# Frontrunners for Democratic presidential nomination in 2028

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 16, 2025, 6:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036 "2025-01-16T06:50:54Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 74

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 2:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1461 "2026-02-17T14:35:54Z")

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If you really believe the WSJ would have written a critical opinion article if JD Vance, or even Newsom, gave that same answer at a security conference, or that you yourself would have echoed it, then I think we’re living in different universes. “Politician gives generic answer” is not remotely a political story, much less worth an opinion column at a major paper.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 2:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1462 "2026-02-17T14:39:11Z")

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> [@iiandyiiii](#):
>
> If you really believe the WSJ would have written a critical opinion article if JD Vance, or even Newsom, gave that same answer at a security conference, or that you yourself would have echoed it, then I think we’re living in different universes. “Politician gives generic answer” is not remotely a political story, much less worth an opinion column at a major paper

Ok. Do you have a different example of AOC speaking about the Taiwan issue that demonstrates some level of foreign policy competence? I’d find that about a hundred times more persuasive than complaining about the WSJ not liking AOC.

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 2:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1463 "2026-02-17T14:42:07Z")

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I’m not going to waste any time on this kind of bullshit. “Politician gives generic answer” is not remotely worth discussing.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 2:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1464 "2026-02-17T14:50:47Z")

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Cool, let’s go back to discussing how Newsom does in fact stand for something, in this case green energy and California’s economic prosperity:

> **[Newsom signs California-UK clean energy pact](https://www.politico.eu/article/newsom-signs-california-uk-clean-energy-pact/)**
>
> The deal includes greater collaboration on offshore windfarms — a great bugbear of Donald Trump.

We can add _continuing to ensure California’s place as the world’s fourth largest economy even through Trump tariffs and similar challenges_ as one of the many, many incredible things that Gavin Newsom stands for.

_Ensuring California’s transition to clean energy continues unabated despite Trump’s disastrous federal policy_ is another.

It’s great to see a presidential hopeful who is actively continuing to get shit done, even under Trump, while awaiting the 2028 campaign season.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 4:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1465 "2026-02-17T16:17:32Z")

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What I want is someone who can win and also wants to do most of the things that I want done. I hope other Democrats are looking at that as their foremost goal. Why Democrats don’t win the presidency as often as they should, in my opinion, is that Democratic voters want their candidate to check every box while Republicans only care if their candidate checks the one box they most care about. For example:

Republican voter: “Well, DJT is a crude son of a bitch, but he’s against abortion so he has my vote.”

Democratic voter: “Well, Harris seems smart and all, but I just don’t know enough about her policies on [whiny voice/] _the economy_ [/whiny voice].

Does Newsom agree with me on everything? No. Does he agree with me on most things? Yes. Do I think AOC would make a good president? Yes. Do I think she could win? No. Ditto for Whitmer. Note that the US elected the most evil person it has ever produced twice, each time against a female candidate. Let’s get someone sane elected for a couple cycles, take the House, take the Senate, make some judicial appointments so we no longer have the Supreme Court Republicans Of The United Maga States- then we’ll see if the country is ready to elect a female.

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**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 5:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1466 "2026-02-17T17:06:09Z")

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I’m hoping for - but not at all expecting - a Democratic candidate who will truly grab the economy by the horns on the household level - making inflation, the soaring cost of living, soaring cost of everything, his No. 1 priority and hammer it over and over again. However bad things may be in 2026 in terms of making financial ends meet, it’s only going to be doubly worse for Americans by November 2028.

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 5:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1467 "2026-02-17T17:19:01Z")

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I think this can be done successfully if everything is tied to blaming the ultra-wealthy (which I think is both largely accurate and a political winner). “Inflation is bad because the ultra-wealthy benefit from it by abc…” “Health care is too expensive because of preferred policies xyz of the ultra-wealthy…” etc. Pretty much everything can and should be blamed on the ultra-wealthy.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 9:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1468 "2026-02-17T21:33:58Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> AOC has been brought up, although I’m not sure if she’s planning a run in 2028.

