# Israel has pulled out of the Gaza Strip . . . what next?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [September 26, 2005, 1:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412 "2005-09-26T01:09:55Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![MEBuckner](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mebuckner/32/2896_2.png) [@MEBuckner](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MEBuckner)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2005, 4:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/41 "2005-09-27T16:36:43Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> And what a ringing endorsement of democracy this is!

So, the fact that the U.S. hasn’t annexed (the remaining half of) Mexico shows what a failure our democracy is? And I’m pretty sure the Palestinians are a good bit more hostile towards Israel than the Mexicans are towards the United States. Hell’s bells, never mind the Mexicans; most _Canadians_ don’t want to be part of the U.S., and Americans and Canadians are about as close to each other as peoples get.

I’m confident in saying the vast majority of Palestinians don’t _want_ to be Israeli citizens.

The real problem I think is not the occupation; it’s the settlements. A military occupation in itself wouldn’t _necessarily_ cause burning hatred; the U.S. pulled it off in Germany and Japan. However, a military occupation–even if no end is immediately in sight–is _not_ irreversible; if leadership arises capable of making a real and lasting peace, the troops can be withdrawn. The decision to plant colonies in the occupied territories was a huge, terrible, ghastly mistake. They contribute nothing to Israel’s security; just the opposite, they’re a huge drain on military resources. Of course the settlements were established precisely so that the occupation would be irreversible, but those within Israel in favor of the settlements policy have (fortunately) never been in a position to actually follow through on the logic of planting settlements to make “Judea and Samaria” permanently part of Israel; they’ve never been able to do what we Americans did in our own country to the Indians. So now they’re stuck with this halfway mess of having quasi-annexed the territories to Israel with them still containing a large and permanently pissed-off population.

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**Author:** ![zev\_steinhardt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/97f17d/32.png) [@zev\_steinhardt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zev_steinhardt)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2005, 4:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/42 "2005-09-27T16:41:29Z")

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> [@Sal Ammoniac](#):
>
> And what a ringing endorsement of democracy this is!

On the surface, that’s true.

But consider the fact that such an act would guarantee the end of Israel’s _raison d’etre_ - to be a _Jewish_ state.

Zev Steinhardt

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**Author:** ![Lemur866](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lemur866/32/434_2.png) [@Lemur866](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lemur866)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2005, 4:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/43 "2005-09-27T16:42:34Z")

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> [@Sal Ammoniac](#):
>
> And what a ringing endorsement of democracy this is!

So the solution to any conflict is to merge the two countries into one? So we should merge into one country with China, and give everyone in China US citizenship?

Citizenship in a country you hate and want to destroy isn’t a benefit. Giving millions of people who want to destroy Israel Israeli citizenship is likely to destroy Israel. If the state of Israel fails, it is highly likely that most of the Jews living it what is now Israel will either be expelled or massacred. There used to be Jews living all over the middle east, over the last 50 years most have them have been expelled and forced to leave their homes, many of them ended up in Israel. If the Arab governments were willing to accept Jews as subjects why did they expell their Jews?

Democracy will only work with a citizenry that believes in democracy. Otherwise, the citizens will cheerfully vote a dictator into power. Annexing the territories won’t work if the first act of the citizens of the annexed territories is to declare themselves independent and are willing to fight for their independence. We’d have a new war, the only difference would be the claim by Israel that the rebelling Palestinians were rebelling citizens instead of rebelling foreigners under military occupation.

And anyway, formal annexation of the territories wouldn’t just be a matter for the Palestinians and Israelis, it would likely spark a broader war between Israel and the rest of the neighboring Arab countries. While the governments of Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Saudi, etc don’t want a war with Israel, popular outrage would force them into war, even if they know they would be likely to lose. Better a lost war than a revolution.

Annexation will never be accepted unless it was desired by Palestine. That’s not going to happen. Annexation means war.

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**Author:** ![Sal\_Ammoniac](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/8dc957/32.png) [@Sal\_Ammoniac](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sal_Ammoniac)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2005, 7:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/44 "2005-09-27T19:09:30Z")

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> [@MEBuckner](#):
>
> So, the fact that the U.S. hasn’t annexed (the remaining half of) Mexico shows what a failure our democracy is?

False analogy. Mexico, whatever its faults, is a real country, and its occupants have citizenships, rights, a vote. In the Occupied Territories, Palestinians are, you’ll remember, citizens of nothing. No rights, no vote.

> [@MEBuckner](#):
>
> I’m confident in saying the vast majority of Palestinians don’t _want_ to be Israeli citizens.

You really think so? If Israeli citizenship were offered tomorrow, the Palestinians of the OT would accept it in a heartbeat. Why not, after all? Better to be a citizen of something, rather than a citizen of nothing. And of course, Palestinians would then form a majority in Greater Israel.

