# Jack Welch: pure projection?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 6, 2012, 8:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936 "2012-10-06T20:46:46Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![42fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/4/b487fb/32.png) [@42fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/42fish)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 12:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/41 "2012-10-09T12:10:58Z")

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> [@pseudotriton\_ruber\_ruber](#):
>
> It was the “hopelessly” part that I finally settled upon.

Be fair to **adaher** : At least when he wants to argue two opposing ideas simultaneously (such as when he was declaring Obama both a spineless flip-flopper and an inflexible obstructionist), he has the brains to keep the ideas in separate threads. The most hopeless of the partisan hacks do that stuff in the same thread without ever grokking that people can scroll back through.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 12:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/42 "2012-10-09T12:22:58Z")

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> [@MOIDALIZE](#):
>
> GE was known for juuuuuuuuuust beating analysts’ earnings forecasts, every single quarter.
> 
> Check out what happened [after Welch left.](http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/10/ges-jack-welch-on-bls-book-cooking/)

Wait - at what point were they bought by the Sheinhardt Wig Company?

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**Author:** ![Fiddle\_Peghead](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiddle_peghead/32/3506_2.png) [@Fiddle\_Peghead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiddle_Peghead)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 12:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/43 "2012-10-09T12:24:35Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> But you won’t, because the media won’t report it.

Okay, you’ve got me. I looked at the NY Times, the Washington Post, all three major networks, and various liberal-oriented magazines and didn’t find any story devoted soley to “manipulation” of Medicare Advantage cuts, although it was certainly referenced. Do you think that if such manipulation were indeed illegal, that the media would still not have reported on it? Is it not possible, just possible, that you look for instances of something that the media does not report on, and then use that as some sort of evidence for liberal media bias? Just look at the news stories from the last few days. The media did not make any attempt to hide Obama’s poor debate performance, and in fact covered it in excruciating detail. Romney’s turnaround supported by the polls is all over the networks now. John McCain just finished a segment on the _Today Show_ where he was basically given free-rein to defend Romney’s recent speech on foreign policy. I could go on and on with examples to refute the silly liberal bias argument. I think, however, that it would be futile, because someone can always come along and find something that the media _didn’t_ report on, no matter how trivial.

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**Author:** ![MOIDALIZE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@MOIDALIZE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MOIDALIZE)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 2:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/44 "2012-10-09T14:13:47Z")

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I don’t know where this notion of “illegal” Medicare Advantage cuts is coming from. But I’ll just opine that Medicare Advantage should be cut, it’s a failed experiment in achieving cost savings by introducing private sector middlemen into the mix, and continues to get subsidized solely for ideological/crony capitalist reasons. It’s the same as when the banks were permitted to make federally guaranteed student loans. The practical result is that taxpayers just hand profits over to the private sector and get no benefit in return.

Anyone who would profess to be a fiscal conservative should have no problem with this.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 3:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/45 "2012-10-09T15:17:01Z")

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We wouldn’t, if Democrats would be honest about it. Liberals on discussion boards are perfectly happy to support Medicare Advantage cuts. Democrats on the campaign trail not so much. Instead, it’s just “overpayments”, which nevertheless will cause a lot of plans to fold. And that can’t happen in October.

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**Author:** ![MOIDALIZE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@MOIDALIZE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MOIDALIZE)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 3:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/46 "2012-10-09T15:20:36Z")

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I’m really not clear what you’re talking about. Perhaps you should discontinue this hijack if you’re not going to make sense.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 4:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/47 "2012-10-09T16:02:09Z")

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ACA makes big cuts to Medicare Advantage. As you say, this is a defensible policy on the merits. But Democrats aren’t defending it, they are outright denying it. That’s not how you make public policy.

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**Author:** ![MOIDALIZE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@MOIDALIZE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MOIDALIZE)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 4:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/48 "2012-10-09T16:05:07Z")

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Sounds like politics to me.

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**Author:** ![42fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/4/b487fb/32.png) [@42fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/42fish)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 4:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/49 "2012-10-09T16:31:27Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> ACA makes big cuts to Medicare Advantage.

If these cuts to Medicare Advantage are being caused by ACA, then why is it so odd that the cuts won’t occur until after the election since alot of the provisions of ACA don’t kick in until after election\* as well?

\*Parts of it as late as 2020.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 4:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/50 "2012-10-09T16:45:25Z")

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> [@MOIDALIZE](#):
>
> Sounds like politics to me.

And it’s the kind of thing the media would harp on if Republicans were cutting PBS and merely saying they were cutting “overpayments to public corporations”.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/51 "2012-10-09T16:46:28Z")

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> [@42fish](#):
>
> If these cuts to Medicare Advantage are being caused by ACA, then why is it so odd that the cuts won’t occur until after the election since alot of the provisions of ACA don’t kick in until after election\* as well?
> 
> \*Parts of it as late as 2020.