> [@Babale](#):
>
> AOC is a relatively fresh politician and foreign policy is one area in particular is an area she has zero experience in

> [@Babale](#):
>
> AOC is a very smart person, I’m sure that she _does_ know about Taiwan; but she utterly failed to communicate any of that knowledge in her answer.

She is a contender, but I think she needs more experience.

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Why Democrats don’t win the presidency as often as they should, in my opinion, is that Democratic voters want their candidate to check every box while Republicans only care if their candidate checks the one box they most care about. For example:
> 
> Republican voter: “Well, DJT is a crude son of a bitch, but he’s against abortion so he has my vote.”
> 
> Democratic voter: “Well, Harris seems smart and all, but I just don’t know enough about her policies on [whiny voice/] _the economy_ [/whiny voice].
> 
> Does Newsom agree with me on everything? No. Does he agree with me on most things? Yes. Do I think AOC would make a good president? Yes. Do I think she could win? No.

Right. Yes, Newsom- in a podcast- once said a line that is middle of the road, but not 100% pro trans youth. But what he has actually done for the LGBT++ community is way above what any other politician actually has. He walks the walk, even if sometimes when he talks there is a something not that good.

> [@Velocity](#):
>
> I’m hoping for - but not at all expecting - a Democratic candidate who will truly grab the economy by the horns on the household level - making inflation, the soaring cost of living, soaring cost of everything, his No. 1 priority and hammer it over and over again.

The Oval Office has very little control over Inflation, as trump found out, despite his lies that he could basically fix it with a stroke of the pen. Biden instituted programs that slowly decreased inflation, from the high % he inherited from trump. But yes- that needs to be made clear to the Voters (Harris didnt),

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 10:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1469 "2026-02-17T22:58:17Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> That’s not, of course, the criticism of AOC being cited. Ignore the "um"s and she still basically said “We want to avoid war and will use economic leverage to do it”.

…And what’s wrong with that? She didn’t manage to solve the whole situation with one insightful bon mot? It’s an inherently very difficult situation, that doesn’t allow for easy answers. But “we want to avoid war and will use economic leverage to do it” is at least the start of a solution.

Can you cite anyone, anywhere, who’s done any better on Taiwan?

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**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 11:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1470 "2026-02-17T23:29:27Z")

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And it’s not up to her, it’s to to Trump. She was no doubt struggling to say something that wasn’t going to proven untrue by fearless leader.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [February 17, 2026, 11:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1471 "2026-02-17T23:55:14Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> Can you cite anyone, anywhere, who’s done any better on Taiwan?

Joe Biden?

> [@](#):
>
> In an interview with the CBS news show 60 Minutes that aired on Sunday, Biden was asked if U.S. forces would defend Taiwan — a self-ruled democracy that sits roughly 100 miles off the Chinese coast and is claimed by Beijing as part of China.
> 
> “Yes, if in fact, there was an unprecedented attack,” Biden replied.

[https://www.npr.org/2022/09/19/1123759127/biden-again-says-u-s-would-help-taiwan-if-china-attacks](https://www.npr.org/2022/09/19/1123759127/biden-again-says-u-s-would-help-taiwan-if-china-attacks)

Obama has given some extremely clear answers on that as well.

> [@puzzlegal](#):
>
> And it’s not up to her, it’s to to Trump.

She was asked what the US would but also what it _should_ do. If Newsom is asked what position the US should take on a foreign policy question, do you think he would answer based on what Trump would do? Or would he pitch his own view on the topic?

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**Author:** ![ZosterSandstorm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/e0b2c6/32.png) [@ZosterSandstorm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ZosterSandstorm)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1472 "2026-02-18T00:06:22Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Democratic voter: “Well, Harris seems smart and all, but I just don’t know enough about her policies on [whiny voice/] _the economy_ [/whiny voice].

You don’t need to persuade _Democrats_ to vote for the Democratic nominee. Democrats voted for Haris in the 2024 general election even though they had universally rejected her in the 2020 primary and she was a remarkably bad candidate by any standard besides the rather low bar of “being better than Donald Trump.”

