# Georgia senate runoff elections. Let’s debate and make predictions

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 7, 2020, 11:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015 "2020-11-07T23:16:43Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 18

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/341 "2021-01-06T04:32:02Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> This is an easy way to pick up cash

Well, but no way to pick up cash - that’s what I was saying - the probability of her objecting was essentially tracking exactly neck-and-neck with the probability of her losing.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/342 "2021-01-06T04:32:25Z")

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> [@thorny\_locust](#):
>
> It’s not just two more votes. It’s who gets to decide what gets brought to the Senate floor to be voted on.

Also Biden gets to confirm who he wants for cabinet posts. Mostly.

Unfortunately, I expect the question we’ll be asking most often going forward will be, “What will Joe Manchin do?”

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/343 "2021-01-06T04:32:30Z")

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Ossoff closing, only 3k behind…

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**Author:** ![John\_DiFool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_difool/32/19543_2.png) [@John\_DiFool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_DiFool)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/344 "2021-01-06T04:32:42Z")

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> [@Riemann](#):
>
> So we can get started on forcing everyone to get gay married, right?

Alas, not unless the filibuster is nuked. And at least a couple of Dem Sens have been on record as being opposed to that.

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**Author:** ![Nars\_Glinley](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nars_glinley/32/8177_2.png) [@Nars\_Glinley](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nars_Glinley)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/345 "2021-01-06T04:33:13Z")

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> [@Win\_Place\_Show](#):
>
> Somebody want to “take one for the team” and tell us how the tone is over on Fox? 😀 I’m having too much fun watching MSNBC.

Their faces say it all. [File\_000.jpeg - Google Drive](https://drive.google.com/file/d/12rUXcvAkwdOsPQlMEcQM5OCMyfKM7bVS/view?usp=drivesdk)

Something something radical socialism.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/346 "2021-01-06T04:33:22Z")

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> [@John\_DiFool](#):
>
> at least a couple of Dem Sens have been on record as being opposed to that.

LINOs!

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/347 "2021-01-06T04:33:34Z")

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> [@Riemann](#):
>
> No, it’s a Dem, based on the VP casting vote.

Yes! I hope Turtle man is really pissed that Trump effectively screwed him out of the leadership position.

Who was it who said tonight that if the R’s lose one or both seats, it will be entirely Trump’s fault?

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**Author:** ![galen\_ubal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/galen_ubal/32/4440_2.png) [@galen\_ubal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/galen_ubal)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/348 "2021-01-06T04:34:21Z")

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> [@John\_DiFool](#):
>
> Alas, not unless the filibuster is nuked. And at least a couple of Dem Sens have been on record as being opposed to that.

I suspect after the first two or three pieces of legislation get stalled by a pointless filibuster, those Senators will come around. They bloody well ought to.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/349 "2021-01-06T04:35:53Z")

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Is it looking like Perdue ossoff will trigger the recount?

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/350 "2021-01-06T04:36:57Z")

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One could argue Trump had the winning strategy: make sure as many $2,000 checks hit bank accounts by 1.5.2021.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/351 "2021-01-06T04:36:59Z")

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This is actually, potentially, an awesome night for Biden. He can now speak about bipartisanship without too many eye rolls from the left. Not that partisanship is dead - not by any stretch. But bipartisanship’s at least possible now. There’s an incentive for moderate Republicans to be moderate again - maybe.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/352 "2021-01-06T04:37:10Z")

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Only if Ossoff wins by less that half a percentage point. I think he is going to exceed that when all the votes are finally counted.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/353 "2021-01-06T04:37:25Z")

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Ossoff only 500 votes behind! This is fun to watch.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/354 "2021-01-06T04:38:19Z")

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Whoa, that changed fast.

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**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/355 "2021-01-06T04:39:47Z")

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Literally at 50.0 to 50.0.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/356 "2021-01-06T04:40:24Z")

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> [@asahi](#):
>
> This is actually, potentially, an awesome night for Biden.

I’m not sure. Can we call in @D_Anconia for a consult?

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/357 "2021-01-06T04:40:59Z")

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Warnock is probably 99% likely to win now, Ossoff 95%.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/358 "2021-01-06T04:41:39Z")

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The only way either of them loses now is _actual_ cheating.

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**Author:** ![Johnny\_Bravo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_bravo/32/493_2.png) [@Johnny\_Bravo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_Bravo)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/359 "2021-01-06T04:43:15Z")

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384 now.

I don’t need the vote to be called tonight, but I just need to see the balance tick over to Ossoff so that I can go to bed.

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**Author:** ![Nars\_Glinley](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nars_glinley/32/8177_2.png) [@Nars\_Glinley](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nars_Glinley)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 4:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/360 "2021-01-06T04:43:35Z")

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Trump tweeted an hour ago:

Looks like they are setting up a big “voter dump” against the Republican candidates. Waiting to see how many votes they need?

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