# If it works in the Phillipins should Mexico try the same?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [August 23, 2016, 6:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748 "2016-08-23T18:10:29Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 12

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**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 6:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/221 "2016-09-12T18:52:51Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> You insistence of being only one nation would lead to the idea that just because only one did try and it is looking to be successful that that would not be of much use since only one country did it.
> 
> As it turns out there are more than just one that are doing more humane solutions than the ones Duterte are using. And with better outcomes really.

And what does that have to do with whether or not this could work for the Philippines? Really who gives a shit what works in Switzerland and some other country that isn’t plagued by the sort of drug violence and organized crime that the Philippines is plagued with?

> [@](#):
>
> Because, as the evidence in the video showed the war on drugs being done mostly as a punitive action (that is, mostly the stick and not the carrot) leads nations to the corruption of their institutions.

America uses sticks and not carrots and noone seems to be accusing America of corrupt institutions. You sure you’re not hyperventilating here?

> [@](#):
>
> Because on the way to fight the monsters that way, the history I checked tells me that the ones fighting the monsters will become one.

What history? Please be more explicit. Its really hard to rebutt your claims when they are so fucking vague.

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 7:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/222 "2016-09-12T19:05:27Z")

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> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> I assume you mean Marcos (you do mean Marcos don’t you? You are incredibly opaque in spelling out exactly what you mean).
> 
> So tell me. What did Marcos do BEFORE declaring martial law and becoming dictator that would be analogous to what Dutarte is doing now. You say that these extrajudicial killings are a sign that Dutarte is going to become a dictator and all you do is point to the fact that dictators have existed in other countries so this popularly elected President with ridiculously high popularity is also likely to become a dictator (mostly because you don’t like what he is doing).

The bogeyman changes, before it was communism, today is the war on drugs. While there is justification on fighting the former the reality is that, as I pointed out before, on the way of fighting the monsters Marcos became one. As the population has a history of many of them supporting dictators, history points to the current ruler to have a hard time avoiding that fate.

It “helps” that he not only talks like a dictator but also applies solutions like one.

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**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 7:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/223 "2016-09-12T19:08:24Z")

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> [@tomndebb](#):
>
> NO.
> 
> Given that Gigo was already Mod Noted for his behavior, your attempt to use his “method of argument” means that you are violating a Mod’s instructions.

Of course you are right. Despite moderators ignoring GIGOs use this sort of argument more than half a dozen times for over a week before stepping in, I deserve to get modded for parroting him once because that is EXACTLY like what he did. So, I apologize.

> [@](#):
>
> So, if you do not want to incur a Warning, you will knock off this bullshit now.
> 
> [/Moerating]

How many times do I have to do something before it becomes bullshit and how many times does GIGO get to do it before it becomes bullshit? I’m just trying to figure out what the quotas are here. Your mod note seemed to indicate that it was the frequency of the bullshit argument that made it a moddable offense. If once is enough then why wasn’t he given a warning rather than just get modded? Because frankly I started to find it insulting pages ago, around the second or third time he used it.

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**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 7:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/224 "2016-09-12T19:15:48Z")

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> [@scabpicker](#):
>
> You can go believe self-reporting, it’s notoriously unreliable. There’s at least some segment of murders not being investigated because of how the victim would be framed. What the hell do you think extra-judicial killing even means? Do you think it comes with an extra side order of justice?

I asked for a cite. DO yo actually have a cite that the policed aren’t investigating murders anymore? Because THAT was the inference. That you could settled old scores by saying that the dead guy was a drug dealer. You have ANY cites that the police are just saying “oh, OK, we’ll let that one slide then”

> [@](#):
>
> The street isn’t the only place we’re talking about, are we? We’re talking about the entirety of a country.

How exactly do you think drugs are being sold in the Philippines? Its not discreet unless the customers want to be discreet.

> [@](#):
>
> No, I just know which way is backward to disorder.

