# How is "shutting down the government" a winning strategy?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 18, 2013, 4:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152 "2013-09-18T16:40:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 15

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 4:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/281 "2013-09-25T16:35:15Z")

</div>

Cruz is a pimp. But until this day, I didn’t know it was lawyers all along.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/282 "2013-09-25T16:50:15Z")

</div>

Perhaps relevant: A new report from HHS finds that premiums in the exchanges will be lower than previously thought in 95% of cases.

It does acknowledge that young healthy folks that buy super-cheap insurance now are the demo most likely negatively impacted.

> **[How much will Obamacare premiums cost? Depends on where you live.](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2013/09/25/how-much-will-obamacare-premiums-cost-depends-on-where-you-live/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein&variant=bacbca59707f74b0)**
>
> The average premium for a monthly policy under Obamacare will be $328–but the actual prices varies a lot by state.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 4:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/283 "2013-09-25T16:52:01Z")

</div>

Lower than estimated is not as useful a metric as whether they are lower than what people currently pay.

Secondly, we already know now why these plans are cheaper: you can’t keep your doctor. Promise broken.

I like Ezra Klein though, he’s an honest broker. He acknowledges the tradeoffs. I wish some of his older, supposedly wiser competitors in the blogosphere had as much maturity.

Here’s the kicker though: “And everyone may encounter long waits to see a doctor.”

I think it’s high time Democratic leaders apologized for characterizing such criticism as “lies” during the debate.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 5:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/284 "2013-09-25T17:03:27Z")

</div>

If you edit fast, you can fit three more misleading talking points into your post.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 5:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/285 "2013-09-25T17:06:19Z")

</div>

Every single one is in the cite. And not from a right-wing source. So tell me how I misled.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![kaylasdad99](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kaylasdad99/32/3398_2.png) [@kaylasdad99](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kaylasdad99)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 5:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/286 "2013-09-25T17:14:30Z")

</div>

> [@Terr](#):
>
> And of course that negates the fact that his premium went up 300%, right?

I wouldn’t mind seeing something that actually _confirms_ that his premium _will be_ going up. Say, a copy of the full document that Mr. Mangione received in the mail. In the interests of preserving his privacy, I would not object to him redacting certain details, even including what his current and proposed premiums are, according to the document. I’d be willing to take his word on that front.

As for the rest of it, well, taking anything from Fox News at face value seems like [del]casting my fate to the wind[/del]\* it would not make me feel so good.

\*wait, that’s Vince Guaraldi, isn’t it?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 5:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/287 "2013-09-25T17:18:40Z")

</div>

> [@adaher](#):
>
> Every single one is in the cite.

I have no doubt that you think so, which is why I think it fruitless to explain the difference between what the Post is saying and your spin of it—you don’t even realize when you’re spinning.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 5:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/288 "2013-09-25T17:19:51Z")

</div>

> [@adaher](#):
>
> Here’s the kicker though: “And everyone may encounter long waits to see a doctor.”

Everyone remember the talk of how everyone in Canada and the UK had to wait six months to see their GP? And does everyone remember how well that line of argument worked out?

That said, it’s probably true that if there is more demand for medical services there may be longer waits. The current alternative, of course, is to exclude people, so you get to see a doctor sooner and that other guy gets to die.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 5:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/289 "2013-09-25T17:27:06Z")

</div>

The guy with the money gets to see the doctor, the guy without dies. As God intended! Or Darwin, take your pick.

How many people here personally know somebody who has been royally sca-rewed by their health insurance “provider”. I do, do you? Suppose you do pay more, but what you get is actual insurance, rather than buying a chance to play Wheel of Coverage?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ca3799](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/9f8e36/32.png) [@Ca3799](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ca3799)\
**Post date:** [September 25, 2013, 7:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/290 "2013-09-25T19:47:31Z")

</div>

As far as losing your doc, that’s not unusual.

My company changes plans just about every year and I often have to switch docs and clinics every year or two or three if the old docs won’t accept the new plans or I switch from PPO to HMO. But, for folks who have no doctor, I’m pretty sure they will be happy to have the option of choosing any doc at all.

I just saw that the cheapest plan in Texas will allow a family of 4 with an income of $50,000 to buy in for as little as $52.00 a month and in Dallas, $26.00. It’s the cheapest Bronze plans, but that’s far better than going bare.

Those are some pretty impressive rates.

> **[Health Insurance Marketplace Premiums for 2014](http://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/health-insurance-marketplace-premiums-2014)**

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2013, 5:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/291 "2013-09-26T05:26:23Z")

</div>

> [@Richard\_Parker](#):
>
> I have no doubt that you think so, which is why I think it fruitless to explain the difference between what the Post is saying and your spin of it—you don’t even realize when you’re spinning.