**Zev Steinhardt** hits the nail on the head: the point of Israel is to be a _Jewish_ state. And of course it’s this insistence on Jewish suprematism that is the root of the problem in the first place.

All the doomsday scenarios presented here by the naysayers are nonsense. Of course annexation wouldn’t spark a broader war – why would it? Jordan is suddenly going to attack Israel for annexing what Jordan has already renounced? And as to the Palestinians suddenly using their vote to destroy their own country, why on earth should that be the case? People only want to destroy what they don’t have a stake in. Can anybody name a single case in history where extending the vote to the disenfranchised has destroyed the country? Did enfranchising blacks in the American South destroy America? Did enfranchising blacks in South Africa destroy South Africa? The contrary in fact is true – extending the franchise increased stability and national strength.

I seem to be the only one in this argument who thinks full rights for the Palestinians are non-negotiable. Human rights, we have always said in America, are inherent and inalienable – not contingent, not bargaining chips. Every day that Israel stands between the Palestinians and the Palestinians’ full enjoyment of their rights of members of the human race is a day that Israel is guilty of a crime against humanity.

And I will point out, again, that nobody defending Israel here is offering anything like a solution to the problem – just more finger-pointing.

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**Author:** ![gum](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/bbe5ce/32.png) [@gum](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gum)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2005, 9:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/45 "2005-09-27T21:09:24Z")

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Originally posred by **Sal Ammoniac**

> [@](#):
>
> \*Zev Steinhardt hits the nail on the head: the point of Israel is to be a Jewish state. And of course it’s this insistence on Jewish suprematism that is the root of the problem in the first place.  
> \*

Why do you think that is a problem?  
Do you have problems with  
AFGHANISTAN  
ALBANIA  
ALGERIA  
BAHRAIN  
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM  
CHECHNYA  
EGYPT  
IRAN  
INDONESIA  
IRAQ  
JORDAN  
KAZAKHSTAN  
KUWAIT  
KYRGYZ TAN  
LEBANON  
LIBYA  
MALAYSIA  
MAURITANIA  
MOROCCO  
NIGERIA  
OMAN  
PAKISTAN  
SAUDI ARABIA  
SYRIA  
SUDAN  
TAJIKISTAN  
TUNISIA  
TURKEY  
UGANDA  
UZBEKISTAN &  
YEMEN  
being muslim states?

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**Author:** ![mks57](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b9bd4f/32.png) [@mks57](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mks57)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2005, 11:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/46 "2005-09-27T23:16:17Z")

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> [@Sal Ammoniac](#):
>
> Can anybody name a single case in history where extending the vote to the disenfranchised has destroyed the country?

Zimbabwe.

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/47 "2005-09-28T00:19:50Z")

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In the interest of accuracy and general pedantry:

> [@gum](#):
>
> UGANDA

Only about ~15% of Uganda’s population is Muslim. Around 2/3 of the population is Christian, divided fairly evenly between Catholic and Protestant. You may be a bit confused by the past presidency of Idi Amin, but he represented a minority group in Uganda.

Similarly Nigeria is about 50% Muslim and can in no way be considered an explicitly “Muslim state.” Similarly for Kazakhstan, which is just under 50%. I think you also missed at least a couple of Muslim majority states.

Even then it is uncertain how many of even those overwhelmingly Muslim states actually define themselves as such ( many do constitutionally, but not all ). Of course your main point that there are many Muslim states ( however defined ) and only one Jewish state certainly still stands.

Of course that still begs the question of whether _any_ narrowly defined ethno-religiously based state is a good idea.

- Tamerlane

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/48 "2005-09-28T00:29:13Z")

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> [@Tamerlane](#):
>
> I think you also missed at least a couple of Muslim majority states.

Several, actually, perusing that list a little closer.

Oh and Chechnya still isn’t officially a country.

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**Author:** ![Sal\_Ammoniac](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/8dc957/32.png) [@Sal\_Ammoniac](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sal_Ammoniac)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 12:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/49 "2005-09-28T00:36:24Z")

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**Gum** , I appreciate the enthusiasm that led you to type all those countries’ names, but if you can name me a single one that keeps three million Jews in a state of absolute disenfranchisement, I’d be interested in hearing about it.

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**Author:** ![Scott\_Plaid](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/258eb7/32.png) [@Scott\_Plaid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Scott_Plaid)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 1:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/50 "2005-09-28T01:05:18Z")

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Oh boy, you don’t miss a trick, do you? :rolleyes:  
But really, it looks like Amesterdam may soon be one of the countries on gum’s list. No cite, just a request for people to look into [Pim Fortuyn](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pim_Fortuyn) , and the claims he made.

