# Hillary's lead over Sanders "nearly vanishes".

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 11, 2016, 5:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833 "2016-01-11T17:48:57Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 11

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 3:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/201 "2016-01-18T15:37:36Z")

</div>

Two big reasons are that (1) we subsidize Europe’s social programs by being their military force; (2)we subsidize Europe’s R&D costs for medicine because of the way prescription drug and medical device pricing and intellectual property works.

Universal healthcare would be easier if we had the same military budget as the UK and Canada’s high prescription drug prices paid for all of our research.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![up\_the\_junction](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/f1d935/32.png) [@up\_the\_junction](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/up_the_junction)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/202 "2016-01-18T15:43:21Z")

</div>

Europe isn’t “great”. It’s just the people demand stuff is prioritised in a different order.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![2ManyTacos](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/2/3da27b/32.png) [@2ManyTacos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/2ManyTacos)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 3:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/203 "2016-01-18T15:46:37Z")

</div>

I fail to see how the narrowing of the race on the Democratic side is a “bad” thing. The very last thing I wanted heading into the '16 election was a fucking coronation of Hillary Clinton. That she will have to actually _work_ for the nomination - and could even (not inconceivably) lose it to Bernie - is a net positive IMO.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![up\_the\_junction](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/f1d935/32.png) [@up\_the\_junction](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/up_the_junction)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 3:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/204 "2016-01-18T15:47:33Z")

</div>

> [@Richard\_Parker](#):
>
> Two big reasons are that (1) we subsidize Europe’s social programs by being their military force; (2)we subsidize Europe’s R&D costs for medicine because of the way prescription drug and medical device pricing and intellectual property works.

This is bullshit, btw. If the people want the USA to be an empire imposing it’s will across the word, then go with that.

We’ve had the discussion about medical advances a hundred times. Just more bullshit.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 3:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/205 "2016-01-18T15:49:23Z")

</div>

> [@up\_the\_junction](#):
>
> This is bullshit, btw. If the people want the USA to be an empire imposing it’s will across the word, then go with that.
> 
> We’ve had the discussion about medical advances a hundred times. Just more bullshit.

No, it isn’t bullshit. In a world without the USA’s disproportionate military spending, Europe would likely spend more. You may think that is bad policy (and I do too!), but doesn’t change the reality.

And the fact that you’ve repeated your opinion a lot doesn’t make it true. The connection between high medical spending and R&D is certainly complicated. But there is indeed some degree of causal relationship there. Denying it altogether is what’s bullshit.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jayhawker\_Soule](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/57b2e6/32.png) [@Jayhawker\_Soule](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jayhawker_Soule)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 3:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/206 "2016-01-18T15:55:06Z")

</div>

> [@Chronos](#):
>
> > [@](#):
> >
> > Quoth GloryDays:
> > 
> > Bernie Sanders is a good man. He truly is. However, America is not Europe. We cannot afford some of these things.
> 
> Why can’t we? Are we not as great as Europe? Why not? And if Europe can afford things that we can’t, maybe we should take a look at that, too: How can we become more like Europe, and more able to afford nice things?

We can - we clearly have the capacity - but we won’t simply because we do not have the political will. A long history of ‘American exceptionalism’ has left us with a country that is not as politically mature as that of much of Europe.

Bernie’s “We need a revolution to …” is quite accurate. Sadly, this is not a revolutionary country. And I say this as someone who has donated more than once to his campaign.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![up\_the\_junction](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/f1d935/32.png) [@up\_the\_junction](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/up_the_junction)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2016, 4:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/207 "2016-01-18T16:22:22Z")

</div>

> [@Jayhawker\_Soule](#):
>
> We can - we clearly have the capacity - but we won’t simply because we do not have the political will. A long history of ‘American exceptionalism’ has left us with a country that is not as politically mature as that of much of Europe.
> 
> Bernie’s “We need a revolution to …” is quite accurate. Sadly, this is not a revolutionary country. And I say this as someone who has donated more than once to his campaign.

