# I'm sick of this Global Warming!

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440>\
**Category:** The BBQ Pit\
**Created:** [August 16, 2013, 6:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440 "2013-08-16T18:57:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 218

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Trinopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/2bfe46/32.png) [@Trinopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Trinopus)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 12:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4341 "2015-06-25T00:22:38Z")

</div>

> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> What you are doing is actually a fraud . . .

Going back and quoting from a months-old post is really shitty debate technique.

Also, the drought in the southwestern region of the U.S. is not “local.” It’s a broader region than the blizzard in New England was…and you made a big pile-on about that.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 1:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4342 "2015-06-25T01:00:45Z")

</div>

> [@Trinopus](#):
>
> Also, the drought in the southwestern region of the U.S. is not “local.” It’s a broader region than the blizzard in New England was…and you made a big pile-on about that.

He fundamentally doesn’t understand the difference between weather and climate, so you’re talking to a wall here.

Global climate can certainly affect local weather, but local weather is not a microcosm of global climate. It is perfectly valid to say a regional variation (e.g., the drought in the southwestern region) has been exacerbated by climate change while also pointing out the fallacy of saying “New England was cold, therefore no global warming.” **FuXsie** can tell us how hilarious he finds it all he wants, and it does nothing but point out his ignorance and inability to look at this rationally…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 1:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4343 "2015-06-25T01:13:10Z")

</div>

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> The equivalent in climatology would be if Duluth, MN, refused to report their weather instrument readings. That just doesn’t happen.

I wasn’t even trying to compare the science, it was the aspects revealed about what is in store for somebody who simply asked questions, and tried to replicate a "scientific"study. Recall that our hapless gay hero wasn’t trying to attack or debunk anything, he was trying to get in on the action. Once he realized he was looking at some screwy data, and suspected it couldn’t be true, that’s where the story gets so damn interesting.

> [@](#):
>
> Why did it take so long for someone to discover the fraud? It’s a question many have asked in the last week and a half as observers both inside and outside of academia ponder what this scandal means for science. A big part of the answer, it turns out, lies in David Broockman’s story.

[The Case of the Amazing Gay-Marriage Data: How a Graduate Student Reluctantly Uncovered a Huge Scientific Fraud](http://nymag.com/scienceofus/2015/05/how-a-grad-student-uncovered-a-huge-fraud.html)

It’s the essential attitude, the way “science works”, revealed in stark detail, that I found so interesting. You will hear an internet fuckhead say “If anyone finds ANYTHING that shows global warming isn’t happening, they would get NOBEL PRIZES and be APPLAUDED, they would be FAMOUS!”, and the fuckhead actually believes their own rhetoric, even though it’s just something they made up, or heard somebody else say. It just isn’t true at all.

> [@](#):
>
> In fact, throughout the entire process, until the very last moment when multiple “smoking guns” finally appeared, Broockman was consistently told by friends and advisers to keep quiet about his concerns lest he earn a reputation as a troublemaker, or — perhaps worse — someone who merely replicates and investigates others’ research rather than plant a flag of his own.

what’s worse than being “a troublemaker”? Somebody who investigates and discovers fraudulent science. That’s the worst thing an upcoming science student can be. It’s also the kiss of death for established scientist. Going against the consensus is suicide.

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> Another mistake is accepting a published peer-reviewed scientific paper as The Truth of our Great Spaghetti Monster. The publication is just the start of the process of vetting, there’s still the adversarial steps where some scientists try to confirm and others try to dismiss the results. The commercial media is going to jump at everything that sells antacid, they just skip the whole vetting part just to fill in the 24-hour news cycle.

You seemed to have avoided reading the article I have quoted so much of.

It’s how such a fraud could make it to the journal SCIENCE, then sit there for so long, and nobody noticed. Much less tried to tear down such a startling new discovery. That isn’t supposed to be possible.

Recall that one reason was a respected and established person had given fraud the patina of respectability.

