The actual numbers are obviously vague, and I wasn’t saying that they fit the probabilities exactly. I was just replying to Sylvanz’s query about “What if you replace a poor candidate with a better one and s/he still loses?”
The actual numbers are obviously vague, and I wasn’t saying that they fit the probabilities exactly. I was just replying to Sylvanz’s query about “What if you replace a poor candidate with a better one and s/he still loses?”