Or it is a bloody path to a better society.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 7:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/225 "2016-09-12T19:19:22Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> The bogeyman changes, before it was communism, today is the war on drugs. While there is justification on fighting the former the reality is that, as I pointed out before, on the way of fighting the monsters Marcos became one. As the population has a history of many of them supporting dictators, history points to the current ruler to have a hard time avoiding that fate.
> 
> It “helps” that he not only talks like a dictator but also applies solutions like one.

So he is already a dictator (the dude was literally elected a few months ago and has a 90%+ popularity rating but you don’;t like his methods (which were a central platform of his campaign).

So did Marcos employ death squads to kill communists and stuff before he declared himself dictator? No/ Then your analogy fails entirely. The fact that dictators exist and the fact that they have existed in the Philippines has nothing to do with whether or not a politician fulfills campaign promise to kill drug dealers and to support others in their efforts to kill drug dealers.

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**Author:** ![Human\_Action](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/ac91a4/32.png) [@Human\_Action](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Human_Action)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 7:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/226 "2016-09-12T19:20:01Z")

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Do you have any kind of argument that decriminalization _wouldn’t_ work in the Philippines? Other than not producing enough corpses for you?

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 7:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/227 "2016-09-12T19:41:43Z")

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> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> And what does that have to do with whether or not this could work for the Philippines? Really who gives a shit what works in Switzerland and some other country that isn’t plagued by the sort of drug violence and organized crime that the Philippines is plagued with?

In those countries violence and crime were increasing at a fast rate, until a more humane solution was used.

That is the good “shit” we should look at; so yes, we should mind.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> America uses sticks and not carrots and noone seems to be accusing America of corrupt institutions. You sure you’re not hyperventilating here?

I just spoke with a retired marine that expressed disappointment on finding out how the USA was helping move weapons in Central America and other places back in the day.

Today a lot of the government institutions are corrupted in many nations thanks, not to the dirty wars of the past, but to the ongoing war on drugs. (And really, there were a lot of opportunities the Nixon administration must had foreseen to justify intervention in Latin America and many nations of the world thanks to the new war.)

The corruption is cropping up in the USA, just as it took place during the prohibition era regarding alcohol.

[http://www.vice.com/read/is-police-corruption-inevitable-in-the-war-on-drugs](http://www.vice.com/read/is-police-corruption-inevitable-in-the-war-on-drugs)

> [@](#):
>
> Last week, police in Pennsylvania pulled over a car carrying three men and apparently $2 million worth of weed. Among the 247 pounds of pot and $11,000 in cash in the vehicle, investigators also found a law enforcement badge and service weapon belonging to California Sheriff’s deputy Christopher Heath, one of the men arrested and a frequent drug investigator in Northern California. Now Heath’s bosses have to figure out if the drug cases he led on their behalf will hold up in court given that one of their investigators has been outed as a corrupt cop.
> 
> Given how much money’s at stake in the drug game, the fact that police can be swayed to join the distributors they usually bust isn’t all that surprising. Yet police corruption in the drug war is often depicted by the media as a foreign phenomenon, consigned to countries with notoriously powerful cartels such as Mexico or Colombia—despite decades of high-profile examples of US authorities breaking bad, too.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> What history? Please be more explicit. Its really hard to rebutt your claims when they are so fucking vague.

Deal with it, if social studies (that includes history) was precise that would happen, but it does not in the real world. One has to look at what usually follows when better solutions are ignored and reprehensible ones are used. And it really looks like if your hypothetical has to dismiss a lot of what has been seen in the real world to make it “work” as you want it.

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 8:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/228 "2016-09-12T20:02:41Z")

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> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> Maybe you should read the title: “IF it works in the Philippines should Mexico try the same”
> 
> I have been spending almost the entire thread defending against people who want to change the hypothetical by saying “but it doesn’t work so I don’t really get what you are asking”

OK, then according to [sentential logic](http://www.cut-the-knot.org/do_you_know/falsity.shtml) the answer to the question posed in the title is almost definitely yes. So you should be satisfied. Similarly, if pigs have wings, then I am the president of Madagascar.

