Is the second law of thermodynamics routinely violated?

The second throw only has a 50% probability of coming up heads if we assume the probability of each state is equal for subsequent throws.

Conceded.

Matrix operations are just beyond my level of mathematics education, so it will take me a couple days to fully understand what you have written here. But it seems to me that this sentence need not be true: “Thus, all the valid laws of evolution for the system take the form of a matrix M such that each row and column have exactly one entry equal to 1, and the rest 0 (there are thus 27 nonzero entries in the matrix).”

Could not the row and column both be all zeroes? For situations where some microstates are never visited. My intuition is that most systems do not visit every microstate.

~Max