# How can Donald Trump win at this point?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump, kamala-harris\
**Created:** [August 6, 2024, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351 "2024-08-06T21:13:43Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 904

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [August 19, 2024, 1:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351/904 "2024-08-19T13:40:07Z")

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Good news: Nevada _might_ not be as iffy as it heretofore appeared. It doesn’t have a lot of electoral votes, so any paths to victory that include Nevada also must include some other swing state(s)…but, if other high-quality polls confirm this in the next week, this would make me breathe a bit easier.

> [@Kamala Harris and the runup to the 2024 Presidential Election](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kamala-harris-and-the-runup-to-the-2024-presidential-election/1004571/565):
>
> The week starts with excellent polling news: [CBS News/YouGov poll](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-poll-kamala-harris-policies-trump-democratic-convention-2024/) has Harris up nationally by 2% or 3%. [Focaldata](https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll) has Harris up +6 in Nevada! Penn is +1% Michigan +7% Georgia is down 4% Arizona is down 1% North Carolina is +1% Wisconsin +6%

Sadly, it does confirm Georgia as very problematic. As I just posted minutes ago, we can’t count on Georgia as part of a path to victory (but nor should we just give up there).

It also confirms PA as a toss-up. That is most worrisome of all.

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