# For volcano watchers - maybe you'll get lucky! {Kilauea may be erupting}

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [September 5, 2023, 8:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665 "2023-09-05T20:52:19Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\
**Post date:** [October 7, 2023, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/61 "2023-10-07T00:40:40Z")

</div>

The YouTube feed looks to me about the same as it was during the eruption prior to the most recent one. For the latest one, they adjusted the view to get a closer look at the vents erupting then.

I don’t know precisely where the current area of interest is located, but if I’m not mistaken, the camera looks eastward, then veers to look to the south. There is SOME view of the land to the south of the crater at that point, so we might see a glow if it starts to erupt. I’m only guessing, though. As someone pointed out earlier in this thread, if there is an interesting view (ie, an eruption) not currently covered by a camera, they’ll most likely adjust.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2023, 9:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/62 "2023-10-09T21:30:19Z")

</div>

Definitely acting like an eruption could start at any time. For those who like to watch the summit crater live, [here is the YouTube feed](https://www.youtube.com/usgs/live) again. I’m not sure the camera is aimed to get the best view of a new eruption, based on where they say the inflation is happening, but that’s just a guess on my part.

Geologists are usually careful to note that it’s hard to predict with a high degree of certainty what will happen when, but they are paying close attention and part of Hawai’i Volcanoes National Park has been closed off for now. From our local paper today:

> The area just south of Kilauea volcano’s summit continues to show signs of unrest, and inflation remains at about its highest level in more than five years and has nearly returned to the level seen just before the last eruption on Sept. 10, the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory reported this morning.
> 
> Elevated seismicity beneath Kilauea’s summit region, which began Oct. 4, increased again around 8 p.m. Sunday night after about 18 hours of moderate to low earthquake counts.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 1:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/63 "2023-10-16T01:24:03Z")

</div>

Well, fiddlesticks! From today’s update:

> Earthquake and ground deformation rates beneath the southern part of Kīlauea’s summit caldera and extending to the southwest have decreased dramatically over the past several days, suggesting the intrusive event that began last week is coming to an end.
> 
> **Summit Observations:** The major intrusive event that has been ongoing beneath the area extending from the southern part of Kīlauea caldera southwest to the Koaʻe fault zone appears to have slowed significantly or stopped. A dramatic drop in earthquakes, from a peak of over 250 per day last week, to only 23 recorded in the past 24 hours.

Still, there seems to be a bit of activity brewing in Halema’uma’u crater now. Fingers crossed that it amounts to something, as that’s the best spot for eruptions right now in terms of. both community safety and live/digital viewing.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 1:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/64 "2023-10-16T13:57:45Z")

</div>

Doesn’t sound very intrusive to me !

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TriPolar](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripolar/32/3008_2.png) [@TriPolar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TriPolar)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 1:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/65 "2023-10-16T13:57:54Z")

</div>

Volcanoes are notorious teasers.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 2:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/66 "2023-10-16T14:03:56Z")

</div>

I’d been watching the seismic activity dwindle the last couple of days. I figured Madam Pelé was going back to sleep.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/67 "2023-10-16T18:08:23Z")

</div>

I got excited when i went to the volcano webcam and saw this :-  
[![](https://i.ibb.co/tz87W4r/Volcano.jpg) ](https://i.ibb.co/tz87W4r/Volcano.jpg)  
But on closer inspection, it appears that those new “lava pools” are some sort  
of illusion. They disappear when the camera pans across. And they appear to be  
floating…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 6:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/68 "2023-10-16T18:23:56Z")

</div>

Yep, that is an artifact on the camera lens that happens fairly often. It freaked me out the first time I saw it too!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 7:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/69 "2023-10-16T19:02:37Z")

</div>

Ah yes - the livecam lens flair. It gets me every morning.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [October 16, 2023, 8:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/70 "2023-10-16T20:06:48Z")

</div>

I think it’s probably aliens. I’d link to the thread about that, but I don’t think the volcano thread would be improved by some single-issue posters following the backlink to here. So consider this your virtual linky-link.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2023, 1:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/71 "2023-11-03T13:30:58Z")

