# How can Donald Trump win at this point?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump, kamala-harris\
**Created:** [August 6, 2024, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351 "2024-08-06T21:13:43Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 2307

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [September 22, 2024, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351/2307 "2024-09-22T01:56:09Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> > [@RickJay](#):
> >
> > There is no evidence this is true.
> 
> There is no evidence that it is false. Polling is pseudoscience at this point and the media goes out of its way to portray EVERY election as the closest election ever because “horse races” make good ratings.
> 
> I am confident that the results of the election will not be close. &nbsp;

I would love to believe this but at this point expecting a Harris blowout seems like wishful thinking. Sure, the media likes to make things sound exciting, but I don’t see the responsible media slanting things in any extraordinary way.

As for the “pseudoscience” of polling, a competent poll will have a statistically valid margin of error. When Biden was still in the race, most polls were telling us that Trump was ahead. Now they’re mostly telling us that Harris is ahead, but not by much. But I have the general impression the she’s slowly increasing her lead. Will it be enough to overcome the EC disadvantage, or whatever shenanigans Trump will certainly try to pull? Who knows!

I think that’s about the best that can be said right now. If you have solid information to the contrary, I’m sure we’d all like to see it.

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