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**Author:** ![Martin\_Hyde](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/47e85d/32.png) [@Martin\_Hyde](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Martin_Hyde)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/51 "2005-09-28T01:30:33Z")

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> [@SentientMeat](#):
>
> Israel need not re-invade Gaza and the West Bank. Sickening as it may be, the Wall would turn the conflict into a simple artillery battle which Palestinians would see almost instantly that they were utterly outgunned in, whereas occupation allows roadside bombers and snipers to hold to an illusion that they were gradually winning the struggle. Sympathetic as I am to the plight of the desperate Palestinian people who bear the brunt of Israeli reprisals against militant scum, I think the entire world would recognise at that point that Israel could reasonably do no more than pull back behind the Green Line Wall and retaliate from the air against any rockets or mortars: at the moment, there is _good reason_ for that Palestinian grievance (though it does not of course excuse those despicable actions of a tiny minority.)

Anyone that knows anything about modern warfare knows that walls aren’t the wisest investment strategically. The wall was built to keep extremists and terrorist bombers from being able to freely move back and forth. And to stop the more small scale troublemakers. Any real military attack and the wall wouldn’t last that long.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/52 "2005-09-28T02:37:15Z")

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> [@zev\_steinhardt](#):
>
> But consider the fact that such an act would guarantee the end of Israel’s _raison d’etre_ - to be a _Jewish_ state.

So nu?

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 2:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/53 "2005-09-28T02:39:04Z")

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> [@MEBuckner](#):
>
> Actually the [Green Line](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Line_%28Israel%29) would be more likely used to refer to the borders from the 1949 armistice, not the borders from the 1947 partition plan. The 1947 UN proposal would have given Israel [considerably more precarious borders](http://www.dartmouth.edu/~gov46/gen-assembly-part-1947.gif) than what Israel [actually wound up getting in the 1949 armistice](http://www.dartmouth.edu/~gov46/israel-post-armstice-1949.gif) (the irony of course being that the Jews accepted the 1947 plan and the Arabs rejected it, and the Arabs wound up being worse off than they would have been if they’d taken the UN borders).

The latter two links don’t work.

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**Author:** ![Sevastopol](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/cdc98d/32.png) [@Sevastopol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sevastopol)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/54 "2005-09-28T03:10:45Z")

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> [@Sal Ammoniac](#):
>
> I seem to be the only one in this argument who thinks full rights for the Palestinians are non-negotiable. Human rights, we have always said in America, are inherent and inalienable – not contingent, not bargaining chips. Every day that Israel stands between the Palestinians and the Palestinians’ full enjoyment of their rights of members of the human race is a day that Israel is guilty of a crime against humanity.

You aren’t.

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**Author:** ![cmkeller](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cmkeller/32/118_2.png) [@cmkeller](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/cmkeller)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 3:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/55 "2005-09-28T03:32:14Z")

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Sal Ammoniac:

> [@](#):
>
> Zev Steinhardt hits the nail on the head: the point of Israel is to be a Jewish state. And of course it’s this insistence on Jewish suprematism that is the root of the problem in the first place.

and Tamerlane:

> [@](#):
>
> Of course that still begs the question of whether any narrowly defined ethno-religiously based state is a good idea.

Given the millenia-long history of persecution, expulsion, inquisitions, crusades, blood libels and finally the Holocaust, do you think there’s a better way for Jews to safeguard themselves than to have a country in which they are ensured control?

Sal Ammoniac:

> [@](#):
>
> Gum, I appreciate the enthusiasm that led you to type all those countries’ names, but if you can name me a single one that keeps three million Jews in a state of absolute disenfranchisement, I’d be interested in hearing about it.

Egypt, Iraq, Syria, Morocco, Tunisia and Lybia didn’t _keep_ their Jews in a state of disenfranchisement…they threw them out of their countries and confiscated their property. Would you accept such an action from Israel toward the Palestinians? Or is political disenfranchisement better than mass exile?

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/56 "2005-09-28T03:46:39Z")

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> [@cmkeller](#):
>
> Sal Ammoniac:  
> Given the millenia-long history of persecution, expulsion, inquisitions, crusades, blood libels and finally the Holocaust, do you think there’s a better way for Jews to safeguard themselves than to have a country in which they are ensured control?

I didn’t answer the question, did I 😉 ? I just said there is one and personally I’m conflicted. Philosophically, I don’t like the idea. However if I had been a Jew in the 1930’s and 1940’s I’m not sure I wouldn’t have been a vociferous proponent of a Jewish homeland myself - in both emotional and practical terms I can see the argument. Though frankly, Argentina might have been a better long term bet.

But you can’t unbreak those eggs and given the situation on the ground I can perfectly understand why Israel doesn’t annex and enfranchise - the result is too uncertain. As I’ve said before, I’ve always been in favor of an eventual interlocked Israeli-Palestinian confederation of sorts. It’s about the only thing that makes sense economically and still preserves the preferred identity of Israel and the Palestinians. Sadly such a solution is almost certainly _at least_ decades out and seperation may be the best one can ask for at this point, with integration coming gradually later.

