# Is there anything Carter could/should have done to prevent the Iranian Revolution of 1979?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [April 22, 2010, 8:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026 "2010-04-22T20:48:53Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2010, 8:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/1 "2010-04-22T20:48:53Z")

</div>

I don’t see how the Shah’s regime could have been preserved, unpopular as it was. But was it inevitable that it would be replaced by an Islamic theocracy/mullahcracy?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bosda\_Di\_Chi\_of\_Tricor](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bosda_di_chi_of_tricor/32/16845_2.png) [@Bosda\_Di\_Chi\_of\_Tricor](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bosda_Di_Chi_of_Tricor)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2010, 9:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/2 "2010-04-22T21:04:12Z")

</div>

Hell no.

Damage was decades in the making.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2010, 9:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/3 "2010-04-22T21:11:35Z")

</div>

Short of armed intervention (major intervention) I cannot see how.

As noted the whole mess was long in the making. A momentum built up that couldn’t be stopped at the last minute.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mr.Excellent](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f19dbf/32.png) [@Mr.Excellent](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr.Excellent)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2010, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/4 "2010-04-22T21:14:18Z")

</div>

Carter? No. If we’d allowed the elections in 1954 to stand, Iran might have endured as a left-moderate democracy - perhaps oriented towards the West, perhaps joining the non-aligned movement with India et al.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Captain\_Amazing](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@Captain\_Amazing](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Amazing)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2010, 9:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/5 "2010-04-22T21:16:21Z")

</div>

He probably could have not pressured the Shah to improve his human rights record. Because of American pressure, the Iranian government set free a lot of political prisoners, and ended holding people accused of political crimes indefinitely without trial, many of whom went on to lead the Iranian revolution. He also ended a CIA program to bribe Iranian religious leaders to keep them from speaking out against the Shah.

If he hadn’t done those things, the revolution probably eventually still would have happened, but probably not in 1979.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2010, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/6 "2010-04-23T03:25:00Z")

</div>

Well… nukes…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![sqweels](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f19dbf/32.png) [@sqweels](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/sqweels)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2010, 7:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/7 "2010-04-23T19:45:08Z")

</div>

It’s still his fault because it happened on his watch and he’s a Democrat.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![sweeteviljesus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/898d66/32.png) [@sweeteviljesus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/sweeteviljesus)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2010, 9:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/8 "2010-04-23T21:53:46Z")

</div>

Read Guests of the Ayatollah by Mark Bowden and think about what you would do differently. I can’t really think of anything, except perhaps not say the hostages are the first thing I think of when I wake up and the last thing I think about when I go to bed in public. Maybe make sure that Delta had their own air assets before 1979.

Rob

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2010, 10:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/9 "2010-04-23T22:06:48Z")

</div>

> [@Captain\_Amazing](#):
>
> He probably could have not pressured the Shah to improve his human rights record…

Jimmy and [SAVAK](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SAVAK):

> [@](#):
>
> In 1976, Jimmy Carter was elected President of the United States and he "raised the issue of human rights in Iran as well as in the Soviet Union. Overnight prison conditions changed. Inmates dubbed this the dawn of `jimmykrasy.`

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Captain\_Amazing](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@Captain\_Amazing](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Amazing)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2010, 10:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/10 "2010-04-23T22:12:44Z")

</div>

Right. That was my point. His raising the issue of human rights in Iran made it harder for the Shah’s government to hold on to power.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Condescending\_Robot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/a183cd/32.png) [@Condescending\_Robot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Condescending_Robot)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2010, 11:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/11 "2010-04-23T23:07:00Z")

</div>

The leftist revolution against the Shah, no. The Islamist revolution which superseded the leftist one, and thus the hostage-taking, could have been prevented by any number of actions, particularly washing his hands of Pahlavi’s request to seek medical treatment in the U.S.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sitnam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/6a8cbe/32.png) [@Sitnam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sitnam)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 12:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/12 "2010-04-24T00:12:00Z")

</div>

Before the Revolution the US could have backed a liberal secular dark horse, Iran is a jumbled crossword puzzle of different cultural and social ties.

But in reality, yeah, Carter’s administration was screwed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/13 "2010-04-24T01:27:22Z")

</div>

> [@Captain\_Amazing](#):
>
> Right. That was my point. His raising the issue of human rights in Iran made it harder for the Shah’s government to hold on to power.

It’s still inexplicable to me why President Carter did not order an invasion of a Middle Eastern nation in order to install democracy in a country with a poor human rights record. I’m just fucking bewildered.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Captain\_Amazing](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@Captain\_Amazing](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Amazing)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/14 "2010-04-24T03:06:34Z")

</div>

> [@Frank](#):
>
> It’s still inexplicable to me why President Carter did not order an invasion of a Middle Eastern nation in order to install democracy in a country with a poor human rights record. I’m just fucking bewildered.

