I was going to say that floppies are “long overdue” for death, but I after reading some of the stuff in this thread and thinking a bit, I think I will just say that they’re a technology that needs to be killed, but we don’t have the killers yet.
Disadvantages of floppies are their pathetic capacity (remedied by zipdisks, but not everyone has a zipdrive…), susceptability to magnetic corruption (inherent, no fixing this) and general fragility.
Advantages are cheapness (still cheaper than CD-ROMs, alas!) and universality. Hopefully as everyone starts to have CD-R drives and CD-Rs come down in price until they’re as cheap or cheaper than floppies, we’ll see floppies croak completely.
However, CD-ROMs still have similiar problems to floppies. They’re still fairly fragile, you throw away money every time you burn one, and they still degrade over time - though it’s a longer time than floppies or magnetic tapes. They are also becoming too small in capacity, with some modern apps clocking in at a gig plus.
I think the long-term solution(s) are:
A) Good, highly compatable, fast wireless networking. This will eilminate “sneaker-net” for people close to each other. (Where “close” is defined as reasonable walking distances.)
802.11(g) isn’t going to completely do it, since it’s not here yet and probably won’t be universally compatable anyway. But it’s getting close. The data transfer speed is becoming adequate, which was the big failing of prior 802.11 variants.
B) Ubiquitious, easily accessable network connections and abundant and cheap on-network storage.
Ubiquitious and easily accessable network connections are becoming reality fairly quickly with many coffee shops installing wireless networking gear that just about anyone can link up to. Way cool.
Abundant and cheap on-network storage is still a ways off. Colocation remains quite expensive. But it’s a necessary element for people to be able to exchange large volumes of data regardless of how far apart they are, and for people to store their own data on the network and thus have access to it anywhere there’s a net connection.
If we can satisfy both A and B we can kiss floppies and indeed probably CD-ROMs goodbye permanantly, except perhaps as backup media. Though I am making this sound a lot easier than it is - think about the security implications of having your top secret corporate data accessable from anywhere on the planet with a net connection, and having it transmitted across the air - possibly with highly substandard enryption, like the 802.11(b) WEP debacle.
-Ben