But presumably this isn’t what you intended by your OP. The problem with not fighting the hypothetical is that we have difficulty coming up with a way in which the policies in the Philippines would work that it is hard to know whether whatever hypothetical miracle allowed them to work well without spiraling into dictatorship in the Philippines would hold in Mexico. It’s like asking, if adding 2 tablespoons of instant coffee to my gas tank improves its gas millage should we also add instant coffee to jet fuel?

We don’t know how to answer that until we know more about how instant coffee was supposed to help my cars fuel efficiency so we can determine whether the same properties would hold for jet engines.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 8:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/229 "2016-09-12T20:14:03Z")

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> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> So he is already a dictator (the dude was literally elected a few months ago and has a 90%+ popularity rating but you don’;t like his methods (which were a central platform of his campaign).

As pointed before that remains an argument ad populum. And as it was also pointed the Filipinos did support Marcos at those levels too. The point was that the elements to lead and to sustain a dictatorship are in place.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> So did Marcos employ death squads to kill communists and stuff before he declared himself dictator? No/ Then your analogy fails entirely.

Then I’m right once again:

> **[Extrajudicial killings and forced disappearances in the Philippines](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extrajudicial_killings_and_forced_disappearances_in_the_Philippines)**
>
> Extrajudicial killings and forced disappearances in the Philippines are illegal executions – unlawful or felonious killings – and forced disappearances in the Philippines. These are forms of extrajudicial punishment, and include extrajudicial executions, summary executions, arbitrary arrest and detentions, and failed prosecutions due to political activities of leading political, trade union members, dissident or social figures, left-wing political parties, non-governmental organizations, polit...

> [@](#):
>
> In 1995 10,000 Filipinos won a U.S. class-suit against the Ferdinand Marcos estate. The charges were filed by victims or their surviving relatives for torture, execution and disappearances.[17] Human rights groups placed the number of victims of extrajudicial killings under martial law at 1500 and over 800 abductions; Karapatan (a local human rights group’s) records show 759 involuntarily disappeared (their bodies never found). Military historian Alfred McCoy in his book “Closer than Brothers: Manhood at the Philippine Military Academy” and in his speech “Dark Legacy” cites 3,257 extrajudicial killings, 35,000 torture victims, and 70,000 incarcerated during the Marcos years.[18][19] The newspaper “Bulatlat” places the number of victims of arbitrary arrest and detention at 120,000.[20][21][22]

More over here:

[https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1984/04/12/death-squads-claim-victims-in-asia/5306daec-83a4-4e1b-9b1a-33284f39f94d/](https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1984/04/12/death-squads-claim-victims-in-asia/5306daec-83a4-4e1b-9b1a-33284f39f94d/)

And more relevant, just as I saw in El Salvador a lot of the people accused of being Communists were not, their only fault was to demand better conditions for workers and the people.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> The fact that dictators exist and the fact that they have existed in the Philippines has nothing to do with whether or not a politician fulfills campaign promise to kill drug dealers and to support others in their efforts to kill drug dealers.

Again, Ferdinand Marcos was a politician, and he became a dictator by not only targeting the communists, but his political enemies.

And from innocents being killed into getting rid of “meddlesome priests”, there is very little in the way to prevent that step from taking place.

> **[The kill list: how the Philippines’ leader is letting people get away with...](https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/09/kill-list-phillipines-duterte-mass-murder-china-united-states-rivalry-war-on-drugs)**
>
> President Rodrigo Duterte is exploiting the rivalry of China and the US to wage a ‘war on drugs’ that is cover for a tide of extrajudicial killings