> [@](#):
>
> “Gee,” he replied, “that’s very surprising and doesn’t fit with a huge literature of evidence. It doesn’t sound plausible to me.” A few clicks later, Krosnick had pulled up the paper on his computer. “Ah,” he told the producer, “I see Don Green is an author. I trust him completely, so I’m no longer doubtful.”

So just one name being on the fraud allowed it a free pass. Even when it was obviously not even possible.

> [@](#):
>
> (Some people I spoke to about this case argued that Green, whose name is, after all, on the paper, had failed in his supervisory role. I emailed him to ask whether he thought this was a fair assessment. “Entirely fair,” he responded. “I am deeply embarrassed that I did not suspect and discover the fabrication of the survey data and grateful to the team of researchers who brought it to my attention.”

This is just an example of how people are easily fooled, when the “science” goes along with something they want to be true.

I think we all can agree if it had presented some unpleasant truth, that nobody wanted to be true, there is no way in hell the fraud would slip by with ease. That’s actually how most science works. In fact, the ever present bias and human emotions and desires, they are one of the main reasons science has rules and procedures, to avoid being pseudoscience.

This is why I am not surprised at all, when seemingly intelligent people have some sort of brain lock, when faced with facts and science they “don’t like”. This is true for both sides in the insipid climate war.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4344 "2015-06-25T01:34:29Z")

</div>

> [@Trinopus](#):
>
> Also, the drought in the southwestern region of the U.S. is not “local.”

Of course it is, it’s a much smaller region than the ones effected by the increasingly colder trends. It’s also far shorter in time. Yet it means so much to the alarmists, who at the same time finds a thirty year trend for the cold months “meaningless, just weather”. So a four year drought for a small area of the world means a lot, but a thirty year trend for much of the Northern Hemisphere is just weather. (can you see why I resort to mockery?)

The trend of much colder winter months, with increasing snow, is no anomaly, nor is it explainable by global warming theory. (Cohen has put forth a new theory, while maintaining warming as the cause, and he might be right)

Anyone who looks at the data can see it. It’s no mystery, it’s no secret.

It shows up in all kinds of data. (no surprise, the drought stricken areas do as well)

[10 year trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0103&year1=2005&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob)  
[20 year trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0102&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob)  
[20 year trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0201&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob)!  
even the thirty year trend, [most obvious when you use February data](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0201&year1=1988&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob). The period Cohen noted for the increasing snow cover, 1988-2010, is obvious, [even using the GISS data](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0102&year1=1988&year2=2010&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob). Five more years of data show [the trend is still happening](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0102&year1=1988&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob). (it’s no surprise that snow data also shows the same thing, since when it’s colder, there is more snow)

> [@Trinopus](#):
>
> It’s a broader region than the blizzard in New England was…and you made a big pile-on about that.

I noted the record cold in the north east US matched [the cooling trend for that region](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0103&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob), making it climate, not weather. Note that [summer shows a warming trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=0&type=trends&mean_gen=0603&year1=1996&year2=2014&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob) for the same area.

It is this asymmetric climate change that puts the basic global warming theory on thin ice. It’s supposed to be the other way around, the most warming in winter, over land, not the most warming in summer, over the oceans.

That is climate change as well, but it’s not global warming, as defined by the CO2 theory. This does not mean mankind isn’t changing the balance (because we certainly are), or that we are having no effect on our world. Far from it. We are fucking things up on so many levels.

But it does mean the basic global warming theory is either wrong, or our measurements are wrong, or that something else is dominating the changes.

This position puts me on every bodies shit list, in case this isn’t obvious. I don’t agree with either side, which is a suck ass place to be in a war. But fuck it all, I’m not going to surrender scientific principles to belief.

And then there is my abiding hatred of the fossil fuel industries, with their horrific track record of pollution, and not really giving a shit about the world.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4345 "2015-06-25T01:52:29Z")

</div>

The most basic look at recent changes should give anyone pause, if they know anything about basic global warming theory.

[This is not supposed to happen](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=02&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob).

The February trend should be higher than [the August trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=08&year1=1995&year2=2014&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob).

