# Is it too early to say Romney has lost?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 18, 2012, 1:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066 "2012-09-18T13:26:39Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 1380

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 4:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-it-too-early-to-say-romney-has-lost/635066/1380 "2012-11-02T04:04:05Z")

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> [@Simplicio](#):
>
> This is getting a little silly. Ohio almost exactly mimicked the national vote in 2004, but in 2008 the Dem underperformed there by about three points. Was there a “fundamental shift” between 2004 and 2008?

Ohio was more Republican than the country in the last five elections except for 2004, when it was even.

So if Ohio is bluer than the rest of the country, that is in fact significant. Not to mention, Ohio was even more Republican than average in 2010. So yes, going bluer than the country in 2012 would be a significant shift.

I’m going to go out on a limb and make a prediction: Romney wins Ohio 51-48. Reason: The polls in Ohio are skewed by Obama voters falsely claiming to have voted when they haven’t.

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