> [@](#):
>
> The kill lists are largely the work of the police. Election rhetoric has quickly become policy with executions on the streets. Some reports estimate that 10 people are killed a day , but nothing can be verified: police forces are able to rely on self-defence, avoiding legal accountability even though there is a strong suggestion that innocent people are being caught up in the carnage.
> 
> One such case is that of 22-year-old Rowena Tiamson, a choir member whose body was found with hands bound and eyes and mouth sealed. Her desperate parents are pleading to have her corpse tested in an attempt for justice. What could be a mistaken identity is more likely to be a case of the war on drugs becoming a convenient cover for murder. Tiamson was not on her local kill list, the authorities have been forced to admit.
> 
> Duterte’s obsession with drugs is putting the internal security of a developing country – already struggling with Islamist and communist insurgencies, and devastating typhoons – at undue risk. Drugs are an issue in the Philippines but only one of many, and Duterte has failed to display any understanding that drug crime is more a symptom of many social problems rather than the cause. Poverty and corruption were rightly on Duterte’s manifesto, yet the drug obsession is blinding him and leading to carnage for a fundamentally flawed ideal.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 9:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/230 "2016-09-12T21:45:12Z")

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> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> That is a wild guess indeed. Why would someone with a 90% popularity rating have to kill political opponents? Because they hurt his feewings?

No, he might reason that since drugs still exist, his work isn’t over and he should stay in office, and anyone suggesting otherwise must be working for the druglords.

Not an implausible outcome to anyone reasonable.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 10:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/231 "2016-09-12T22:17:44Z")

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> [@Human\_Action](#):
>
> Do you have any kind of argument that decriminalization _wouldn’t_ work in the Philippines? Other than not producing enough corpses for you?

What makes you think I need corpses?

What are you trying to imply?

I mean was that last sentence really necessary or useful for the debate or were you just taking a cheap shot?

If killing those drug dealers leads to lower body counts among the general population, would that make a difference to you or doesn’t it matter? I just like high body counts?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 10:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/232 "2016-09-12T22:30:29Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> In those countries violence and crime were increasing at a fast rate, until a more humane solution was used.

And how bad did they get? Did they get as bad as the US crime rate or had they actually gotten as bad as the Philippines?

> [@](#):
>
> That is the good “shit” we should look at; so yes, we should mind.

So how bad was it in Switzerland? What was the murder rate before they started and what was it after they had it in place? Oh it started out pretty low and it stayed pretty low because there weren’t really that many murders by drug cartels? Then nothing you say about Switzerland is meaningful enough that you should feel comfortable substituting your judgment from the other side of the world for the judgment of 90% of Filipinos that have to live with the results of various policies.

> [@](#):
>
> I just spoke with a retired marine that expressed disappointment on finding out how the USA was helping move weapons in Central America and other places back in the day.
> 
> Today a lot of the government institutions are corrupted in many nations thanks, not to the dirty wars of the past, but to the ongoing war on drugs. (And really, there were a lot of opportunities the Nixon administration must had foreseen to justify intervention in Latin America and many nations of the world thanks to the new war.)
> 
> The corruption is cropping up in the USA, just as it took place during the prohibition era regarding alcohol.
> 
> [http://www.vice.com/read/is-police-corruption-inevitable-in-the-war-on-drugs](http://www.vice.com/read/is-police-corruption-inevitable-in-the-war-on-drugs)

Do you think that sporadic corruption is not the same thing as institutional corruption? Because if not then your post is meaningless, if so then every institution in the world from the catholic church to the US military is corrupt.

> [@](#):
>
> Deal with it, if social studies (that includes history) was precise that would happen, but it does not in the real world. One has to look at what usually follows when better solutions are ignored and reprehensible ones are used. And it really looks like if your hypothetical has to dismiss a lot of what has been seen in the real world to make it “work” as you want it.

I was just asking for examples. You make statements that history is replete with examples of something and then fail to mention any examples. And when you do mention examples it becomes clear that your examples don’t really support your argument.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 10:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/233 "2016-09-12T22:39:12Z")

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> [@Buck\_Godot](#):
>
> OK, then according to [sentential logic](http://www.cut-the-knot.org/do_you_know/falsity.shtml) the answer to the question posed in the title is almost definitely yes. So you should be satisfied. Similarly, if pigs have wings, then I am the president of Madagascar.

