# Is there much chance Obama won't be the next US president?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-much-chance-obama-wont-be-the-next-us-president/609024>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 10, 2012, 5:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-much-chance-obama-wont-be-the-next-us-president/609024 "2012-01-10T05:58:04Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 190

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**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [June 14, 2012, 10:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/is-there-much-chance-obama-wont-be-the-next-us-president/609024/190 "2012-06-14T22:15:11Z")

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> [@Bricker](#):
>
> My prediction: Romney wins.
> 
> So far on this board I have correctly predicted Bush over Gore, Bush over Kerry (despite the cadre of Board commentators loudly insisting that there was no way Bush could win, and then loudly lamenting “Jesusland” when he did), and Obama over McCain (shockingly, most of the Board’s commentators agreed with this one).  
> …  
> Anyone else?

You sound confident, Bricker. Very confident. Will you extend me odds? I get 2 units if Obama wins, you get 1 unit if Romney does.

> [@Chronos](#):
>
> And **Bricker** , is that an even-odds bet, or are you just taking the Romney side of the Intrade odds?

Heh.

…I suppose I’d be taking on some counterparty risk. 🙂  
ETA: Nitpick: Actually Gore won the election in 2000: Bush was appointed by the Supreme Court. Double nitpick: well, I suppose it depends upon the terms of the original prediction. Triple: Not gonna win this fork with Bricker…

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