Here is my prediction, less than two weeks out. Harris wins each of the blue wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania by about a percent and wins one other state, probably either NC or Georgia. This gets her past 270 even if she were to lose a single blue wall state.
On election night, PA, being in the eastern time zone, has the potential to be called early and will be a bellwether:
Solidly for Harris or Trump: That candidate definitely wins.
Mildly for Harris or Trump: That candidate probably wins.
Inconclusive before other swing states are called: Harris probably wins, since she has more paths to victory.