You asked what the Carter administration could have done to prevent the Iranian Revolution and I told you. I’m sorry if you don’t like it. The government of the Shah was a authoritarian regime backed up by brutal repression of dissidents, bribery and co-option of Persian elites, and and US military, economic, and intelligence assistance. Get rid of those things, the Shah’s government falls.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 6:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/15 "2010-04-24T06:02:47Z")

</div>

IMO, the only way Carter stops this is by going back in the Official White House time machine and stopping the CIA from overthrowing the elected government of Mohammad Mosaddegh. Way to go, Ike, you helped screw up the Middle East for generations to come!

> [@Captain\_Amazing](#):
>
> You asked what the Carter administration could have done to prevent the Iranian Revolution and I told you. I’m sorry if you don’t like it.

I think you were whooshed, although I could be wrong here.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Uzi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/91b2a8/32.png) [@Uzi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Uzi)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 7:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/16 "2010-04-24T07:48:47Z")

</div>

> [@Captain\_Amazing](#):
>
> The government of the Shah was a authoritarian regime backed up by brutal repression of dissidents, bribery and co-option of Persian elites, and and US military, economic, and intelligence assistance. Get rid of those things, the Shah’s government falls.

Meh, take out the names and you’ve described pretty much every middle eastern country.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TitaniumTeddyBear](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/8491ac/32.png) [@TitaniumTeddyBear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TitaniumTeddyBear)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 10:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/17 "2010-04-24T10:14:04Z")

</div>

Nope, nothing Carter could’ve done. Once the Shah came back a revolution of some kind was inevitable, that’s just imho.

But it would’ve been great if America hadn’t destroyed the democratic government of Mohammed Mosaddegh, in 1953.

I mean I know Madeline Albright apologised for it and everything. But the it’s hard not to imagine what the middle east would look like if it had a robust democracy in Iran’s place as early as that.

> **[Mohammad Mosaddegh](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammed_Mossadegh#U.S._and_other_countries)**
>
> Mohammad Mosaddegh\[a\] (Persian: محمد مصدق, IPA: \[mohæmˈmæd(-e) mosædˈdeɢ\]i;\[b\] 16 June 1882 – 5 March 1967) was an Iranian politician, author, and lawyer who served as the 35th Prime Minister of Iran from 1951 to 1953, after appointment by the 16th Majlis. He was a member of the Iranian parliament from 1923, and served through a contentious 1952 election into the 17th Iranian Majlis, until his government was overthrown in the 1953 Iranian coup d'état aided by the intelligence agencies of Bef...

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ralph124c](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/8797f3/32.png) [@ralph124c](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ralph124c)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 11:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/18 "2010-04-24T11:15:37Z")

</div>

He could have done two things:  
-allowed SAVAK to assassinate Khomeini-that would have stopped the horror that the revolution became  
-allowed a group of Iranian military officers to depose the Shah (they were all set to take over).  
Carter wound up taking decisions that were the worst of both worlds-he neither helped the Iranian people, or thwarted islamic fundamentalism.  
For this, he deserves our disrespect.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Batfish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/a3d4f5/32.png) [@Batfish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Batfish)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 2:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/19 "2010-04-24T14:12:36Z")

</div>

> [@ralph124c](#):
>
> -allowed a group of Iranian military officers to depose the Shah (they were all set to take over).

Because our history of relations with military dictators in the middle-east is so much better than the Islamic ones?

Gee, what was the name of that military guy that took over from the other military guy we helped to power and then we supported because he opposed Iran and then we went to war with twice. Starts with an “S” I think.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sitnam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/6a8cbe/32.png) [@Sitnam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sitnam)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2010, 2:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026/20 "2010-04-24T14:37:54Z")

</div>

> [@ralph124c](#):
>
> He could have done two things:  
> -allowed SAVAK to assassinate Khomeini-that would have stopped the horror that the revolution became  
> -allowed a group of Iranian military officers to depose the Shah (they were all set to take over).  
> Carter wound up taking decisions that were the worst of both worlds-he neither helped the Iranian people, or thwarted islamic fundamentalism.  
> For this, he deserves our disrespect.

:rolleyes: Khomeini was the the only ultra conservative Islamic cleric? The Army officers taking over would have suddenly gained the support of the students clamoring for revolution?

It’s an established fact that violent revolutions (which here was inevitable), and begun even for the greatest of reasons, are total crap shoots. Carter was given a shit pie and had to take a bite.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-anything-carter-could-should-have-done-to-prevent-the-iranian-revolution-of-1979/537026.md?page=2)
