Sam Stone is a content rich contributor, and I appreciate the thought and logic and reason evident in what ic clearly a well thought out and understandable post.
of course, and you would have to be deaf dumb and blind not to know this. My ironic thread (which was started in IMO
If it had been a record high, most people wouldn’t have been surprised at all.
you got that right. And flat out showing they have been wrong, really wrong, about a key prediction, that won’t earn you any friends at all.
You can’t even state the four conclusion thsat are in the OP, much less know if they are correct.
You didn’t define AGW at all. The theory of the enhanced greenhouse effect seems to be unknown to you, and every last person who keeps trying to claim everything they dislike is wrong. It’s quite amazing.
If it is indeed true that there is an extreme negative feedback from CO2, which is one of the theories we are discussing, that is huge. The models and theory will be changed.
The political problem is that the consequences as well as events predicted by the theory may be completely wrong. This places the cocksure prophets of doom in a terrible situation. Any admittance of fallibility, of being wrong, would seem an utter disaster to them.
Even discussing it is seen as defeat. So as each year goes by, with the winter trend getting more negative, makes the farther and farther away from having any credibility. Their hope of some huge disaster, or at least a big El Nino to cause a warming spike, is apparent.
And years back, when it was already obvious, somebody came up with “it has to be 17 years to be meaningful”, which now is the reality.
Meanwhile the denier sticks his fingers in his ears and repeats “it’s warmer than ever”.