# Jeb Bush campaign for POTUS thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [June 16, 2015, 1:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672 "2015-06-16T13:58:22Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 1:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/1 "2015-06-16T13:58:22Z")

</div>

[Jeb announces his candidacy.](http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/16/us/politics/jeb-bush-presidential-campaign.html)

> [@](#):
>
> He tried to distinguish himself as an executive animated by big ideas and uniquely capable of carrying them out, pointing to his record in Florida of introducing a taxpayer-financed school voucher program, expanding charter schools, reducing the size of the state government by thousands of workers and cutting taxes by billions.

So, he’s running on his record. Bad move, Jeb, says this Floridian.

And – get this – the Establishment-Republican son of one POTUS and brother of another says [he will run as a political outsider](http://www.wsj.com/articles/jeb-bush-formally-announces-hell-seek-gop-presidential-nomination-1434388382). 😛

At any rate, Heb, with his Mexican-born wife and fluency in Texas-accented Spanish, probably has more appeal to Hispanic voters than Rubio or Cruz. He’s really the GOP’s best shot at getting any significant share at all of the Latino vote in 2016.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 2:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/2 "2015-06-16T14:00:51Z")

</div>

Vote for me! I’m just like you! And I met my first president when I was born and the second when I came home from the hospital!

I think he has the nomination pretty well sewn up, he just has to play whack-a-mole with the unBushes as they each take a turn being the un-Bush Flavor of the Month.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/3 "2015-06-16T14:09:06Z")

</div>

Always bet on the money. If the money wants El Jebe to be the nominee, they’ll get the word out to Fox et al. and that’s what will happen, just like last time.

And Election Night coverage will be just like last time, too.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sam\_Lowry](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e95f7d/32.png) [@Sam\_Lowry](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sam_Lowry)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 2:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/4 "2015-06-16T14:59:14Z")

</div>

> [@BrainGlutton](#):
>
> And – get this – the Establishment-Republican son of one POTUS and brother of another says [he will run as a political outsider](http://www.wsj.com/articles/jeb-bush-formally-announces-hell-seek-gop-presidential-nomination-1434388382). 😛

He says he’s his own man, but [is using a lot of the same advisors his family used](http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/02/18/jeb-bushs-foreign-policy-team-is-eerily-familiar-in-1-venn-diagram/):

> [@](#):
>
> If Bush’s goal is to present himself as his “own man,” that list of advisers undermines the point somewhat: 19 of the 21 people on it worked in the administrations of his father or brother. We’ve identified the roles each played in the past three Republican administrations, divvying them up as needed in the following Venn diagram.

Also, [one of his top advisors on Israel is George W. Bush](http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/one-of-jeb-bushs-top-advisers-on-israel-george-w-bush/2015/05/07/920fec8e-f4da-11e4-bcc4-e8141e5eb0c9_story.html):

> [@](#):
>
> After spending months distancing himself from his family’s political legacy, Jeb Bush surprised a group of Manhattan financiers this week by naming his brother, former president George W. Bush, as his most influential counselor on U.S.-Israel policy.
> 
> “If you want to know who I listen to for advice, it’s him,” Bush said Tuesday, speaking to a crowd of high-powered investors at the Metropolitan Club, according to four people present.

I don’t know what Republicans will think of that. Some who may think Obama is the worst might have nostalgia for George W. Bush and think that’s great. But I would think some would be put off.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lightnin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lightnin/32/180_2.png) [@Lightnin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lightnin)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 3:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/5 "2015-06-16T15:03:48Z")

</div>

> [@BrainGlutton](#):
>
> And – get this – the Establishment-Republican son of one POTUS and brother of another says [he will run as a political outsider](http://www.wsj.com/articles/jeb-bush-formally-announces-hell-seek-gop-presidential-nomination-1434388382). 😛

I literally just guffawed. Comedy gold!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ethilrist](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ethilrist/32/4604_2.png) [@Ethilrist](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ethilrist)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 3:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/6 "2015-06-16T15:04:34Z")

</div>

I don’t mean to hijack, but just for comparison’s sake, has Hillary listed Bill as her go-to guy on any potential advisory needs as President?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 3:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/7 "2015-06-16T15:15:32Z")

</div>

> [@ElvisL1ves](#):
>
> Always bet on the money. If the money wants El Jebe to be the nominee, they’ll get the word out to Fox et al. and that’s what will happen, just like last time.

But, does the money want Jeb to be the nominee? Whom are Sheldon Adelson and the Koch Bros. favoring right now?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sam\_Lowry](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e95f7d/32.png) [@Sam\_Lowry](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sam_Lowry)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 3:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/8 "2015-06-16T15:21:50Z")

</div>

> [@Ethilrist](#):
>
> I don’t mean to hijack, but just for comparison’s sake, has Hillary listed Bill as her go-to guy on any potential advisory needs as President?