[The winter trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=1203&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob) should be much greater (warming) than [the summer trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=0603&year1=1995&year2=2014&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob).

You can see clearly, that even globally, the winter trend is half the summer trend. Basic global warming theory does not predict this, nor can it explain it. There are several models that do show this happening, but they are not based on current consensus theory.

Is it due to Cohen’s idea? That we are seeing an increasing negative feedback from early heavy snow fall? His track record is good, but not perfect of course.

Is it the sun? Is it something else?

The global warmist is sure it’s all global warming, which is why I consider them idiots. That isn’t science. You don’t decide something is happening, then explain everything based on what you already decided.

But like we see with the fuckhead punch bowlers here, even dropping a turd into the communal Kool-Aid is reason for celebration. (and just to fight ignorance, [it wasn’t actually Kool-Aid](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drinking_the_Kool-Aid) that Jim Jones spiked with poison, it was Flavor Aid he laced with cyanide)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Trinopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/2bfe46/32.png) [@Trinopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Trinopus)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 2:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4346 "2015-06-25T02:38:53Z")

</div>

> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> . . . The winter trend should be much greater (warming) than the summer trend . . .

Just so long as you remember that the northern hemisphere’s summer is the southern hemisphere’s winter. You’ve choked on that a few times.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![watchwolf49](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/e9c0ed/32.png) [@watchwolf49](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/watchwolf49)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 2:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4347 "2015-06-25T14:02:00Z")

</div>

> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> He fundamentally doesn’t understand the difference between weather and climate, so you’re talking to a wall here.
> 
> Global climate can certainly affect local weather, but local weather is not a microcosm of global climate. It is perfectly valid to say a regional variation (e.g., the drought in the southwestern region) has been exacerbated by climate change while also pointing out the fallacy of saying “New England was cold, therefore no global warming.” **FuXsie** can tell us how hilarious he finds it all he wants, and it does nothing but point out his ignorance and inability to look at this rationally…

Obviously you don’t understand the difference either. Please give your definitions. Go ahead and define “global climate”, because I’ve got a frozen wastelands and hot, humid rainforests, which of these is the “global” climate state?

The Sahara Desert has been growing for the past 10,000 years, due to global warming. Man-kind has had extremely little to do with this. Today it continues to grow, what evidence can you give that clearly links this continued growth to man’s activities? There’s the problem with the Alarmists claims; either they’re physically impossible or they’re well within the natural variability of any given climate state.

Either d **v** /dt = **B** + **G** + **F** … or it doesn’t … choose wisely.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/8edcca/32.png) [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hentor_the_Barbarian)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 2:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4348 "2015-06-25T14:18:16Z")

</div>

Yeah! And which is my body part? I have a head and a foot and an elbow, and so on… which one is my body part, smart guy? Choose wisely!

And which is the Ford vehicle? They make trucks, performance cars, luxury cars… If I want to characterize their company, which one do I select, smart guy?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4349 "2015-06-25T14:26:47Z")

</div>

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> The Sahara Desert has been growing for the past 10,000 years, due to global warming.

This is not true, unless you’re picking a very _specific_ and _selective_ interpretation of the history of the Sahara.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![watchwolf49](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/e9c0ed/32.png) [@watchwolf49](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/watchwolf49)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4350 "2015-06-25T14:57:06Z")

</div>

> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> The most basic look at recent changes should give anyone pause, if they know anything about basic global warming theory.
> 
> [This is not supposed to happen](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=02&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob).
> 
> The February trend should be higher than [the August trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=08&year1=1995&year2=2014&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob).
> 
> [The winter trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=1203&year1=1996&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob) should be much greater (warming) than [the summer trend](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=0603&year1=1995&year2=2014&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob).
> 
> You can see clearly, that even globally, the winter trend is half the summer trend. Basic global warming theory does not predict this, nor can it explain it. There are several models that do show this happening, but they are not based on current consensus theory.
> 
> Is it due to Cohen’s idea? That we are seeing an increasing negative feedback from early heavy snow fall? His track record is good, but not perfect of course.
> 
> Is it the sun? Is it something else?
> 
> The global warmist is sure it’s all global warming, which is why I consider them idiots. That isn’t science. You don’t decide something is happening, then explain everything based on what you already decided.
> 
> But like we see with the fuckhead punch bowlers here, even dropping a turd into the communal Kool-Aid is reason for celebration. (and just to fight ignorance, [it wasn’t actually Kool-Aid](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drinking_the_Kool-Aid) that Jim Jones spiked with poison, it was Flavor Aid he laced with cyanide)