- Tamerlane

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**Author:** ![Sevastopol](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/cdc98d/32.png) [@Sevastopol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sevastopol)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 3:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/57 "2005-09-28T03:48:50Z")

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> [@cmkeller](#):
>
> Given the millenia-long history of persecution, expulsion, inquisitions, crusades, blood libels and finally the Holocaust, do you think there’s a better way for Jews to safeguard themselves than to have a country in which they are ensured control?

Life, for the majority of human history, has been persection and serfdom. Include the Jewish people in that. The history of persecution has not been “millenia-long” but incidental and opportunistic rather than a theme of history. It’s been like that for most everybody. However, the Holocaust, no argument there.

That atrocity cannot now absolve the current affronts to justice. There is absolutely a better alternative. By working to create justice in whichever nation the individuals choose to live in, security will follow.

The notion of nationhood=safeguard is an 18th century solution to a 20/21st century problem.

> [@](#):
>
> Egypt, Iraq, Syria, Morocco, Tunisia and Lybia didn’t _keep_ their Jews in a state of disenfranchisement…they threw them out of their countries and confiscated their property. Would you accept such an action from Israel toward the Palestinians? Or is political disenfranchisement better than mass exile?

Cite please.

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**Author:** ![Gorgonzola](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/e480ec/32.png) [@Gorgonzola](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorgonzola)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/58 "2005-09-28T05:02:51Z")

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The problem with just blaming it all on a few militants who are wrecking things for the Palestinian people is that the Palestinian people have shown huge support for them. Here is an [interesting poll of Palestinian attitudes](http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/arabs/postarafatpo.html), taken recently. Among many other findings, it shows that 54% of Palestinians oppose the use of force against militants by their own security forces, while only 38% approve. 95% of Palestinians will not accept a peace that does not include the Palestinian capital being in East Jerusalem. 93% will not accept a peace that does not include the right of return. Last year Tel Aviv’s central market was attacked horrifically. 54% of Palestinians approved of that attack. Almost 30% do not believe that Israelis have the right to live in peace and security.

How do you deal with this population?

Not only that, but Palestinian authorities have long played a game of saying, “We can’t control our militants!” then winking. Arafat always played it. Go to the U.N., plead for ‘justice’, accept billions of dollars to economically develop Palestine that instead made it into his and his henchmen’s pockets, and then incite more violence in Arabic while speaking platitudes in English.

Frankly, I don’t know what’s left to do. I suspect what will happen is that Israel will simply sit back and wait for an attack, then respond with overwhelming force. And continue doing so again, and again, until either the Palestinian people get sick of it and finally decide to do something about their militants, or the international community will step in and the Palestinian territories will be occupied by U.N. or U.S. soldiers. Then the militants will have a whole new set of targets.

I thought it was possible that Israel might have turned over the West Bank as well, so that the Palestinians would have absolutely no justification left for the intifada. Unilaterally declare the state of Palestine, and then treat any attacks as an act of war. The ball would totally be in the Palestinian’s court at that point. But that will not happen now, because Sharon is in big trouble from the hard-liners in Israel. The net result of the Palestinian’s stupidity may be the election of a hard-line government in Israel, say one led by Netanyahu. Then all bets are off.

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**Author:** ![Sam\_Stone](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ecccb3/32.png) [@Sam\_Stone](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sam_Stone)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 5:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/59 "2005-09-28T05:03:41Z")

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Oops. That was Sam Stone. Didn’t realize the wife was logged in.

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**Author:** ![Sevastopol](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/cdc98d/32.png) [@Sevastopol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sevastopol)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2005, 5:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/israel-has-pulled-out-of-the-gaza-strip-what-next/323412/60 "2005-09-28T05:47:02Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> I thought it was possible that Israel might have turned over the West Bank as well, so that the Palestinians would have absolutely no justification left for the intifada. Unilaterally declare the state of Palestine, and then treat any attacks as an act of war. The ball would totally be in the Palestinian’s court at that point. But that will not happen now, because Sharon is in big trouble from the hard-liners in Israel.

There was never any prospect of Sharon withdrawing from the West Bank. The Gaza withdrawl was simply a distraction under which Sharon proposed to expand and consolidate Israeli expansion into the West Bank. This is a consequence of Israeli expansionism rather than any “Palestinian’s stupidity.” Even the Israelis do not pretend there are security grounds for occupying the West Bank perpetually. IT is about 2 things: Scarce resources; and denying the Palestinians the foundation of an independent state.

An aside to this debate is the sucess with which the Israeli cause is backed unconditionally and without limit in North America.

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