It’s either the will, or the system - I don’t know how you can effect meaningful change while the political class is bought way, way before a ballot is drawn up.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SlackerInc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slackerinc/32/275_2.png) [@SlackerInc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlackerInc)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 1:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/208 "2016-01-19T01:37:20Z")

</div>

> [@FightMyIgnorance](#):
>
> And I would be more careful about dismissing Bernie supporters as “affluent white latte liberals”. Come election day, you’re going to need us as much as much as we need you…

I was responding to someone who expressed disgust at having to share the party with the likes of me. Bu I am the one who has to tiptoe around on eggshells and not point out he demographic profiles of the respective candidates’ supporters? Give me a break.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FightMyIgnorance](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/71e660/32.png) [@FightMyIgnorance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FightMyIgnorance)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 3:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/209 "2016-01-19T03:38:40Z")

</div>

> [@SlackerInc](#):
>
> I was responding to someone who expressed disgust at having to share the party with the likes of me. Bu I am the one who has to tiptoe around on eggshells and not point out he demographic profiles of the respective candidates’ supporters? Give me a break.

I was not describing disgust at moderates, I was doing so at not voting for someone simply because they are of a certain religion or race. I thought this was relatively well understood that this kind of behavior is not desirable in the Democratic Party.

“I will not vote for someone because they are Islamic.” is not “moderate” in any sense of the word, and I certainly hope you’re not suggesting that such conduct is acceptable.

I’m not entirely sure HOW you read my post, but I’m certainly getting the feeling you did so incorrectly.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SlackerInc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slackerinc/32/275_2.png) [@SlackerInc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlackerInc)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/210 "2016-01-19T03:46:50Z")

</div>

Nominating a Muslim for president, or VP, would be a huge tactical error. (So would nominating an atheist. And I say this as an atheist myself.)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 3:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/211 "2016-01-19T03:49:57Z")

</div>

> [@SlackerInc](#):
>
> Nominating a Muslim for president, or VP, would be a huge tactical error. (So would nominating an atheist. And I say this as an atheist myself.)

It would be now, but that will change eventually. After all, we now live in a time when the sitting president is black, and a woman and a Jew are serious contenders – any of which would have been unthinkable not too many decades ago.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FightMyIgnorance](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/71e660/32.png) [@FightMyIgnorance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FightMyIgnorance)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/212 "2016-01-19T04:24:58Z")

</div>

> [@SlackerInc](#):
>
> Nominating a Muslim for president, or VP, would be a huge tactical error. (So would nominating an atheist. And I say this as an atheist myself.)

That’s not what I’m arguing. Of course it would be. Nominating is quite different than voting.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FightMyIgnorance](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/71e660/32.png) [@FightMyIgnorance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FightMyIgnorance)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 4:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/213 "2016-01-19T04:28:29Z")

</div>

To clarify, I’m not criticizing being reluctant to nominate a Muslim president, or a lesbian one, etc. I’m criticizing not voting for one in a general election because they are Muslim or LGBT.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/f04885/32.png) [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qin_Shi_Huangdi)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 5:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/214 "2016-01-19T05:05:15Z")

</div>

> [@SlackerInc](#):
>
> I cosign the posts from **Yogsosoth** and **Merneith**.
> 
> On the other thing, I would consider retirement age and gun control of roughly equal importance, with gay marriage a bit lower.

If the Democratic Party acts that way, it will continue to lose elections.

> [@Martin\_Hyde](#):
>
> Eh, that doesn’t really matter. The Democrats controlled the Senate for most of Obama’s Presidency, the Republicans have shown they are willing to use control of one half of the legislature to largely stop all serious legislation. While they did always cave on shut downs and debt ceilings, there’s a massive amount of legislation that has simply never been passed since the 2010 takeover of the House, and if Hillary wants more legislative achievements than Obama she will have to work with Republicans the same way Bill did.

