# Georgia senate runoff elections. Let’s debate and make predictions

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 7, 2020, 11:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015 "2020-11-07T23:16:43Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 21

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/402 "2021-01-06T05:32:59Z")

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> [@FlikTheBlue](#):
>
> What kind of voter is voting for both Warnock and Perdue?

Think more along the lines of a voter voting for Perdue, but not bothering to vote for Loeffler. Perdue is more well known and won his previous election. Loeffler is an appointee and yes…

> [@FlikTheBlue](#):
>
> Maybe sexist Republicans who refuse to vote for a woman?

…let’s not forget, female. Warnock meanwhile is a very popular Black preacher. A church-going man, even a Democrat, might seem more of a coin toss for a few.

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/403 "2021-01-06T05:37:54Z")

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Some counties are closing up shop and going home to bed. % votes counted seems to have stalled at 97% with not much more happening. Seems to be a case of “to be continued tomorrow”. Looking very good for Warnock and I’ll defer to the experts that it’s good for Ossoff, too, but that one may go to a recount. There are also some overseas and military ballots that have until Friday 5:00 pm to be counted.

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**Author:** ![Red\_Wiggler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/red_wiggler/32/13190_2.png) [@Red\_Wiggler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Red_Wiggler)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/404 "2021-01-06T05:39:20Z")

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Stacey Abrams: “Tell Trump I want him to know that it was me.”

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**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/405 "2021-01-06T05:39:40Z")

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A good day for both the Needle and prediction markets who made clear the Dems were winning hours before the MSM which is still going with “too close to call”. And of course a great day for the Democrats and American democracy.

And yeah given the closeness of the races, it’s likely that Trump’s multi-week shit show, especially his call to the secretary of state cost the GOP the Senate.

Savour this moment, folks, it doesn’t happen that often but some truly foul people doing foul things have gotten the punishment they deserve,

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/406 "2021-01-06T05:41:40Z")

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1208 is the difference between Perdue and ossoff.

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**Author:** ![Billy-o](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e8c25b/32.png) [@Billy-o](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Billy-o)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/407 "2021-01-06T05:42:20Z")

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Assuming the Senate races both go D, when does Mitch cease to be Senate majority leader? I gather it’s when the vote tallies are certified, but when does that happen?

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/408 "2021-01-06T05:44:31Z")

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I would figure after Friday after the military deadline. Unless they have a lead that will not be changed by that vote.

Or recounts to go through.

Warnock could be sworn in first.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/409 "2021-01-06T05:47:16Z")

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Shrinking to 1100.

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**Author:** ![Onomatopoeia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/onomatopoeia/32/4145_2.png) [@Onomatopoeia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Onomatopoeia)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/410 "2021-01-06T05:47:50Z")

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now 919

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**Author:** ![Red\_Wiggler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/red_wiggler/32/13190_2.png) [@Red\_Wiggler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Red_Wiggler)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/411 "2021-01-06T05:51:09Z")

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NYT currently predicting that both Dems will exceed Biden’s margin of victory.

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**Author:** ![digs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/digs/32/14889_2.png) [@digs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/digs)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/412 "2021-01-06T05:53:51Z")

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I really shouldn’t stay up til Ossoff is in the lead…

But I just saw a pic on the AP site of a big Georgia Republican Victory Party breaking up, with depressed partygoers slouching towards home and bed. So I guess I can, too.

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**Author:** ![Onomatopoeia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/onomatopoeia/32/4145_2.png) [@Onomatopoeia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Onomatopoeia)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/413 "2021-01-06T05:55:26Z")

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Yeah, I’m not going to be able to sleep until (unless?) Ossoff takes the lead. I hope I won’t have to stay awake for the rest of my life.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 5:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/414 "2021-01-06T05:57:19Z")

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Ossoff just picked up 54 percent of the mail in vote in coffee county. That was the turn to 919.

About 7000 mail in Fulton, 3000 in Chatham to come. May be in the daylight part of the morning.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/415 "2021-01-06T06:00:10Z")

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That Woman is marvelous. We need her in the West Wing somewhere or in a cabinet.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/416 "2021-01-06T06:00:53Z")

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From your keyboard to God’s ears.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/417 "2021-01-06T06:04:28Z")

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Well, from the NY Times, more like. They say 90,000 votes still to come in, with an estimated 77% of those for Ossoff (he only needs 51%). And there’s just not that much uncertainty in those estimates, because we know not just the _typical_ voting patterns in those areas, but the _actual_ voting patterns in the votes that have already been counted.

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/418 "2021-01-06T06:04:48Z")

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Ha! Loeffler is doing a Trump: “We will win this – every legal vote will be counted!” 😆

I think the proper verb is “she is Trumping”. Because it worked so well for the Orange Imbecile.

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**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/419 "2021-01-06T06:06:04Z")

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When it’s over, I’d like to add the number of votes in each race and see how they compare. I’m pretty sure they won’t be the same, but I’m curious why someone would vote in one of the runoffs and leave the other blank.

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/420 "2021-01-06T06:09:54Z")

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Maybe the other was a Trump write-in vote?

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2021, 6:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/georgia-senate-runoff-elections-let-s-debate-and-make-predictions/925015/421 "2021-01-06T06:11:02Z")

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> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> Ha! Loeffler is doing a Trump: “We will win this – every legal vote will be counted!” 😆
> 
> I think the proper verb is “she is Trumping”. Because it worked so well for the Orange Imbecile.

She should call up Raffensperger tomorrow and threaten him unless he “finds” more votes for her. That’s a sure fire winner.

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