</div>

I logged on this morning to check earthquake activity around Kilauea (It has been slowing down significantly for the last couple of days.), and noticed that between midnight and four in the morning (CDT) there are a bunch of little quakes (11 or 12) just under Mauna Loa’s crater. They were mostly within three miles of the surface. Most of the activity was between two and three (CDT).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\
**Post date:** [November 22, 2023, 1:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/72 "2023-11-22T01:13:02Z")

</div>

Pele is teasing us again! Quakes are way up south of the Halema’uma;u crater as I write (54 in the last 24 hours, compared to usually 4-15, or maybe 20, for a lot of recent days).

They’ve closed Chain of Craters Road. Please please please Pele, give us a Thanksgiving Day spectacle!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 22, 2023, 1:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/73 "2023-11-22T01:20:09Z")

</div>

Dang! Right now the camera is useless; it appears to have heavy rain covering the lens cover so all we see is a gray golfball-like pocked surface.

Hey Pele; at least wait a couple hours until the rain moves off and the water evaporates so we can watch…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 22, 2023, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/74 "2023-11-22T02:07:35Z")

</div>

Here 90 minutes later enough water has left the camera enclosure that we can see sorta. The amount of steam coming out of vents, and the number of active vents is lots more than a few days ago when I last looked.

I don’t know how common that is, but it’s probably a sign that things are getting more interesting not that far below the crater surface. Whether the trend keeps getting more interesting or settles back down is the big question.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\
**Post date:** [November 22, 2023, 2:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/75 "2023-11-22T14:24:57Z")

</div>

She needs to hold on until Monday, so I can be closer to my computer.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![pjd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pjd/32/3009_2.png) [@pjd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pjd)\
**Post date:** [November 22, 2023, 7:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/76 "2023-11-22T19:09:52Z")

</div>

> [@LSLGuy](#):
>
> The amount of steam coming out of vents, and the number of active vents is lots more than a few days ago when I last looked.

Could that just be because it’s been raining ? More water = more steam.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mollie\_Magill](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mollie_magill/32/20882_2.png) [@Mollie\_Magill](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mollie_Magill)\
**Post date:** [November 22, 2023, 8:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/77 "2023-11-22T20:28:09Z")

</div>

The steam looks like it is venting from more cracks than last week.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\
**Post date:** [November 23, 2023, 1:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/78 "2023-11-23T01:39:38Z")

</div>

::Shakes fist at Pele::

Things are calming down again, though the number of quakes is still elevated from where it has been for a while. But less than at the latest peak.

On the steaminess - usually I check [the thermal camera](https://www.usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/f1cam-halemaumau-thermal-image-west-rim-summit-caldera-looking-east) to see if the crater is heating up, but that camera has been down for quite some time. I’m sure they’ll fix it at some point.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 23, 2023, 3:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/79 "2023-11-23T03:48:20Z")

</div>

> [@CairoCarol](#):
>
> I’m sure they’ll fix it at some point.

Right after the government is fully funded again. Washington morons!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![snfaulkner](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snfaulkner/32/433_2.png) [@snfaulkner](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/snfaulkner)\
**Post date:** [November 23, 2023, 7:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665/80 "2023-11-23T07:29:47Z")

</div>

[![](https://frinkiac.com/meme/S05E17/503602.jpg?b64lines=IExPT0tTIExJS0UgVEhPU0UgQ0xPV05TIAogSU4gQ09OR1JFU1MgRElEIElUIEFHQUlOLiAKIFdIQVQgQSBCVU5DSCBPRiBDTE9XTlMu) ](https://frinkiac.com/meme/S05E17/503602.jpg?b64lines=IExPT0tTIExJS0UgVEhPU0UgQ0xPV05TIAogSU4gQ09OR1JFU1MgRElEIElUIEFHQUlOLiAKIFdIQVQgQSBCVU5DSCBPRiBDTE9XTlMu)

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665.md?page=3)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/for-volcano-watchers-maybe-youll-get-lucky-kilauea-may-be-erupting/989665.md?page=5)