What are you going on about here? All these pretty maps are showing is that within the various continental climates we will see a wide range of temperatures. All of this is perfectly normal, expected and well within the climate definition of such areas. It snows in Boston, and has for thirty million years. I think you’re making the same mistake as the Alarmist, you’re using far too short of a time interval to establish climate trends. The Little Ice Age that occurred within the past thousand years is perfectly normal, expected and in no way changes the warming tread we’ve been seeing for over the past 10,000 years, nor the cooling tread we’ve seen over the past 30,000,000 years, nor that the oceans will be boiled off into space in 2,000,000,000 years.

The Alarmists have equations looking for an observation, they may be waiting a very long time to find one. Hell, they don’t even know what they’re looking for.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![watchwolf49](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/e9c0ed/32.png) [@watchwolf49](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/watchwolf49)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 3:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4351 "2015-06-25T15:17:31Z")

</div>

> [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](#):
>
> Yeah! And which is my body part? I have a head and a foot and an elbow, and so on… which one is my body part, smart guy? Choose wisely!
> 
> And which is the Ford vehicle? They make trucks, performance cars, luxury cars… If I want to characterize their company, which one do I select, smart guy?

I have no idea what point you’re trying to make here, “Let not the eye sayeth to the foot I have no need of thee”. Is it the _dt_ that bothers you? I’m guessing you’re denouncing that particular equation, it must not fit your understanding of fluids.

> [@Gyrate](#):
>
> This is not true, unless you’re picking a very _specific_ and _selective_ interpretation of the history of the Sahara.

Okay … I’ll bite … what is the truthful interpretation of the history of the Sahara Desert?

* * *

If you say I’m wrong, it would be helpful if you stated what is right. C’mon, climatology in a vacuum, that’s rich.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/8edcca/32.png) [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hentor_the_Barbarian)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 3:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4352 "2015-06-25T15:31:11Z")

</div>

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> I have no idea what point you’re trying to make here, “Let not the eye sayeth to the foot I have no need of thee”. Is it the _dt_ that bothers you? I’m guessing you’re denouncing that particular equation, it must not fit your understanding of fluids.

Your demand was for people to look at a complex multicomponent system and choose the one component that represents “the” state of that system.

I was using absurd examples to illustrate how fucking stupid that request was.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![watchwolf49](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/e9c0ed/32.png) [@watchwolf49](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/watchwolf49)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4353 "2015-06-25T16:03:21Z")

</div>

> [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](#):
>
> Your demand was for people to look at a complex multicomponent system and choose the one component that represents “the” state of that system.
> 
> I was using absurd examples to illustrate how fucking stupid that request was.

No, the equation of motion for a fluid is held to be true in all cases (where **v** \<\< c). I’ll grant you that it only includes the components of matter and energy, completely ignoring the components of magic and hope.

However, you do bring up an especially important point, there are many factors that effect climate … it is wrong to say CO[sub]2[/sub] concentrations are the only one that changes climate. We cannot disregard all the smoke and soot being deposited in the lower Stratosphere, agriculture changes the Earth’s albedo, the sun’s output is not known to be constant … even the biota is evolving.

CO[sub]2[/sub] isn’t even the most abundant greenhouse gas …

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4354 "2015-06-25T16:10:52Z")

</div>

> [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](#):
>
> Your demand was for people to look at a complex multicomponent system and choose the one component that represents “the” state of that system.

Oh please, a reasonable person can tell he is using an analogy to illustrate the idiocy of using “global climate”, which you also pointed out is absurd.