And why would Hillary Clinton want “legislative achievements” that will serve to piss off her base and spell disaster in turnout for the Democratic Party come reelection time in 2020? Obama’s doing fine with the Democratic base due to holding firm and being the goalkeeper against the Kochservatives while he was vilified when he heeled to the Mammonists during the debt ceiling crisis in 2011.

> [@](#):
>
> I’m usually loath to praise the House Republicans, and they are still worthy of a lot of condemnation, but there has been a micro-flurry of common sense legislation passed in the last couple months, indicating that Speaker Ryan may have found a way to at least get some things out of the chamber. The craziest part of the Republican House to me was never their tantrums over the debt ceiling and government shutdowns, but how much legislation they refused to let get out of the chamber _even when said legislation was supported by large bipartisan majorities and by their own constituents_. It’s possible the House will be more amenable to working with Hillary in any case.

The Kochservatives evidentally hate anybody with a (D) next to their name. if anything they should hate Clinton more considering Obama deliberately ran on a postpartisan strategy.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bill\_Door](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/50afbb/32.png) [@Bill\_Door](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bill_Door)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 2:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/215 "2016-01-19T14:37:46Z")

</div>

> [@Richard\_Parker](#):
>
> No, it isn’t bullshit. In a world without the USA’s disproportionate military spending, Europe would likely spend more. You may think that is bad policy (and I do too!), but doesn’t change the reality.
> 
> And the fact that you’ve repeated your opinion a lot doesn’t make it true. The connection between high medical spending and R&D is certainly complicated. But there is indeed some degree of causal relationship there. Denying it altogether is what’s bullshit.

And yet the pharmaceutical companies still spend more on marketing than on R&D. Possibly if we banned “Ask your doctor about…” ads we’d save even more on drugs, and still be able to have R&D. Win-win.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SlackerInc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slackerinc/32/275_2.png) [@SlackerInc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlackerInc)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 3:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/216 "2016-01-19T15:19:53Z")

</div>

> [@FightMyIgnorance](#):
>
> To clarify, I’m not criticizing being reluctant to nominate a Muslim president, or a lesbian one, etc. I’m criticizing not voting for one in a general election because they are Muslim or LGBT.

Then I think you are the one who misread a comment. I did not interpret that comment as being from a Democrat who was threatening not to vote for such a person in the general election. It looked a lot more to me like a warning that nominating such a person would be a mistake. And that, as I say, I agree with.

> [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](#):
>
> If the Democratic Party acts that way, it will continue to lose elections.

Continue? Democrats have won the popular vote in the presidential election five out of the last six times–and I expect it to be six of seven by the end of this year. They won the popular vote for House races three out of the past five cycles, and they controlled the Senate for 8 out of the past 10 years, and have a good chance to retake control this fall, despite the wildly uneven distribution of population in states making it easier for the GOP.

If Doc Brown went back to January 2005, after Bush won reelection and took control of the House and Senate, and gave me a political almanac showing all election results, SCOTUS appointments and decisions, and legislation passed through Nov. 2015, my 2005 self would have been thrilled. Other Democrats have short memories, are spoiled/greedy, or are just “half empty” type people.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FightMyIgnorance](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/71e660/32.png) [@FightMyIgnorance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FightMyIgnorance)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 6:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/217 "2016-01-19T18:36:26Z")

</div>

> [@SlackerInc](#):
>
> Then I think you are the one who misread a comment. I did not interpret that comment as being from a Democrat who was threatening not to vote for such a person in the general election. It looked a lot more to me like a warning that nominating such a person would be a mistake. And that, as I say, I agree with.

Considering the past posting history of the poster in question, I think you’re being exceedingly generous with your interpretation, but if you wish to read it as such that’s your prerogative.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SlackerInc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slackerinc/32/275_2.png) [@SlackerInc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlackerInc)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 7:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/218 "2016-01-19T19:13:51Z")

</div>

I don’t know anything about their past history (I can keep track of screen names for about one page or a day or two max, whichever comes fastest), so you might have the jump on me there.

