Back to the OP’s main point. As a rule, if a team is playing horribly, does firing the coach/manager in the middle of a season actually accomplish anything? Or is the team just taking action for the sake of taking action?
Surprisingly, it DOES tend to help in the short run. When a coach or manager is fired, even if he’s replaced by an interim coach who’s not likely to keep the job for long, his old team USUALLY plays better, for a little while.
If a 40-60 baseball team fires its manager, the team is likely to go on a tear and flirt with .500 for the rest of the season.
If a 4-9 NFL team fires its coach, the team is likely to win a few games down the stretch, and finish 6-10.
If a college fires the coach of its 10-16 basketball team, the team is likely to go on a short winning streak, giving fans hope for an NIT bid.
That DOESN’T necessarily mean the team has gotten much better, or that the interim coach is a brilliant guy who should be given the job permanently. Teams that keep a successful interim coach usually find out the next season that the team is still lousy and that the interim coach’s seeming “magic touch” has worn off.
So, why does firing the coach give a temporary boost? A lot of possible reasons come to mind. Take each with a grain of salt:
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Even if the canned coach was a capable guy, losing brings out the worst in people. Maybe the stress of losing made him an angry, bitter guy who alienated his players with his tirades, which made them tense, which made them play even worse. Once he was gone, his players relaxed, had a little more fun, and started to play a little looser.
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Players knew that a new coach and, possibly, a new general manager would be coming soon. They knew their jobs might be on the line, so they played harder, to show the next coach/GM that they’re worth keeping.
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After a coach has been around a while, players get used to him, sometimes TOO used to him. They’ve HEARD all his speeches, they’ve SEEN all his motivational tricks, they KNOW everything he’s going to say, and they start to tune him out. Sometimes, a fresh face with a fresh voice and a new set of motivational tools can get the players’ attention. The new, unfamiliar motivational tools may work, at least until the players get used to the new coach and start to tune HIM out.
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Don’t discount pure dumb luck. Over the long run, good teams play well and lousy teams play poorly. But even great teams go through rough patches, and even lousy teams can get hot and go on a winning streak. SUPPOSE the Los Angeles Lakers are going through a rough time, and start the season 10-15. The owner panics, and fires Phil Jackson. Well, a team as talented as the Lakers is almost BOUND to get its act together and start winning again. Once it does, the new coach will be the beneficiary, and will look like a genius who saved a sinking ship- even if the same thing probably would have happened had the old coach been given a little more time and patience.