So you think that the situation in the Philippines and Mexico are similar enough that Dutarte’s policies could work there if they worked in the Philippines?

> [@](#):
>
> But presumably this isn’t what you intended by your OP. The problem with not fighting the hypothetical is that we have difficulty coming up with a way in which the policies in the Philippines would work that it is hard to know whether whatever hypothetical miracle allowed them to work well without spiraling into dictatorship in the Philippines would hold in Mexico. It’s like asking, if adding 2 tablespoons of instant coffee to my gas tank improves its gas millage should we also add instant coffee to jet fuel?
> 
> We don’t know how to answer that until we know more about how instant coffee was supposed to help my cars fuel efficiency so we can determine whether the same properties would hold for jet engines.

So you see no conceivable way that drug related violence would be reduced by killing drug dealers? Did I mention the 600,000 criminals that turned themselves in to the police?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [September 12, 2016, 10:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/234 "2016-09-12T22:48:54Z")

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> [@Human\_Action](#):
>
> Do you have any kind of argument that decriminalization _wouldn’t_ work in the Philippines? Other than not producing enough corpses for you?

That’s enough right there. Any more personal cracks and it’s warning time.

That goes for everyone.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 13, 2016, 12:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/235 "2016-09-13T00:47:43Z")

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> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> I was just asking for examples. You make statements that history is replete with examples of something and then fail to mention any examples. And when you do mention examples it becomes clear that your examples don’t really support your argument.

This is not what I did, you have to take this back.

Everyone can see that your point here omits the example of what Ferdinand Marcos did with his death squads. Your hypothetical is being made to “work” mostly by omitting good information that undermines your premise, and then the attempt is to undermine it more with poor reasons, your point there is begging that the information provided does not exist.

And yet the video cited already pointed to the sources and one of the links goes here:

> **[Four Pillars drug strategy](https://vancouver.ca/people-programs/four-pillars-drug-strategy.aspx)**
>
> Vancouver's Four Pillars Drug Strategy is a coordinated, comprehensive approach that balances public order and public health in order to create a safer, healthier community.

> [@](#):
>
> About the four pillars approach
> 
> The four pillars approach to drug addiction was first implemented in Europe in the 1990s, and is based on four principals:
> 
> ```
> Harm reduction
> Prevention
> Treatment
> Enforcement  
> 
> ```
> 
> Successfully used in such cities as Geneva, Zurich, Frankfurt, and Sydney, this four pillars approach has resulted in a:
> 
> ```
> Dramatic reduction in the number of drug users consuming drugs on the street
> Significant drop in overdose deaths
> Reduction in the infection rates for HIV and hepatitis.
> 
> ```

You are very wrong by telling us that I did not have any examples. That was shown in the case of the evidence that showed that indeed Marcos did use death squads and against his political enemies, and he was popular too, until much more important political enemies began to be killed. And here is **another** cite about the crime reduction observed in Switzerland that supports what I said before already:

[http://reformdrugpolicy.com/beckley-main-content/new-approaches/future-directions-for-drug-policy-reform/switzerland/](http://reformdrugpolicy.com/beckley-main-content/new-approaches/future-directions-for-drug-policy-reform/switzerland/)

> [@](#):
>
> Drugs and crime are inextricably linked. Addicts need money to feed their habit, so they often commit theft. However, by prescribing addicts heroin, analysts have seen a reduction in serious crimes of up to 90% against property committed by drug users [3].

As the the sourced video I pointed before noted:

[QUOTE] 3:27 The prohibition of drugs also led to more violence and murders around the world. Gangs and cartels have no access to the legal system to settle disputes, so they use violence.This led to an ever-increasing spiral of brutality. According to some estimates, the homicide rate in the US is 25–75% higher because of the War on Drugs.

And in Mexico, the country on the frontline, an estimated 164,000 have been murdered between 2007 and 2014, more people than in the war zones of Afghanistan and Iraq in the same period, combined.

