# How likely is this scenario? Global warming at 4C

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-likely-is-this-scenario-global-warming-at-4c/819484>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [August 12, 2018, 6:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-likely-is-this-scenario-global-warming-at-4c/819484 "2018-08-12T18:16:07Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 86

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [March 11, 2019, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-likely-is-this-scenario-global-warming-at-4c/819484/86 "2019-03-11T00:15:20Z")

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From another thread, and in the tradition of “a picture is worth a thousand words” …

> [@I feel like climatologists need to stop predicting the future.](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-feel-like-climatologists-need-to-stop-predicting-the-future/830731/44):
>
> > [@I feel like climatologists need to stop predicting the future.](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-feel-like-climatologists-need-to-stop-predicting-the-future/830731/39):
> >
> > Obligatory [XKCD](https://xkcd.com/1732/)
> 
> That’s a very good graphic, and it’s no mere cartoon – it’s scientifically accurate. I’ve seen it before but forgot about it. The bottom part is essentially the famous hockey stick shape first put into the public consciousness by the paleoclimate reconstructions of Michael Mann et al. This is the sort of stuff that has climate deniers getting all their shorts in a knot, but unfortunately for them, it’s factually accurate.

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