# Gut feeling: how will the American presidential election turn out?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/gut-feeling-how-will-the-american-presidential-election-turn-out/469528>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [October 25, 2008, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/gut-feeling-how-will-the-american-presidential-election-turn-out/469528 "2008-10-25T16:59:04Z")\
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**Author:** ![Skald\_the\_Rhymer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ecccb3/32.png) [@Skald\_the\_Rhymer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skald_the_Rhymer)\
**Post date:** [October 25, 2008, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/gut-feeling-how-will-the-american-presidential-election-turn-out/469528/1 "2008-10-25T16:59:04Z")

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Ah, the things I think of while being stood up by a tutorial student.

Six part poll. Three types of questions. For questions 1 & 2, please restrict your answers to the candidate’s last name only, and for questions 3 & 4, please restrict your answers to A, B, C, D, or E.

**One-word-answer questions:**

1. Which candidate do you **want** to win?

2. Which candidate do you **think** will win?

**Multiple choice question:**  
3. How big a margin of victory do you expect:  
(a) Electoral college & popular vote landslide providing an unquestionable mandate to run things the candidate’s way  
(b) Clear victory with less of a mandate–i.e, a clera electoral college victory but a much closer popular vote  
© Squeaker decided in the EC with no real mandate  
(d) Supreme Court decision coming after weeks of litigation and providing no true mandate  
(e) Something else I didn’t think of

**Short answer essay questions**  
4. Why do you think things will turn out as you predict?

1. If your prediction is correct, how will the public react?

2. If your answer to question 3 was (E), what how do you think the election will be decided?

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