Ah, a secret rebuttal. Second one on this page.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jasg](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f0a364/32.png) [@jasg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jasg)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2013, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/292 "2013-09-26T20:03:43Z")

</div>

> [@Gyrate](#):
>
> Everyone remember the talk of how everyone in Canada and the UK had to wait six months to see their GP? And does everyone remember how well that line of argument worked out?
> 
> That said, it’s probably true that if there is more demand for medical services there may be longer waits. The current alternative, of course, is to exclude people, so you get to see a doctor sooner and that other guy gets to die.

Agreed.

On the other hand, it could be that the medical-industrial-complex is planning (counting) on more demand.

If I drive either a mile north or south of me I see new, multistory health clinics under construction. Another 2-3 miles in each direction there are major hospitals which have been expanding.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jasg](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f0a364/32.png) [@jasg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jasg)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2013, 8:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/293 "2013-09-26T20:06:52Z")

</div>

> [@Leaper](#):
>
> **adaher** : Just to ask, assuming there’s no government shutdown, do you approve of Republicans using the debt ceiling in the same way as a means to defund the ACA?

> [@adaher](#):
>
> Absolutely not. You don’t screw with the debt ceiling.

[This](http://c9.nrostatic.com/sites/default/files/20130926_Debt_Limit_Brief.pdf) Republican briefing paper (PDF) shows great intent to screw with the debt ceiling. Quite appalling…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2013, 8:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/294 "2013-09-26T20:11:11Z")

</div>

Be fair! Addy doesn’t support the Insane Clown Posse Republicans, he supports the reasonable and moderate Republicans. Like…uh, like…hmmmm…well, _them_!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2013, 8:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/295 "2013-09-26T20:51:35Z")

</div>

> [@jasg](#):
>
> Agreed.
> 
> On the other hand, it could be that the medical-industrial-complex is planning (counting) on more demand.

That seems to be a part of the whole health care debate that never gets reported or analyzed. There are a certain number of people in the country, and some portion of them are going to be sick at any given time. There is also some number of doctors available to treat them. The passage of the ACA doesn’t change the numbers of supply and demand. When people predict long wait times, rationing of care, or death panels, isn’t it a tacit admission that there are people who need care but currently can’t get it? Unless they think that all these newly insured people will go to the doctor on a lark, taking their time away from the truly sick.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jasg](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f0a364/32.png) [@jasg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jasg)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2013, 9:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/296 "2013-09-26T21:28:49Z")

</div>

> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> That seems to be a part of the whole health care debate that never gets reported or analyzed. There are a certain number of people in the country, and some portion of them are going to be sick at any given time. There is also some number of doctors available to treat them. The passage of the ACA doesn’t change the numbers of supply and demand. When people predict long wait times, rationing of care, or death panels, isn’t it a tacit admission that there are people who need care but currently can’t get it? Unless they think that all these newly insured people will go to the doctor on a lark, taking their time away from the truly sick.

Actually, I meant my little two new clinic anecdote as admission that the ACA is increasing both supply and demand. (Supply of MDs will lag, but NP and PAs in clinics can handle quite a lot of increase in routine medical needs)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2013, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/297 "2013-09-27T00:24:30Z")

</div>

> [@elucidator](#):
>
> Be fair! Addy doesn’t support the Insane Clown Posse Republicans, he supports the reasonable and moderate Republicans. Like…uh, like…hmmmm…well, _them_!

I support smart conservative policies, not necessarily Republicans. Given how many liberals there are on this board who do not necessarily support the Democratic Party, that should not be hard to wrap one’s head around.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2013, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/298 "2013-09-27T02:11:36Z")

</div>

> [@jasg](#):
>
> Actually, I meant my little two new clinic anecdote as admission that the ACA is increasing both supply and demand. (Supply of MDs will lag, but NP and PAs in clinics can handle quite a lot of increase in routine medical needs)

Oh, I know. It’s just that all the talk of waiting times and rationing of care carry certain implications that never seem to be discussed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2013, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/299 "2013-09-27T04:49:13Z")

</div>

One thing that would help would be to entice states to allow NPs to practice without the supervision of a doctor, which some states do and others don’t. That would increase supply at very little reduction in quality for basic care.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Zakalwe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zakalwe/32/270_2.png) [@Zakalwe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zakalwe)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2013, 11:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152/300 "2013-09-27T11:14:02Z")

</div>

> [@adaher](#):
>
> One thing that would help would be to entice states to allow NPs to practice without the supervision of a doctor, which some states do and others don’t. That would increase supply at very little reduction in quality for basic care.

Just to be clear, do you mean “set up shop on their own to provide certain basic services with a referral method” or “do stuff (in an office with an MD available) without having to have the MD counter-sign/double-check for standard care”?

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152.md?page=14)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-shutting-down-the-government-a-winning-strategy/669152.md?page=16)
