Roger
Ref the Falklands.
The islands themselves are miles from anywhere, as you will be aware, and supply to them has always been expensive as a result.
The Argentines, whatever the merits or otherwise of their claim to those islands(and they are pretty much ‘otherwise’ by the way) they were under the distinct impression that we wanted to offload them, for logistical reasons, for political reasons, for any reasons that they could dream of, and so they read the runes of British policy in the way they wanted to believe.
HMS Endurance was the RN ice patrol ship down there, there had actually been two of them, can’t remember the name of the other, and although they mostly carried out survey work, they were seen as being part of UK military presence in the area, and thus part of UK will to defend it.
All ships come to the end of their useful lives, Endurance sister ship was scrapped and not replaced, and you need two ships available just to ensure one will be on station at all times.
Replacement was considered as being an expensive option, eventually it came to the turn of HMS Endurance to be decommisioned.
The Argentines interpreted this, along with Falkland islanders increasing dependance upon Argentina for supply, as indicative of the fact that the UK had no real interest in the islands.
To this interpretation the Argentine developed plans to land and take the islands.
Now Argentina as a society at the upper levels is actually very very Anglophile, they aspire to our country house life, and we have generally had close ties with them, from polo playing professionals and ponies, to selling them subs, aircraft carriers, aircraft and very large amounts of officer training for their army and their pilots.
The result is that certain agencies have recruited from among those trainees and they report back on affairs in Argentina.
When Argentina made plans to take the Falklands, we knew where, when and with what resources it was to be achieved, and to provide deterrant RN warships were sent down there n a number of occasions.
The time I was sent down was on ‘Operation Journeyman’, which comprised two frigates, one nuclear powered hunter killer sub and half a dozen Royal Fleet Auxilliary ships which were equipped with a war complement of helicopters(helicopters are very significant resources in maritime warfare so dont underestimate what the presence of extra ones means)
This happened in 1977-78 over the turn of the year, and the result was that there was no war.
Years later and on TV and Dr David Owen is being interviewed by Brian Walden on some political show, in this Owen stated that he had actually sent us down there for this mission(it was hardly known in public), he detailed why and how the UK had come by the information, and he then revealed that ships had been sent down to the Falklands on two previous occasions.
You will note there was no war.
Roll onward to 1982, the Thatcher regime is about to be wiped off the face of the electoral map, what Maggie needs is something to unite the country and distract attention from her abysmal economic policies that saw unemployment more than double.
Is it concievable that the sources of information that had prevented war on three previous occasions had suddnely dried up ?
Lord Carrington didn’t think so since he resigned on the strength of his failings to ‘appreciate the information’, do you think an imminent threat of war would not be brought before the head of the administration ?
Nope, no way, much too naiive, so why was no action taken, all that was needed was to send two or three ships down there, its not like the warning came too late, it takes months of planning, even a couple of years, it then takes months more to gather the material together before you can mount an operation such as Argentina planned, and it take purchasing decisions in the international arms markets to acquire the necessary material, some of which we actually supplied.
So Roger, you tell me, why was there no war until 1982 ? and why didnt Maggie act when she learned of Argentine plans ?
I do live in Castleford, but actually I’m from Leeds, its just that house prices dropped round here and allowed me to buy in, I ain’t no miner.
Waccoe
I suppose you could read that I’m defending Scargill, the truth is that Scargill had the entire media arraigned against him, he could not possibly have a good reputation as his character was systematically destroyed, the only impression that most of the UK will have of him has come from that heavily biased media.
When Maggie was elected, it was understood that she would break the miners, right from day one, Scargill knew it, the whole country knew it.
He came up with a list that was taken from leaked documents form the National Coal Board and that list detailed which pits were to be closed.
Pits have always had to close when their reserves were no longer economic to exploit, but this list detailed pits that still had many decades of production left.
Accounting rules were changed so that it would appear that pits were losong money, assets were included that were totally unrealisable, and artificially high values placed upon them.
From those unrealistic valuations a notion of a return upon investment was made, which again was not only unrealistic, it was above what the returns on other heavy industry around the world would realisticly expect.
The investments were also not true investments, just becuase a pit is valued at £1.4billions this does not mean that amount of money was spent in its construction, and of course this fact was never made clear to the general public which does not really have much grasp of accountancy anyway.
If a pit is projected to make £400 millions as a reasonable return on valuation and it ‘only’ makes £100milions, well hey presto ! an instant £300 millions loss to the public purse, mulitply this by lots and lots of pits and the impression is that coal is heavily subsidised.
Also, when comparing investment performance in any industry, you also need to take into account what your competitors are doing, and wether you are meeting industry expectations, and the truth is what Scargill always said, that other countries actually subsidised their coal production far more and UK deep mined coal was very nearly the cheapest in the world once other nations subsidies had been taken out.
All this looks likes a defence of Scargill, it isnt though, because the thing he totally failed to understand is that in a democracy, you cannot have one group of workers repeatedly bringing down governments, and its this behaviour by miners, and to some extent other unions that meant they had to be controlled or broken.
Scargill knew what the battleground rules would be, he was a very poor strategist though, perhaps too arrogant in his power.
The miners fate was sealed way before he took office, he just played the part of public hate figure, and he fulfilled the role well.
It does not matter one jot which person had led the miners, once they had brought down a government for a second time, and had twisted government policy for so long, they had to be brought down.
Owly
You hear a lot of what I allude to, including the way certain prisoners were gathered together into Strangeways ?
As you may or may not know, trouble makers are kept away from each other in prison, in differant jails or at least in indefferant accommadation units, it took months for them all to land in Strangeways, against what any security manager would recommend, now why would that happen?
I’ve met one or two prisoners who were there, and plenty more who claim they were but are just liars, its easy to read prisoner records and verify things.
Do you know about the timing of orders not to retake Strangeways when riot control staff were in place ? Do you know about where those orders originated ?
…and can you surmise why those orders were given ?
Jjimm
Look at the pro-hunt violence recently, it really would not do to have lots of middle class folk voicing their protest in a civilised way, they might gain some kind of momentum…nothing changes does it.
Maybe those pro-hunt folk will understand recent political history, from police inspired riots at Orgreave(and the BBC doctoring of their recording of events - for which they were censured in court) to the anti-capitalism protests, to the police led riots in Trafalgar Square which you mention.
I somehow doubt it, folk tend to have a myopic overview of things.