# Handicap the Democrats next 11 days

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [January 25, 2008, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987 "2008-01-25T18:08:48Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 8\
**Page:** 13

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**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/241 "2008-02-06T00:35:56Z")

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With \<1% of Georgia reporting, Obama’s only ahead by 54% to 39%, real votes.

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**Author:** ![Harborwolf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/c89c15/32.png) [@Harborwolf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Harborwolf)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/242 "2008-02-06T00:41:47Z")

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[QUOTE=Squink]  
With \<1% of Georgia reporting, Obama’s only ahead by 54% to 39%, real votes.  
[/QUOTE]  
I think it’s safe to say that any actual pre-hatching counts of chickens will likely be off. That’s the bloody pain of all this “exit poll” nonsense. Makes for absolutely lovely, wildly inaccurate filler for the 24 hour news set.

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**Author:** ![Shayna](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shayna/32/17976_2.png) [@Shayna](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shayna)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/243 "2008-02-06T00:44:45Z")

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[QUOTE=Squink]

With \<1% of Georgia reporting, Obama’s only ahead by 54% to 39%, real votes.  
[/QUOTE]  
That’s still a 15 point lead. I’ll take it!

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**Author:** ![Harborwolf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/c89c15/32.png) [@Harborwolf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Harborwolf)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 12:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/244 "2008-02-06T00:47:38Z")

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[QUOTE=Shayna]  
That’s still a 15 point lead. I’ll take it!  
[/QUOTE]  
I won’t. Crap exit poll reporting like that gave Hillary her “come from behind” victory in New Hampshire. With the total lead shrinking seemingly by the minute, I’ll keep my dancing shoes off until the last vote is counted.

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**Author:** ![Shayna](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shayna/32/17976_2.png) [@Shayna](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shayna)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 12:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/245 "2008-02-06T00:54:13Z")

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[QUOTE=Harborwolf]

I won’t. Crap exit poll reporting like that gave Hillary her “come from behind” victory in New Hampshire. With the total lead shrinking seemingly by the minute, I’ll keep my dancing shoes off until the last vote is counted.  
[/QUOTE]  
I understand. But note that I was responding to what’s being reported as _actual_ votes, not exit poll numbers.

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**Author:** ![Harborwolf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/c89c15/32.png) [@Harborwolf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Harborwolf)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 12:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/246 "2008-02-06T00:59:40Z")

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[QUOTE=Shayna]  
I understand. But note that I was responding to what’s being reported as _actual_ votes, not exit poll numbers.  
[/QUOTE]  
Yup, but it’s already down to 52%/42% with \<2% reporting. Again, I’d love to get happy about the results, but I’m keeping my enthusiasm in check until it’s all counted.

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**Author:** ![MilTan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/71e660/32.png) [@MilTan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MilTan)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 2:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/247 "2008-02-06T02:05:13Z")

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[QUOTE=Harborwolf]  
Yup, but it’s already down to 52%/42% with \<2% reporting. Again, I’d love to get happy about the results, but I’m keeping my enthusiasm in check until it’s all counted.  
[/QUOTE]

A 21 point lead with about 40% reporting seems pretty solid.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2008, 2:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/handicap-the-democrats-next-11-days/434987/248 "2008-02-06T02:50:20Z")

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[QUOTE=RedFury]  
Wishing you all the best to do the Right Thing.  
[/QUOTE]

“Americans can be counted on to do the right thing after they have tried everything else.”

– Winston Churchill

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