# In what states will Trump do better than a different GOP candidate would

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 5, 2016, 10:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762 "2016-11-05T22:06:32Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 11\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Wesley\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wesley_clark/32/20581_2.png) [@Wesley\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wesley_Clark)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2016, 10:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/1 "2016-11-05T22:06:32Z")

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Ohio, Pennsylvania, Iowa?

Trump’s appeal seems to be in high school educated whites, so I’d guess states with a higher % of them and a higher % of people who work(ed) in manufacturing would see more Trump support as opposed to a candidate like Jeb or Cruz.

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**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2016, 10:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/2 "2016-11-05T22:10:17Z")

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The Rust Belt, like you said. A normal GOP candidate couldn’t fire up the coal workers, steel workers, West Virginians, rural Pennsylvanians the same way. That is the region where anti-establishment, anti-free-trade, anti-globalism, anti-elite sentiment is strong.

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2016, 10:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/3 "2016-11-05T22:45:32Z")

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Yep, he does better in the white rust belt. But it still might not be good enough to gain PA.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2016, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/4 "2016-11-05T22:47:46Z")

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I’m guessing he would be do great in Idaho.

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**Author:** ![Sterling\_Archer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f1d935/32.png) [@Sterling\_Archer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sterling_Archer)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 3:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/5 "2016-11-07T03:49:56Z")

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States with lots of white people and few college grads. Like Iowa. ☹

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/6 "2016-11-07T04:24:42Z")

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With all of the Clintons and Obamas swarming Michigan this weekend, I’d say Michigan.

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**Author:** ![ZipperJJ](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zipperjj/32/211_2.png) [@ZipperJJ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ZipperJJ)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 4:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/7 "2016-11-07T04:31:23Z")

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I feel like Trump is going to win Ohio. I know plenty of educated white guys who are voting for him too. They will help the uneducated angry white guys tip him over.

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**Author:** ![Begotten](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/43a26b/32.png) [@Begotten](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Begotten)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 5:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/8 "2016-11-08T05:49:21Z")

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Supposedly he is expected to do better than Romney just about everywhere. Except maybe Utah.

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**Author:** ![Rick\_Kitchen](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rick_kitchen/32/522_2.png) [@Rick\_Kitchen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rick_Kitchen)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 7:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/9 "2016-11-08T07:25:54Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> I’m guessing he would be do great in Idaho.

I dunno, he isn’t very popular with the Mormons.

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**Author:** ![Jack\_Batty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jack_batty/32/3201_2.png) [@Jack\_Batty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jack_Batty)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 9:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/10 "2016-11-08T09:05:38Z")

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Maine. He’ll probably get a couple of electoral votes out of the Rednecks of the North.

I don’t believe Maine has ever split their Electoral Votes before (at least not since I’ve been paying attention to politics).

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 10:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/in-what-states-will-trump-do-better-than-a-different-gop-candidate-would/770762/11 "2016-11-08T10:37:41Z")

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> [@Begotten](#):
>
> Supposedly he is expected to do better than Romney just about everywhere. Except maybe Utah.

I think he’ll do worse than Romney in the more urban Southern states like North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.
