# I predict that Bernie Sanders will win the 2020 US Presidential election

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [February 25, 2020, 6:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507 "2020-02-25T18:34:57Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 19\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [February 25, 2020, 8:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/21 "2020-02-25T20:53:09Z")

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LOL!

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**Author:** ![drad\_dog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/aeb1de/32.png) [@drad\_dog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drad_dog)\
**Post date:** [February 25, 2020, 9:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/22 "2020-02-25T21:31:31Z")

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> [@Loach](#):
>
> There are three.

The third one will happen. Even without the second.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [February 25, 2020, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/23 "2020-02-25T23:04:00Z")

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> [@blindboyard](#):
>
> I predict that Bloomberg will run the best funded third party campain since Perot

I don’t think so. Bloomberg must know that third party campaigns always lose. And I don’t think he has the ego to think he will be the exception or that he needs to validate himself just by running. Plus, he’s made getting Trump out of office a central issue of his campaign and he would have to reverse everything he’s said and done if he ran as an independent.

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [February 25, 2020, 11:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/24 "2020-02-25T23:45:56Z")

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I like the call, but there are still too many unknown unknowns. Chief among them is the coronavirus outbreak. The stock market is down two days in a row now. IMHO there’s a fair chance that we could be looking at the beginning of a recession triggered by the outbreak. That would seem to favor Bernie. But if we do end up with a true pandemic what happens if Bernie himself catches the damn thing? His health in general is another concern. He needs to name a running mate as soon as it becomes clear he is likely to win the nomination to help calm people’s nerves.

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**Author:** ![drad\_dog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/aeb1de/32.png) [@drad\_dog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drad_dog)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 12:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/25 "2020-02-26T00:14:09Z")

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No he won’t win. He will get coronavirus.

Just kidding.

Anyone else look forward to debates between bernie and trump?

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**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 12:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/26 "2020-02-26T00:20:11Z")

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> [@drad\_dog](#):
>
> No he won’t win. He will get coronavirus.

Or we all will and the ten immune people will just pick lots to see who is leader.

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 12:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/27 "2020-02-26T00:49:13Z")

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> [@drad\_dog](#):
>
> No he won’t win. He will get coronavirus.
> 
> Just kidding.
> 
> Anyone else look forward to debates between bernie and trump?

Debates? Individual 1 will refuse debates no matter the nominee, then claim that it was the _opponent_ who was afraid to debate them.

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**Author:** ![Cugel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cugel/32/1199_2.png) [@Cugel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cugel)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/28 "2020-02-26T01:12:03Z")

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Sanders is paying $3.60. Pretty sweet if you wanna plonk something down.

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**Author:** ![drad\_dog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/aeb1de/32.png) [@drad\_dog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drad_dog)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/29 "2020-02-26T01:34:20Z")

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> [@Ludovic](#):
>
> Debates? Individual 1 will refuse debates no matter the nominee, then claim that it was the _opponent_ who was afraid to debate them.

OK if that happens I will have had enough. I’m writing a letter to the times.

Seriously what happens when or it treonp refuses to debate? Is there a thread about it already? There should be.

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**Author:** ![JRDelirious](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jrdelirious/32/9531_2.png) [@JRDelirious](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JRDelirious)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/30 "2020-02-26T01:58:24Z")

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> [@drad\_dog](#):
>
> OK if that happens I will have had enough. I’m writing a letter to the times.

Now let’s not be rash…

> [@](#):
>
> Seriously what happens when or it treonp refuses to debate?

Same as when he refused to show his taxes.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/31 "2020-02-26T04:49:47Z")

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> [@drad\_dog](#):
>
> Seriously what happens when or it treonp refuses to debate? Is there a thread about it already? There should be.

My prediction: If Trump decides a debate will not help him, he will refuse. And then he will loudly claim that he wanted to debate and would have, of course, won easily. But the organization conducting the debates was trying to impose unfair rules on him because they’re part of the liberal conspiracy that wants him to fail. And he refused to endorse their unfair rules with honoring their debate with his presence.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 4:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/32 "2020-02-26T04:51:46Z")

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> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> Bernie Sanders would have beaten Trump in 2016. He will be the nominee this year. He will beat him in this election.

I agree that Sanders will be the nominee this year.

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**Author:** ![Paul\_in\_Qatar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ccd318/32.png) [@Paul\_in\_Qatar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Paul_in_Qatar)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 6:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/33 "2020-02-26T06:19:42Z")

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If he is nominated, I will vote for him. I would not bet on his victory however.

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**Author:** ![drad\_dog](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/aeb1de/32.png) [@drad\_dog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drad_dog)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 6:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/34 "2020-02-26T06:23:13Z")

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> [@Little\_Nemo](#):
>
> My prediction: If Trump decides a debate will not help him, he will refuse. And then he will loudly claim that he wanted to debate and would have, of course, won easily. But the organization conducting the debates was trying to impose unfair rules on him because they’re part of the liberal conspiracy that wants him to fail. And he refused to endorse their unfair rules with honoring their debate with his presence.

In an uncontested dictatorship that could happen.

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**Author:** ![ataraxy22](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ataraxy22/32/307_2.png) [@ataraxy22](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ataraxy22)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 6:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/35 "2020-02-26T06:35:48Z")

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> [@drad\_dog](#):
>
> No he won’t win. He will get coronavirus.
> 
> Just kidding.
> 
> Anyone else look forward to debates between bernie and trump?

There won’t be any. Trump will never agree to debate Sanders.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 6:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/36 "2020-02-26T06:46:30Z")

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> [@drad\_dog](#):
>
> In an uncontested dictatorship that could happen.

What? Trump will lie? Trump will blame other people for his faults? Trump will accuse people of conspiring against him?

I think we’re already living in that world.

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**Author:** ![SlackerInc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slackerinc/32/275_2.png) [@SlackerInc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlackerInc)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 7:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/37 "2020-02-26T07:13:11Z")

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I predict that Bo will subsequently make the opposite prediction, a few months from now. I further predict that when the election results are finalized, he will refer back to whichever prediction matches (while ignoring the other) and crow about his prescience. Just a hunch. 😉

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**Author:** ![Dale\_Sams](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/779978/32.png) [@Dale\_Sams](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dale_Sams)\
**Post date:** [February 26, 2020, 12:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/38 "2020-02-26T12:54:21Z")

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Given i just heard a 'pundit; say the race is down to “Bernie, Bloomberg and Sanders”…I’d say Bernie has an excellent chance!! Just win the Dem nom and he gets twice the votes!

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [February 27, 2020, 10:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-2020-us-presidential-election/848507/39 "2020-02-27T10:36:37Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Boy, I hate to rain on this parade but [this article has me worried.](https://www.politicususa.com/2020/02/25/sanders-swing-voters-miracle.html)
> 
> I feel like Republicans did in 2016 when they saw the nomination going to someone they didn’t think could win. But then again, DJT didn’t have a socialist label attached to him.

11 percent increases in youth turnout are relatively routine: [Bernie Sanders Can't Win (by as Much) Unless Youth Vote Surges (Like It Recently Has) - FAIR](https://fair.org/home/bernie-sanders-cant-win-by-as-much-unless-youth-vote-surges-like-it-recently-has/)

Happened from 00 to 04 and 14 to 18 (and the latter especially was far bigger than just 11). Not exactly unprecedented - if Kerry could do it, I think Bernie might be able to as well. Especially if he campaigns in legal weed.

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