# I Pit the ID-demanding GOP vote-suppressors (Part 1) **URL:** \ **Category:** The BBQ Pit\ **Created:** [June 12, 2012, 7:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-pit-the-id-demanding-gop-vote-suppressors-part-1/624943 "2012-06-12T19:15:52Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 8045
**Author:** ![Bricker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/977dab/32.png) [@Bricker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bricker)\ **Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 2:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-pit-the-id-demanding-gop-vote-suppressors-part-1/624943/8045 "2015-03-18T14:47:28Z")
> [@BobLibDem](#): > > Perhaps you might enlighten us as to why a few dozen potential noncitizen voters would be so catastrophic that it is well worth disenfranchising hundreds of thousands of citizens. > > My predictive skills are a bit better than adaher, so as to the 2016 races: Hillary will be a much stronger candidate than Jeb Bush. Her pantsuittails will pull some Dems into the House, perhaps not enough to get the gavel away from Agent Orange, but it will cut deep into his caucus. In the Senate, the simple math is that there will be more at-risk Republican seats than Democratic seats plus the fact that the presidential electorate is much bluer than the midterm electorate. Not to mention that as the oldsters die off, the national electorate becomes less red. > > What excuse will I make if the Senate stays in Satan’s hands? Depends on what the situation is. If a domestic terror attack mobilizes the Islamophobes or the stock market crashes, those would be potential reasons to shun the president’s party. Other than that, we’ll have to wait for the election and I will enlighten you with my theories as to how it will play out. Here’s your predictive powers November 4th, 2014, at 1:06 PM: > [@Last Senate Predictions Before The Polls Close Tonight](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/last-senate-predictions-before-the-polls-close-tonight/703627/15): > > The GOP revolt falls short and McConnell goes down to defeat in Kentucky. And your sober analysis in August of 2014: > [@GOP still trending to win Senate](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/gop-still-trending-to-win-senate/695426/18): > > I like the Democrats’ chances in CO, IA, MI, and GA. If McConnell beaten in KY, a distinct possiblity, then Dems gain control. How sweet it would be if the deciding seat is McConnell’s loss. For the reader following along: McConnell faced Democratic Alison Grimes, the Kentucky Secretary of State, in the general election. He won 56% to 41%, an over 15 percentage points victory and his second-largest margin of victory for any of his senate races. In other words, it wasn’t even close. How sweet. You liked Colorado incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall’s chances against Republican then-Congressman Cory Gardner. Gardner beat incumbent Udall. You liked the Iowa Democrats’ chances of retaining Tom Harkin’s seat, which was sought by Bruce Braley, the Congressman for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District… and he of course lost to Republican State Senator Joni Ernst. In Michigan, the blind squirrel found the nut: your liking of Democratic Congressman Gary Peters was accurate as he won the Senate seat against Republican Terri Land. But not in Georgia, the last of your five predictions: David Perdue, a Republican with no prior elected office to his name, beat Michelle Nunn, a Democrat with no prior elected office to her name (well, strictly speaking, perhaps “name” isn’t correct, since her dad is longtime Georgia Senator Sam Nunn.) Remember those confident predictions? Remember how you constantly talked up the Democrats’ chances to keep the Senate in 2014? Remember how that didn’t happen? Remember how those failed predictions have cost you absolutely nothing here, and how you failed to learn anything from them and are still making specious predictions now? --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-pit-the-id-demanding-gop-vote-suppressors-part-1/624943)._