Not the go-to guy, [but he will be an advisor](http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2015/04/11/hillary-clinton-bill-husband-presidential-campaign/25591609/):

> [@](#):
>
> “I think it’s important, and Hillary does too, that she go out there as if she’s never run for anything before and establish her connection with the voters,” Bill Clinton told Town and Country magazine in a story published Tuesday. “And that my role should primarily be as a backstage adviser to her until we get much, much closer to the election.”

There are definitely people who dislike Bill Clinton, but it has been more time since he’s been president, so some of that dislike has mellowed. And I’ve read some people saying he wasn’t as bad, mainly to compare how bad Obama is now.

Also, Hillary is arguably more prominent in people’s minds right now than Bill, while Jeb is still somewhat less prominent than George. If I say Clinton, a lot of people would first think of Hillary, but if I said Bush, a lot of people would first think of George. So George W. Bush advising Jeb would possibly have more of an impact on voters minds than Bill Clinton advising Hillary.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/9 "2015-06-16T16:59:10Z")

</div>

Of course, the difference between Hillary using Bill as an advisor and Jeb using W as an advisor is that Bill has a much, much better track record as POTUS.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/10 "2015-06-16T17:32:49Z")

</div>

This election will basically come down to how far right Bush has to go to win the GOP primaries. If he courts the nutjobs, he’ll lose to Hillary. If he maintains a centrist approach, he’ll win.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 5:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/11 "2015-06-16T17:34:19Z")

</div>

He’s got too much pandering in his history to get away with that. And not only his history, either, as his failure to settle on a single story in response to the Iraq question demonstrates.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 5:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/12 "2015-06-16T17:39:25Z")

</div>

Yeah, but his social conservative pandering has historically been on the down-low. For instance, he didn’t want anyone to know he was intervening in the Terri Schiavo case; he pretended the state legislature was directing him to take action, rather than admitting that he was working hand-in-glove with them. Now that I think about it, Schiavo could wind up being a big campaign issue. Nobody on the right came out of that without a strong whiff of bullshit about them.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Chimera](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/8e8cbc/32.png) [@Chimera](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chimera)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/13 "2015-06-16T17:44:07Z")

</div>

Jeb “I’m my own man” Bush.

Whose campaign just so happens to be made up of nothing but people who worked for his father and brother.

There’s no way this doesn’t blow up in his face.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/14 "2015-06-16T17:49:45Z")

</div>

> [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](#):
>
> Yeah, but his social conservative pandering has historically been on the down-low.

It’ll all be in the Clinton ads if it needs to be.

> [@](#):
>
> For instance, he didn’t want anyone to know he was intervening in the Terri Schiavo case; he pretended the state legislature was directing him to take action, rather than admitting that he was working hand-in-glove with them.

There was also his active direction of stalling the vote count in Florida in 2000, while lying that he wasn’t involved at all, no sir.

> [@](#):
>
> Now that I think about it, Schiavo could wind up being a big campaign issue.

I’ll say no, because mentioning it won’t affect as many people as viscerally as all of his near-misogynist pronouncements.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 5:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/15 "2015-06-16T17:53:59Z")

</div>

How important is it to Republicans that they nominate someone who can make the “dynasty” argument against Hillary? Because if it is…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 6:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/16 "2015-06-16T18:03:06Z")

</div>

> [@Leaper](#):
>
> How important is it to Republicans that they nominate someone who can make the “dynasty” argument against Hillary?

Not very, I don’t think. It was always weak tea anyway.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/do_not_taunt/32/2968_2.png) [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Do_Not_Taunt)\
**Post date:** [June 16, 2015, 6:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/17 "2015-06-16T18:17:10Z")

</div>

> [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](#):
>
> If he maintains a centrist approach, he’ll win.

I just don’t see it. To a lot of voters, the question will basically be, which administration do you want to see over, Bill Clinton’s, or some amalgam of both Bushes’ (with more weight on GWB’s, since he served two terms, and they were more recent.) I think Clinton wins that hands-down. Between the historicity of Clinton’s campaign, the Dems’ structural advantage in the Electoral College, and Clinton’s advantage with low-information voters, I think a lot of things out of his control would have to break right for Bush.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2015, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/18 "2015-06-17T00:26:49Z")

</div>

> [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](#):
>
> . . . Clinton’s advantage with low-information voters . . .

That advantage belongs to the GOP in most races – what makes Clinton different?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2015, 12:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/19 "2015-06-17T00:43:53Z")

</div>

> [@BrainGlutton](#):
>
> That advantage belongs to the GOP in most races – what makes Clinton different?

I don’t think that’s really true, IIRC. Democrats have advantages with those that pay the least attention to current events and politics. How much of that is a proxy for class and education level is kind of hard to tease out.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2015, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672/20 "2015-06-17T01:52:45Z")

</div>

> [@Jas09](#):
>
> Democrats have advantages with those that pay the least attention to current events and politics.

Cite?

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/jeb-bush-campaign-for-potus-thread/722672.md?page=2)
