Do we really want all the poor people concentrated out in the boonies? Where there’s no public transit and there’s little access to libraries, free museums, and more importantly, jobs? I’d much rather be urban poor than rural poor.
I am in favor of guaranteed income. I think it would mitigate societal harm as more jobs become automated. But I do wonder about the downsides. If working essentially became optional for everyon, then who will step up to do the dirty/disgusting jobs?
Not a problem! The free market would take care of that. Lowest wage levels might rise (as low-skilled workers are able to afford leisure) but that’s good (outside plutocratic views).
I’d always worried about the problem of variable costs of living in different locations, but this is a very good point. Also, the economy in Boonie will improve by having more people spending money, creating jobs.
I don’t know if it is a california thing or a federal thing but I know of several folks who are on General relief which is about $200.00 per month in cash and $200.00 in food stamps. It will keep you alive.
Any incentive not to work will be taken advanatge of. This does nothing but take away from the truly deserving welfare recipients. If a deserving person could make a few bucks on the side I would rather just see them keep it.
Something I have heard more times than I would have liked to is " I can only work under the table because I get a check".
I would crack down on welfare hard enough that people thought twice about getting too many tatoos or having too many children or wearing rediculous clothing and hair styles.
I would like to see honest people who cannot work through no fault of their own be able to live with some dignity.
The results of the famous Seattle Income Maintenance/Denver Income Maintenance Experiments (well known as SIME/DIME) are instructive. People work less, their relationships break up more, and they tend not to engage in work-related education, which depressed their earnings even after the experiment ended. This is not to say everyone will simply live off the dole, just that more of them will than do under current welfare structures.
What were the marginal rates in those experiments? Many schemes allow recipients to keep only 50% of wages; i.e. nominal take-home pay of $10/hour becomes just %5/hr as the subsidy is removed.
I and others in the thread have proposed no means testing. Incentives are very different when the recipient keeps all his wages.
The problem with a guaranteed job is that if it’s guaranteed, you don’t have to do more than pretend to work to keep it.
However, I’d like to see something close to this: that rather than the competing and more or less contradictory goals of Humphrey-Hawkins (which was *intended *to be a full-employment bill but got gutted in the drafting), the Fed’s mandate should clearly be defined as one of attempting to come as close to full employment as possible without creating a self-perpetuating wage-price spiral. And during such times as interest rates were up against the zero lower bound, the Administration would have built-in authorization to increase infrastructure spending by up to 3% of GDP per year, to be financed by borrowing, with no additional Congressional approval required.
People would still have to get regular jobs, and could be fired from them if they didn’t perform, but the Federal Reserve would be required to pursue full employment first, and the Executive would have tools to do the job in situations (like now) where interest rates really needed to go negative in order to stimulate a recovery.
And it is not quite a nitpick, but a nominal hourly wage of $10 does not become $5 an hour. It stays $10 an hour - it just doesn’t go to $15 ($10 per hour + $5 per hour in subsidy). SIME/DIME was a guaranteed minimum income, in that nobody ever went below the115% of the poverty line.
But you are correct - incentives are different if everyone just gets $X per year and regular tax rates kick in on any income you earn. What it would amount to would be to reduce everyone’s taxable income base by X amount.
As ever, the devil would be in the details - how much does everyone get, do we eliminate any deductions, what are the starting tax rates, etc.
Properly implemented, Basic Income solves quite a few economic issues. For one thing, it would likely cost less than the massive, complicated, bureaucracy-heavy and generally unsatisfactory in all ways “welfare” system. Barring the Zombie Apocalypse, the triumph of the Ultra-Right or the Second Coming, we are going to have those costs in some form - why not make it simple, as free from overhead cost as possible and non-demeaning?
Throw in the endless money we spend trying to “create” and “support” employment, and I’d bet it would be a net savings, long-term.
There are not ever going to be self-supporting/family-supporting jobs for everyone again - the postwar era was an anomaly, not normality, and we’ve doubled in population since then while the number of meaningful jobs continues to decline for many reasons. Basic income meets both the social responsibility for the well-being of all citizens and opens many possibilities for meaningful, useful employment for a worker pool less than “every adult.”
The guaranteed income idea assumes that there are going to be enough jobs available that will support not only the worker and his or her family, but a bunch of other people as well.
So… if there aren’t enough jobs what are the surplus workers supposed to do? Go off in a corner and quietly starve? Somehow I don’t think that’s going to happen.
If ‘not enough jobs’ turns out to be a long-term thing, rather than something that happens in recessions but goes away as the economy picks up, we need to spread the work around so that everybody can work.
Shorten the work week, make time-and-a-half for overtime apply to everyone, give everyone four weeks’ paid vacation and a decent amount of paid sick leave, stuff like that.