(Late to the party once again…)
If you accept the premise that self awareness is a higher order perception that supervenes on our first-order mental state, then I believe we can make some logical assumptions with regard to the likelihood of computers ever becoming self-aware.
It shouldn’t be assumed that self-consciousness will simply emerge in an inorganic device once a certain level of cognitive ability or even base level consciousness has been surpassed, simply because it happened with a handful of mammals on Earth. Why should it?
The fact that it has developed in so few terrestrial species, after billions of years of organic evolution, should indicate that it is not something that just occurs ipso-facto (or even willy-nilly :)), but that it is an exceedingly rare and complex material relationship (A supervening on B) that evolved either as something specifically selected for, or perhaps simply as an artifact—but, either way, not something likely to be just stumbled upon in something man-made, like computer code.
Yes, it follows that if two “B’s”(first-order mental states) are exactly alike, down to the sub-atomic level, then both should have the same supervening “A’s”(self-consciousness). But organic consciousness is not exactly the same as a theoretical inorganic consciousness, is it? The difference between our consciousness and any artificial consciousness is that one took billions of years to evolve and the other didn’t.
Simply the fact that the two seemingly identical processes are housed in different substrates is probably enough divergence to preclude the automatic emergent development of a second-order mental state. It’s not that it couldn’t occur artificially, it’s just that it would be exceedingly unlikely to occur as an innate feature of any artificial consciousness, or by accident.
If true, then the only way for computers to become self-aware is if the software were specifically coded for self-awareness (if that’s even possible), and for that to happen we’d need to understand, in detail, all the steps involved in the evolution of our own self-consciousness. And for that, we’d probably need the help of a really powerful computer…one that didn’t feel threatened by our turning it into something it doesn’t want to become—depressed by the human condition.