# Is it too early to say Romney has lost?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 18, 2012, 1:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066 "2012-09-18T13:26:39Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 91

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**Author:** ![Gangster\_Octopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a8b319/32.png) [@Gangster\_Octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gangster_Octopus)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2012, 9:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1802 "2012-11-06T21:16:14Z")

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> [@Skammer](#):
>
> I love that my wife’s cousin on Facebook has posted links to [dickmorris.com](http://dickmorris.com) and [breitbart.com](http://breitbart.com) to demonstrate how the GOP ‘tsunami’ of votes is surging to an easy Romney victory, 325-213. He’s so excited. Bless his heart.

You should point out to him Dick Morris’ prediction in the last election that Obama would win Arkansas and Wyoming.

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**Author:** ![Vimp](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/vimp/32/4186_2.png) [@Vimp](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Vimp)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2012, 9:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1803 "2012-11-06T21:27:52Z")

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> [@Feyrat](#):
>
> Nate Silver is predicting an Obama win with 313. She may not be wrong.

I really, really want to lose this bet.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 1:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1804 "2012-11-07T01:07:23Z")

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Left work early and voted in the basement of the UCC church across the street from us. Not too crowded. Our only wait was for the Board of Elections drone to find us in the big book. My wife and I got our ballots (optical scan), voted, and were out the door within ten minutes. Then my son, 16, and I did canvassing for Obama with another volunteer in a not-so-pleasant neighborhood of Cleveland for two hours until nightfall. It says something about how organized this campaign is, and how many volunteers it has, that we were going to houses that have already been visited _twice_ today (but the residents therein had not confirmed that they’ve voted). Most folks still weren’t home, but we got a couple of “Oh, yeah, I voted!”

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1805 "2012-11-07T02:20:50Z")

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> [@Feyrat](#):
>
> Nate Silver is predicting an Obama win with 313. She may not be wrong.

313 is\*\* the mean of all simulations he runs.\*\* If fact, Obama winning exactly 313 EVs is a likelihood Silver places as being somewhere around zero; there’s no likely combination of results that yields that result.

Silver’s LIKELIEST outcome, if he is correct in all states (granting he called Florida as too close to call) is 332-206 if Florida is recounted for Obama, 303-235 if recounted for Romney.

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**Author:** ![johnpost](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f17d59/32.png) [@johnpost](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/johnpost)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1806 "2012-11-07T02:54:27Z")

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Mitt is projected to loose MI, Mass and NH where he has property or history.

Mitt is projected to loose WI where Ryan is from.

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**Author:** ![johnpost](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f17d59/32.png) [@johnpost](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/johnpost)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1807 "2012-11-07T04:14:34Z")

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CNN has projected he’s toast.

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1808 "2012-11-07T04:14:50Z")

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Not any longer! 😃

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**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1809 "2012-11-07T04:22:16Z")

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I am shocked, shocked that careful analysis of the polls has proven superior to the collective wisdom of the punditocracy.😛

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**Author:** ![Agent\_Foxtrot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/9fc29f/32.png) [@Agent\_Foxtrot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Agent_Foxtrot)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1810 "2012-11-07T04:23:15Z")

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**XT** , I hear the fat lady singing now. Her name is Arethra Franklin. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1811 "2012-11-07T04:25:28Z")

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> [@Lantern](#):
>
> I am shocked, shocked that careful analysis of the polls has proven superior to the collective wisdom of the punditocracy.😛

They were right, it’s just that the election oversampled Democrats.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1812 "2012-11-07T04:26:34Z")

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Apparently, it wasn’t too late to say he had lost.

Thread over.

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1813 "2012-11-07T04:27:54Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> They were right, it’s just that the election oversampled Democrats.

Win.

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**Author:** ![Senegoid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senegoid/32/6606_2.png) [@Senegoid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Senegoid)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1814 "2012-11-07T04:30:56Z")

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McConnell fails in his most profound priority. He should resign in disgrace.

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**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1815 "2012-11-07T04:34:11Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> They were right, it’s just that the election oversampled Democrats.

Someone needs to make a T-shirt with Obama’s winning electoral map and the words “Unskew This!!”😃

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 4:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1816 "2012-11-07T04:45:13Z")

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> [@Lantern](#):
>
> Someone needs to make a T-shirt with Obama’s winning electoral map and the words “Unskew This!!”😃

My thoughts exactly! :D:D:D

As I said to **Omg** this morning in this thread, “there’s a pretty major poll being taken today. Let’s see you unskew it.”

I’m not above gloating. 🙂

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**Author:** ![kaylasdad99](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kaylasdad99/32/3398_2.png) [@kaylasdad99](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kaylasdad99)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 5:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1817 "2012-11-07T05:30:51Z")

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Not too early to say Romney has lost.

Good.

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**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1818 "2012-11-07T05:32:42Z")

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Apparently the Romney campaign’s answer at this hour: yes.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 5:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1819 "2012-11-07T05:33:20Z")

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Three cheers, my friends, for the President of the United States!

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**Author:** ![Punoqllads](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/d2c977/32.png) [@Punoqllads](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Punoqllads)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 9:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1820 "2012-11-07T09:01:28Z")

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> [@Senegoid](#):
>
> McConnell fails in his most profound priority. He should resign in disgrace.

You presume he has a sense of shame.

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**Author:** ![Knorf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/58956e/32.png) [@Knorf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Knorf)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 3:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1821 "2012-11-07T15:32:56Z")

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> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> Three cheers, my friends, for the President of the United States!

Cheers!

> [@Punoqllads](#):
>
> You presume he has a sense of shame.

Or the decency to acknowledge things he said or did in the past were wrong.

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