You also don’t need to waste time on far leftists, who will call whoever the candidate is “Genocide AOC” or whatever and find some reason to work as the left arm of Trumpism for the fourth straight cycle. There is no way to avoid this and only ground to be gained among centrists by denouncing it.

You need to persuade independent persuadable voters - the people who actually did vote Obama-Trump-Biden-Trump in the last four elections. They will determine what happens in swing states, and I suspect you know pretty well what they care about even if you don’t like it.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1473 "2026-02-18T00:15:34Z")

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My concerns with both AOC and Newsom are that they are galvanizing figures to both the Right (such as it is) and MAGA. Run either AOC or Newsom, and you inflame the passions of the opposition to get out there and vote against them.

I think we will be in more of a Biden moment again in 2028. Most people don’t even know the worst about Trump. They just want Teh Crazy™ to stop.

That’s why I am more supportive of Kelly. He’s got a great story, he’s tough and as I previously said, he has crossover appeal. He’s experienced and competent. Also fearless. I think a “sexy” Democratic candidate will not work in 2028. People have had enough of being yanked hard right or left – or at least, thinking they are. A steady, calming influence is what I believe will work best, appeal the most and keep the entreaties for votes by MAGA at bay.

Kelly needs to up his public speaking game. But that’s easily done with coaching, and he has time.

And of course it’s very early. I’m far more invested in the mid-terms at this point.

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1474 "2026-02-18T00:15:58Z")

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[https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/17/us/california-wealth-tax-opposition-bernie-sanders.html?unlocked\_article\_code=1.M1A.qU51.qYnluD6zcpxG&smid=url-share](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/17/us/california-wealth-tax-opposition-bernie-sanders.html?unlocked_article_code=1.M1A.qU51.qYnluD6zcpxG&smid=url-share)

“Gov. Gavin Newsom, crypto executives and business leaders are ramping up efforts this week to stop the proposed wealth tax…”

What courage to work with crypto executives against a tax on the ultra wealthy!

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1475 "2026-02-18T00:16:06Z")

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Meanwhile, Cory Booker is apparently trying to write himself out of contention, given that he’s now posting about how much better off America was under (checks notes) George W. Bush.

[![](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:mx4nzus45ho7dciimoyozkjp/bafkreidgm6vk6ugqxzv74xc5tja3rqx5h3u3jlkyyew7mfgjnkizobxqcq@jpeg) ](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:mx4nzus45ho7dciimoyozkjp/bafkreidgm6vk6ugqxzv74xc5tja3rqx5h3u3jlkyyew7mfgjnkizobxqcq@jpeg)

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1476 "2026-02-18T00:19:31Z")

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> [@iiandyiiii](#):
>
> “Gov. Gavin Newsom, crypto executives and business leaders are ramping up efforts this week to stop the proposed wealth tax…”

A wealth tax would be absolutely disastrous, especially if it’s passed only in one state. Gavin is absolutely right to oppose this measure.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1477 "2026-02-18T00:21:14Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Meanwhile, Cory Booker is apparently trying to write himself out of contention, given that he’s now posting about how much better off America was under (checks notes) George W. Bush.

America _absolutely was_ better off under Bush than it is now _under Trump_. If Booker is writing himself out of contention by acknowledging objective reality, our country is doomed.

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**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1478 "2026-02-18T00:25:26Z")

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I mean, he’s right? Booker was specifically highlighting the fact that Bush, a **Republican** president, could speak with class and dignity. He wasn’t saying Bush was good, so much as he was saying, “Hey, our current Republican president is a lot shittier than our last Republican president.”

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1479 "2026-02-18T00:29:01Z")

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> [@Velocity](#):
>
> Booker was specifically highlighting the fact that Bush, a **Republican** president, could speak with class and dignity.

…I’m not sure you and I are remembering the same George W. Bush.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 12:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/1013036/1480 "2026-02-18T00:37:28Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> …I’m not sure you and I are remembering the same George W. Bush

Could you link the clip that Booker was responding to so that we can all decide for ourselves if it showcases any amount of “dignity and grace” as labeled on the video or “decency” as described by Booker?

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