# How is trump still a viable candidate for president? Really, how? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Tags:** trump\ **Created:** [May 12, 2023, 2:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-trump-still-a-viable-candidate-for-president-really-how/983949 "2023-05-12T14:28:40Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 1015
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [February 1, 2024, 11:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-trump-still-a-viable-candidate-for-president-really-how/983949/1015 "2024-02-01T11:31:47Z")
Here’s 538 page for Biden v. Trump polls. When they launch their forecast model – I think probably around June, but possible sooner – these will be the main input. High-quality state polls will have the highest weight (especially if they focus on likely voters), but national polls will be included. (Just to remind everyone _yet again_: “75% chance of winning” does _not_ mean “75% of the public favors this candidate.” It means, in 1 out of every 4 rolls of the dice (that’s a lot!), this candidate _loses._) (Ignore the “28 Jun 18” in the heading – that must be when they happened to set up this web page. The latest polls are from the past few days, and suggest the race is a tie – but this is very early days.) > **[President: general election Polls](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/)** > > The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-trump-still-a-viable-candidate-for-president-really-how/983949)._