But where the War on Drugs might do the most damage to society is the incarceration of non-violent drug offenders.  
[/QUOTE]

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 13, 2016, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/236 "2016-09-13T01:53:23Z")

</div>

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> So you see no conceivable way that drug related violence would be reduced by killing drug dealers? Did I mention the 600,000 criminals that turned themselves in to the police?

It only helped to get the future marks into a list, Most of those only registered, they were not arrested. As pointed before not all crimes are the same and abuse is a common result, both from the police and the more violent criminals that now do know that they do not have anything to lose.

> **[Duterte's Brutal Drug War Skyrockets Killings In The Philippines](https://www.huffpost.com/entry/rodrigo-duterte-philippines-drugs-vigilante-killings_n_57aa0e8ae4b0ba7ed23d9fef)**
>
> Hundreds are being shot dead in the street.

> [@](#):
>
> In addition to the rise in extrajudicial killings, thousands of people have surrendered themselves to authorities out of fear of being targeted in the drug crackdown. As many as 600,000 people have turned themselves in, according to Philippine officials,\*\* but the majority of those have not been imprisoned.\*\*

It is clear that in this case the authorities do know that not all crimes can be treated the same, but as the news article points out, the poor are the ones that are being targeted.

As I expected, the rich are spared the inconvenience, meaning that the drug trafficking continues at higher levels. This usually happens with neo fascists, they do know that the powerful needs to be kept happy so their support is maintained.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 13, 2016, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/237 "2016-09-13T01:54:59Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> As pointed before that remains an argument ad populum. And as it was also pointed the Filipinos did support Marcos at those levels too. The point was that the elements to lead and to sustain a dictatorship are in place.  
> Then I’m right once again:
> 
> [Extrajudicial killings and forced disappearances in the Philippines - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extrajudicial_killings_and_forced_disappearances_in_the_Philippines)

Did you read your own cite? Those extrajudicial killings all seem to have been during the period during or following martial law. In other words, AFTER Marcos became a dictator.

So how is Marcos a good example of how extrajudicial killings are a good PREDICTOR of someone becoming a dictator?

> [@](#):
>
> More over here:
> 
> [https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1984/04/12/death-squads-claim-victims-in-asia/5306daec-83a4-4e1b-9b1a-33284f39f94d/](https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1984/04/12/death-squads-claim-victims-in-asia/5306daec-83a4-4e1b-9b1a-33284f39f94d/)

Once again, you should read your cite beyond the headline. The extrajudicial killings mostly happened AFTER he became a dictator. So how much predictive value could they possibly have had?

> [@](#):
>
> And more relevant, just as I saw in El Salvador a lot of the people accused of being Communists were not, their only fault was to demand better conditions for workers and the people.

I’m sure you know more about El Salvador than I do.

Do you think a Swiss style policy would reduce your crime and murder levels to a level comparable to Switzerland?

Heck, El Salvador has the second highest murder rate in the world after Honduras (in prior years it had the highest murder rate). Like worse than Iraq and Syria.

> [@](#):
>
> Again, Ferdinand Marcos was a politician, and he became a dictator by not only targeting the communists, but his political enemies.
> 
> And from innocents being killed into getting rid of “meddlesome priests”, there is very little in the way to prevent that step from taking place.
> 
> [The kill list: how the Philippines’ leader is letting people get away with murder | Tom Smith | The Guardian](https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/09/kill-list-phillipines-duterte-mass-murder-china-united-states-rivalry-war-on-drugs)

Do you still claim you know how dictators gain power? Because you seem to have a lot of that wrong so far. You seem to have a good idea what dictators do AFTEr they have gained power and are trying to keep it. Not something you have to do when you are popularly elected and have a 90% approval rating like Dutarte.

Do you still contend that Dutarte is a crime boss trying to consolidate his power?

Do you still contend that the vigilantes in Mexico are worse than the Knights Templar cartel?

SO other than the fact that this guy does shit you don’t like, What evidence do you have that he intends to become a dictator?

