flow, IF the flow was more voluminous and energetic. In the event, nothing bad happened. ---
**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2026, 1:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/536 "2026-03-21T13:37:22Z")
It seems that only V3 is working ! (Btw, @CairoCarol - I hope you are safe from all the flooding !) ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2026, 4:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/537 "2026-03-21T16:16:22Z")
The bulletin I cited from Mar 20 says that V1 is still destroyed from the last episode and hasn’t been fixed yet, while V2 has since suffered a power outage. No word on expected repair times on either. ---
**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2026, 6:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/538 "2026-03-21T18:14:21Z")
> [@pjd](#): > > (Btw, @CairoCarol - I hope you are safe from all the flooding !) Thanks, we are safe, for a variety of topographical/geographical reasons. It’s not impossible that we’ll ever face repercussions from severe storms (overflowing culverts, landslides, and downed trees have occasionally caused temporary access problems to our house, maybe 2-3 times in the past 25 years), but without going into boring detail, the location and elevation of our home means that as long as we stay stocked up enough to endure a few days of being trapped at home without county electricity or water (we do), we are not at much risk. ---
**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\ **Post date:** [March 22, 2026, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/539 "2026-03-22T01:16:08Z")
> [@CairoCarol](#): > > we are safe Glad to hear it ! Where else would we get the latest gossip on Pele ?! ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 25, 2026, 5:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/540 "2026-03-25T17:59:54Z")
HVO’s latest news dated 3/24 (**[USGS Volcano Notice - DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-24T18:05:52+00:00](https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans-public/notice/DOI-USGS-HVO-2026-03-24T18:05:52+00:00)**) says V1 cam, V2 cam, and several other instruments are offline. We know V1 was directly whacked by the last episode’s tephra fall. I wonder what event(s) took out the rest of their failed equipment? They’re now estimating the next eruptive event between Apr 3 and 13, but with extra uncertainty for lack of their usual data. Overnight last night orange glow was periodically visible in the V3 cam. Such fun! As the kids’ game has it: We’re getting warmer … [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665.md?page=26) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665.md?page=28)