The Medicare Advantage cuts happened early to make the 10 year budget window balance. Spending is only for six years, but tax increases and spending cuts are over 8-10, depending on the particular provision.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MOIDALIZE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@MOIDALIZE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MOIDALIZE)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 5:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/52 "2012-10-09T17:07:33Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> And it’s the kind of thing the media would harp on if Republicans were cutting PBS and merely saying they were cutting “overpayments to public corporations”.

But the Republicans would never claim that. They’d tie cuts to PBS to a general program of “balancing the budget,” as if doing so would be a significant contributor to that goal. But if it’s noticed that cutting PBS would have virtually no effect on the deficit, and that Republicans rejected other, more effective cuts, then it’d be perfectly fair to wonder if they’re serious about tackling the deficit or not.

Eliminating subsides to providers of Medicare Advantage plans is a no-brainer if the goal is to tackle the growth in healthcare costs.

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**Author:** ![Fiddle\_Peghead](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiddle_peghead/32/3506_2.png) [@Fiddle\_Peghead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiddle_Peghead)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/53 "2012-10-09T17:28:23Z")

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> [@MOIDALIZE](#):
>
> I don’t know where this notion of “illegal” Medicare Advantage cuts is coming from.

**adaher** mentioned that the Obama administration had no “legal authority” to delay the cuts, implying some sort of illegality on their part. He didn’t answer my question about whether the supposedly liberally-biased media would cover such a story or not, presumably because it would hurt the theory of such _overt_ bias.

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**Author:** ![Typo\_Negative](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/typo_negative/32/484_2.png) [@Typo\_Negative](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Typo_Negative)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/54 "2012-10-09T17:41:23Z")

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The thread is now totally off topic. Well done, **adaher**!

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**Author:** ![MOIDALIZE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@MOIDALIZE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MOIDALIZE)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/55 "2012-10-09T17:49:32Z")

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> [@Typo\_Negative](#):
>
> The thread is now totally off topic. Well done, **adaher**!

It bears the most tenuous of connections to the aside in the OP, that the discovery that Obama had leaned on the BLS to cook the employment stats would be hazardous to his reelection prospects. Of course, that connection was made by trotting out trite Liberal Media bs, and complaining that Obama isn’t conducting himself in a way that helps his opponents.

So not “totally” off topic, but a waste of time nonetheless.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Fiddle\_Peghead](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiddle_peghead/32/3506_2.png) [@Fiddle\_Peghead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiddle_Peghead)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/56 "2012-10-09T17:49:35Z")

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> [@Typo\_Negative](#):
>
> The thread is now totally off topic. Well done, **adaher**!

🙂

Eh, I figure I’m just about as guilty as **adaher** in this case. I’d sure love an answer to my question though.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/57 "2012-10-09T18:07:23Z")

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> [@Fiddle\_Peghead](#):
>
> **adaher** mentioned that the Obama administration had no “legal authority” to delay the cuts, implying some sort of illegality on their part. He didn’t answer my question about whether the supposedly liberally-biased media would cover such a story or not, presumably because it would hurt the theory of such _overt_ bias.

Well, to bring things back to the BLS, my point was just that unless the administration actually faces legal jeopardy, the media won’t report, and they won’t report until after legal jeopardy has begun. That was the pattern with Fast and Furious. It was a story in the right-wing media for a year until Congress decided there was something to it and began an investigation. Which forced the media to cover it.

Messing around with BLS data wouldn’t be very interesting to the media unless it was done in a very ham-handed manner. If they merely changed the way some things were calculated it would barely make a ripple.

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**Author:** ![johnpost](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f17d59/32.png) [@johnpost](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/johnpost)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 6:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/58 "2012-10-09T18:39:23Z")

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Welch has just quit writing for Fortune and Reuters after they both discounted his claims.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Fiddle\_Peghead](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiddle_peghead/32/3506_2.png) [@Fiddle\_Peghead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiddle_Peghead)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 6:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/59 "2012-10-09T18:40:28Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> Well, to bring things back to the BLS, my point was just that unless the administration actually faces legal jeopardy, the media won’t report, and they won’t report until after legal jeopardy has begun.

The media won’t report what? _Anything_ at all uncomplimentary to Obama, or only the illegal things he does? But just forget it. This isn’t the thread for it and the liberally-biased media idea has been around so long, it ain’t going anywhere now. As O’Reilly says, I’ll give you the last word, if you want it, of course.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![VinylTurnip](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/b2d939/32.png) [@VinylTurnip](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VinylTurnip)\
**Post date:** [October 9, 2012, 7:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jack-welch-pure-projection/636936/60 "2012-10-09T19:24:07Z")

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> [@johnpost](#):
>
> Welch has just quit writing for Fortune and Reuters after they both discounted his claims.

They’re just lucky he didn’t challenge them to a round of [fisticuffs](http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/4a212737796c7a01005108f9/.jpg).

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