Interesting to see Bernie Sanders on\* ABC This Week\* disavow his political positions from when he ran for Vermont Governor in the 1980s. I don’t see anything wrong with those positions on the merits–in fact, I would be all for them if I thought they were politically feasible–but Bernie seems embarrassed of them and is running away from them as fast as he can. Also note that Karl Rove’s super-PAC is clearly more afraid of Hillary:

> [@](#):
>
> STEPHANOPOULOS: You know, you’ve – Secretary Clinton’s campaign is also making the point about electability. She seemed delighted by the fact that Karl Rove’s campaign is now running an ad against her in Iowa.  
> And you know that in a campaign, past positions are going to get scrutiny. So I wonder how you respond to some of the things that are circulating now about your past positions, back when you were running for Governor of Vermont, as the Liberty Union Party candidate, in the ‘70s and ‘80s. Do you urge congressmen to give serious thought to the nationalization of the oil industry? And then you went on in the long run, Sanders said, all utilities must go under public ownership and all necessities of life must be provided free for people.
> 
> SANDERS: You know what, George? George, George – you know, when – that was a long, long time ago. Before I ever was elected to anything. I was Mayor of Burlington for eight years. I’ve in Congress for 25 years. You’re right, they can go back. People can go back and look at the fact that Hillary Clinton, as I understand it, was a supporter of Barry Goldwater.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 9:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/219 "2016-01-19T21:32:53Z")

</div>

> [@Bill\_Door](#):
>
> And yet the pharmaceutical companies still spend more on marketing than on R&D. Possibly if we banned “Ask your doctor about…” ads we’d save even more on drugs, and still be able to have R&D. Win-win.

That is probably not true.

LARGE pharmaceutical companies spend more on the “Sale General & Administrative” than they do on R&D item of their income statement but SG&A includes a whole lot of stuff (including executive compensation, rent, legal, accounting, etc) in addition to marketing (of which TFV commercials are only a small part). They also INDIRECTLY spend money on R&D when they buy small drug companies that spend almost everything they have on R&D.

The decision to spend money on R&D has NOTHING to do with how much you are spending on marketing. The decision is entirely based on how much money you think you might make if this drug gets approved. If the drug is not attractive to the US market, it is not likely to get funded for R&D because no one will pay enough to make it worth your while.

We are in effect subsidizing the drug pipeline for the rest of the world but that drug pipeline is tailored for the USA. So we see a lot more development in diabetes type 2 drugs than the world incidence of diabetes type 2 (and other obesity related drugs) would indicate a demand for.

We not only overpay for drugs we also give very strong long lasting protection for patents. This makes us very attractive consumers and while drugs are not cheap, they only account for 5-10% of our health care costs.

Sure, it bothers me that we are getting fleeced by drug companies but I’m not sure the alternative is better unless we can somehow get all the other industrialized nations to share paying the premium that drug companies need to justify investing in a new pipeline of drugs.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FightMyIgnorance](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/71e660/32.png) [@FightMyIgnorance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FightMyIgnorance)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2016, 9:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833/220 "2016-01-19T21:46:09Z")

</div>

> [@SlackerInc](#):
>
> Interesting to see Bernie Sanders on\* ABC This Week\* disavow his political positions from when he ran for Vermont Governor in the 1980s. I don’t see anything wrong with those positions on the merits–in fact, I would be all for them if I thought they were politically feasible–but Bernie seems embarrassed of them and is running away from them as fast as he can. Also note that Karl Rove’s super-PAC is clearly more afraid of Hillary:

I think he’s trying to tone down the left wing rhetoric, because as nice as all that is, I think he’s genuinely trying to win this thing. He’s even turned up the dial on attacks on Clinton, granted he’s not exactly running a Rove-esque ad campaign, but still.

And while I think you have somewhat of a point re the Rove ads, I would think they’re currently targeting Clinton because she is (admittedly even if these outlier polls prove to be true) the clear Secretariat of the horserace.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833.md?page=10)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/hillarys-lead-over-sanders-nearly-vanishes/742833.md?page=12)