So despite your failure to give an example of a popular politician becoming a dictator because he engaged in extrajudicial killings you still think that a popular politician who engages in extrajudicial killings is proven by history to likely become a dictator?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [September 13, 2016, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/238 "2016-09-13T01:57:14Z")

</div>

> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> You are very wrong by telling us that I did not have any examples. That was shown in the case of the evidence that showed that indeed Marcos did use death squads and against his political enemies, and he was popular too, until much more important political enemies began to be killed.

All your cites so far seem to point to killings AFTER he became a dictator

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 13, 2016, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/239 "2016-09-13T03:04:53Z")

</div>

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> All your cites so far seem to point to killings AFTER he became a dictator

:rolleyes:

My cited “popular” point I made referred to Marcos gaining a huge margin of victory in **1981** , He was pointed as beginning to be known as a dictator when he declared martial law and did not let it go from 1972. It was also then where his death squads became more active and were already active in 1981 and more.

IOW, I was not talking about my point depending on the death squads being active “AFTER” he became dictator. That point is a straw man. I did not put a timeline on that point, you did, hence very easy to dismiss in what logic tell us is a fallacy move. The point I made was that Marcos became a dictator after being democratically elected, **and** he did use death squads to consolidate power and he did so with a lot of support from the population.

Most of the people, I hope, did not know what they were supporting; but the reason I pointed at his popularity (in 1981) was that is was a factor that allowed a dictatorship to grow and to remain in power. Duterte just has that card very early on his deal.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [September 13, 2016, 3:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/if-it-works-in-the-phillipins-should-mexico-try-the-same/763748/240 "2016-09-13T03:53:57Z")

</div>

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> Did you read your own cite? Those extrajudicial killings all seem to have been during the period during or following martial law. In other words, AFTER Marcos became a dictator.

As pointed before, yes I did read the cite, the argument you made deals with it by making it a straw man. I did not make a point of putting the death squads before of “AFTER” he became a dictator. Only that the elements are there to make a dictator’s soup, the order of the ingredients was not important in the point I was making there.

A lot of questions are beginning to look a lot like JAQs. But this has to be replied to:

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> Do you still contend that Dutarte is a crime boss trying to consolidate his power?

There are already articles that shows who he tries to emulate.

> [@](#):
>
> Extrajudicial killings are not new in the Philippines. Historian Alfred McCoy — the author of several books on modern Philippine history — calculates that 3,257 people were killed by the regime of dictator Ferdinand Marcos, who ruled from 1965 to ’86, while around 70,000 were imprisoned. ( **Duterte has openly expressed admiration for Marcos, and his decision to bury the former dictator at the Heroes’ Cemetery in Manila led to the first public protests since the former Davao mayor took office.** )

The Time article also does mention how he said that he knew who was making the killings in the city he was a leader before becoming president.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> Do you still contend that the vigilantes in Mexico are worse than the Knights Templar cartel?

Straw man again, I only pointed that the solution there does not make it better.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> SO other than the fact that this guy does shit you don’t like, What evidence do you have that he intends to become a dictator?

As he did show the finger to the Filipinos that revolted against Marcos by burying him in the place of Heroes, I could say that there is not much more needed, but the TIME article does point already at how bogus a lot of the drug war was in that country, and Duterte used the best demagogue moves to convince the people that he was the best person to solve a problem that was not as big as he claimed. Meaning that there are other reasons why he became “the fearless leader”.

> [@Damuri\_Ajashi](#):
>
> So despite your failure to give an example of a popular politician becoming a dictator because he engaged in extrajudicial killings you still think that a popular politician who engages in extrajudicial killings is proven by history to likely become a dictator?

The overall point was that it is likely, not that it was proven. When a line goes like “ **proven** by history **to likely become** ” that sounds contradictory. If it is proven already then it is no longer likely, it is certain. IMHO but that “it was proven” was not the point.

The point remains: History **points** that way, that does not mean that by force it will go that way, it is likely then that we will see a return to dictators in the Philippines during and after this cursed war on drugs continues and even after it stops being a good excuse to keep the misled population in place.

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