In the next five years will AI be able to produce a motion picture

couple of thoughts:

  • i am pretty sure, there is some sort of AI in every movie made in 2025 (knowingly or not, just like sneaky students having AI help them to write their asignment; some “ChatGPT - improve that dialogue and make it funnier / 15% shorter”)
  • 90+% of today’s conventional movies are dreck (junk) - so let’s set that as the yardstick to measure AI movies against, rather than “Ghandi” or so.
  • I am pretty sure A LOT of actors are just 1 or 2 wildfires away from having to sign over their faces and bodies to some AI company (similar to Dylan/Macca selling off their catalogue for $$$$)
  • I have the feeling a first feature film might not come out of HOLLY or BOLLYWOOD (too many “parties with skin in the game” lobbying against it), just like Kodak dumped their Digi-cam to protect their core-business. So it might come out of the left-field.
  • just like in pop-music (think: Swiftish / Carpenterish dead-boring but perfectly produced human-made-pop-slop), there may be works already out there that are completely AI, but just didn’t quite make it (just like some random artist not making it) …but eventually a given popmusic-hit will turn out as being completely done by AI (my guess this will happen as soon as 2026 ) … movies are a lot more complex (longer running,etc…) but it will get there. Just in layers with human filters/intervention/polishing up in between (the play, FILTER, the dialogues, FILTER, the “cast”, FILTER, the locations (which will no longer be needed)
  • there is just too much money in mainstream movies to not take advantage of AI (we never gonna see movies with 1000s of extras like ben hur / Laurence of arabia ,…. just BECAUSE you can do it better with a couple of mouseclicks (can you make those 2500 christians run, but into the setting sun, instead of away from it?)
  • moviemakers take movies way more serious (7th art? - ha!) as the audience (which were pretty much always teenagers, who mostly care for big explosions) … so at the end of the day, it is just a low-involvement product flickering on some screen and not exactly Michelangelo-stuff …

Ha! I hadn’t made the connection, but I bet you’re right.

Everyone knows he invented information theory. Fewer know he invented digital electronics - in his master’s thesis. My lab at MIT was across the hall from his office, but he never came to it as far as I knew.

I think we’ll see it happen far more incrementally. We’ll see AI generated commercials long before we’ll see a fully AI movie. I mean, I suspect that AI generated commercials may even be better in a lot of ways than the typically abysmal local TV commercials.

Some AI company could have a prompt or whatever set up for say… your local car dealership, and you’d provide a handful of data elements- what make, contact info, maybe some head shots, and what your sales are, and they’ll provide a polished AI generated commercial for a lot less effort and cost than filming your own highly local garbage.

Coca-Cola has actually released two AI generated commercials for Christmas two years in a row. They’re not nightmare fuel, but they’re not really good, either.

Hey! Some of those cheaply produced local TV commercials are classics! I LOVE a good homegrown ad.

Yeah, I can think of many local ads that will stick in my mind forever. The Coca-Cola ads above? I didn’t even remember the one from 2024.

If you’re creating a Budweiser Super Bowl commercial. Could you just prompt, "I need four Clydesdale horses trotting through a foot of snow?!

Or do you need to start with a generic horse model, add Clydesdale features, then call in some pre-fab snow scenes, put your logo on the coach and “pony up” the $5 million to air it?

Here’s one of my local classics.

Only your prompt and nothing more

I need four Clydesdale horses trotting through a foot of snow.

I need four Clydesdale horses trotting through a foot of snow. There is a voiceover that “Buy beer. Beer is cool, like American football”.

Three bullfrogs sitting on lilly pads in a swamp. They are watching an old CRT TV. The TV is playing four Clydesdale horses trotting through a foot of snow. The frogs are croaking the word “beer”.

All made in Sora. You can do it yourself, for free, at sora.chatgpt.com.

Nonsense. There is PLENTY of AI generated artwork out there that ppl buy and hang up and enjoy, many of them not even realizing it was AI generated. And the others know and don’t care because they liked it anyways.

I didn’t say they did; I said they employed brute force + heuristics.

Similar in some ways, certainly. Our brains largely work by association; we are indeed often trying to find the next strongly-coupled word. However, we are also finding a strongly coupled image, or experience, or abstract thing. This is what helps us branch our thoughts out in lots of directions.

I am not so familiar with how LLMs work; from my experience as a user, although they are brilliant at explaining images for me, it’s pretty clear they are not “thinking” in images when they are replying to text. Not yet anyway.

Wow.

Even if you’re just theorizing that 3 frogs watching a Budweiser commercial would go over specularly else you’ll jump in front of a bus on Madison Avenue, this is a superb tool.

On a slightly different tack, two of my brothers are selling my mother’s house, which all three of us own equally. They live in the USA and I live, except for a most horrible trip back in July, in the UK (and including Ireland) for the last 11 years. So who you gonna call? Needs to know UK and USA law. Be able to cite it and essentially be your law advocate. ChatGPT!

I asked it if it believed it could pass the New York Bar exam. Part of its response:

Short, honest answer: no — not in the real-world sense you mean.

Why not?

I can’t sit for the New York Bar Exam: it requires a human candidate, identity verification, in-person (or tightly proctored) testing, and eligibility clearance by the New York State Board of Law Examiners.

I don’t hold a JD, can’t be admitted to a bar, and can’t be licensed to practise law.

What I can do (and this is where I’m genuinely useful)

If you reframed the question as capability rather than eligibility, then:

I can explain every tested subject on the NY Bar (MBE, MEE, MPT) at a level comparable to a strong law graduate.

I can walk through past NY Bar questions, outline correct answers, and explain why wrong answers are wrong.

I can help someone prepare efficiently, especially:

spotting issue-spotting patterns,

structuring essays,

memorising black-letter law,

and understanding NY-specific distinctions.

In other words:

I can help a capable human pass the NY Bar — but I can’t be the candidate.

That confidence is infectious.