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> What are you going on about here? All these pretty maps are showing is that within the various continental climates we will see a wide range of temperatures.

No, those are trend maps. The blue shows [the regions that we have observed an increase in snow](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=0102&year1=1988&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob), both colder and more snow for wide regions of the NH in winter is 100% against basic global warming theory.

[The extreme cooling trend can be seen using this view](http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?sat=4&sst=3&type=trends&mean_gen=0201&year1=1998&year2=2015&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=250&pol=rob), and that is certainly not what current theory predicts should happen. That is something else happening, even if the blame can be firmly laid on AGW, it certainly isn’t explained by the theory.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4355 "2015-06-25T16:14:14Z")

</div>

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> CO[sub]2[/sub] isn’t even the most abundant greenhouse gas …

It’s usually given high importance because of the claimed long retention time, and because it acts high in the atmosphere, where water vapor has little effect.

However, much of the warming observed can be due to the increase in stratospheric water vapor, even as high altitude jets dump a billion tons of water vapor into the stratosphere.

Scientist are still trying to figure out where all the water vapor is coming from.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4356 "2015-06-25T16:16:20Z")

</div>

> [@watchwolf49](#):
>
> Obviously you don’t understand the difference either. Please give your definitions. Go ahead and define “global climate”, because I’ve got a frozen wastelands and hot, humid rainforests, which of these is the “global” climate state?

> [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](#):
>
> Yeah! And which is my body part? I have a head and a foot and an elbow, and so on… which one is my body part, smart guy?

Now that’s fucking priceless. You don’t realize you are agreeing with each other.

Or something.

But you are [both wrong](http://www.livescience.com/4180-sahara-desert-lush-populated.html) about the Sahara. [Maybe](http://www.messagetoeagle.com/greensahara.php).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/8edcca/32.png) [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hentor_the_Barbarian)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4357 "2015-06-25T16:29:19Z")

</div>

If I misunderstood watchwolf49, I apologize.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4358 "2015-06-25T16:52:15Z")

</div>

> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> But you are [both wrong](http://www.livescience.com/4180-sahara-desert-lush-populated.html) about the Sahara. [Maybe](http://www.messagetoeagle.com/greensahara.php).

Those were actually the sites I looked at. Neither can be interpreted to say “The Sahara Desert has been growing for the past 10,000 years, due to global warming” unless you’re ignoring various other climatic changes that happened in between and use a loose definition of “global warming”.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 4:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4359 "2015-06-25T16:56:46Z")

</div>

> [@Gyrate](#):
>
> Neither can be interpreted to say “The Sahara Desert has been growing for the past 10,000 years, due to global warming” unless you’re ignoring various other climatic changes that happened in between and use a loose definition of “global warming”.

Indeed. The Sahara and the climate change around 6000 years ago is fascinating. When the planet was indeed much warmer (Holocene climatic optimum), the Sahara was getting rain, and sea levels worldwide were 3 meters higher. Much less ice on Greenland, it was a much warmer world then.

When it cooled, the deserts grew, and the ice grew, and now we are in a cold period, relative to then.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![watchwolf49](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/e9c0ed/32.png) [@watchwolf49](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/watchwolf49)\
**Post date:** [June 25, 2015, 7:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440/4360 "2015-06-25T19:02:10Z")

</div>

> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> No, those are trend maps.

The ones I’m looking at say “1995-2015” … that’s only twenty years … in any given 20 year time period, we can see all kinds of variations up and down. These very short term variations are normal and natural within the context of any climate tread. We have to look at the past half million years to see the climate treads, which generally cools and warms over 125,000 year cycles … and within this general cycle we see wild swings back and forth … 3º - 5ºC is fairly common and the Holocene climatic optimum is just more of the same.

So I got my magnifying glass out and maybe I should have said 20,000 years ago instead of 10,000 … I guess that doesn’t help my argument though if **FX** ’s article is correct, I can’t dispute it. Let the speech fact for itself.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440.md?page=217)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/im-sick-of-this-global-warming/666440.md?page=219)
