# I predict that Donald Trump is going to win the election for POTUS this year.

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-donald-trump-is-going-to-win-the-election-for-potus-this-year/747810>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [March 3, 2016, 5:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-donald-trump-is-going-to-win-the-election-for-potus-this-year/747810 "2016-03-03T05:22:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 16

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [March 3, 2016, 1:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/i-predict-that-donald-trump-is-going-to-win-the-election-for-potus-this-year/747810/16 "2016-03-03T13:35:16Z")

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> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> I apologize for not replying to your post in the other thread, **GIGO**.
> 
> I don’t think the polls will remain the way that they have been. Trump’s campaign is snowballing right now and as I’ve said, people tend to jump on a winner’s bandwagon. I think we’re going to see that happen to a tremendous, even unprecedented, degree in the next 8 months.

Again, snowballing in the Republican dungeon. (someone made a reference to Trump having a lot of rolls of the die in a D&D setting) Now Trump has to face the world over the dungeon and the same polls that showed Trump winning in the Republicans are now as consistent, Hillary has been ahead for months now.

> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> And it’s not that I’m worried about Clinton’s negatives and ignoring Trump’s, it’s that the general public is and will ignore Trump’s negatives. Every time he’s attacked it’s going to make him look stronger. Every time someone acquiesces to him, like Christie did, it’s going to make him look stronger. And make no mistake, the GOP will acquiesce to him this summer. Oh, there will be some, perhaps quite a few who don’t and who actively oppose him, but I think that will only reinforce his air of strength because people are mad as hell at the establishment and it’s largely only the establishment members of the GOP who will repudiate him.

That is exactly my point, the only difference is that I look at the data available and a lot of what Trump and the Republicans are telling us is indeed political bullshit, like when Trump crowed about Hispanics voting for him.

Hispanics in Nevada voting for Republicans were actually few and the media swallowed the idea that the 45% of them voting for Trump was meaningful outside the dungeon.

> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> I hope I’m wrong. I actively want to be wrong. I think a Trump presidency would be disastrous for the country. But so far, the trends I see have that disaster occurring.

So far I see you relying on anecdotes and not very good data.

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