Ironically, a few days before it hit, there was an article in the NYT (I think) praising the national weather service for their superior predictions.
I remember my grandfather talking about that storm and saying it the days before it hit, local fisherman were catching huge hauls of fish, and a lot of them were not commonly found in local waters. I guess the theory was they were pushed north by the storm?
Another fascinating book on the subject is Erik Larson’s Isaac’s Storm, which describes the 1900 hurricane impact on Galveston. Highly recommended, though it is more about the results and less about the failure to predict the storm’s ferocity.
Exactly. When you live somewhere for a while you learn what the normal barometric pressure feels like. Before a hurricane there is a distinct drop–even if you don’t have an actual barometer you can tell that the air feels “off” somehow. There are distinct cloud formations that appear before a hurricane as well. (I lived in eastern NC for ten years and I can still pick a hurricane cloud out of a lineup.) Granted, none of this tells you how strong the storm is going to be but they all indicate that *something *is coming.