# How can Donald Trump win at this point?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump, kamala-harris\
**Created:** [August 6, 2024, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351 "2024-08-06T21:13:43Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 3152

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aeschines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aeschines/32/16251_2.png) [@Aeschines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aeschines)\
**Post date:** [October 25, 2024, 3:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351/3152 "2024-10-25T03:34:40Z")

</div>

Here is my prediction, less than two weeks out. Harris wins each of the blue wall states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania by about a percent and wins one other state, probably either NC or Georgia. This gets her past 270 even if she were to lose a single blue wall state.

On election night, PA, being in the eastern time zone, has the potential to be called early and will be a bellwether:

Solidly for Harris or Trump: That candidate definitely wins.  
Mildly for Harris or Trump: That candidate probably wins.  
Inconclusive before other swing states are called: Harris probably wins, since she has more paths to victory.

---

_[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351)._
