# Joe Arpaio is running for US Senate seat.

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/joe-arpaio-is-running-for-us-senate-seat/806246>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 9, 2018, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/joe-arpaio-is-running-for-us-senate-seat/806246 "2018-01-09T16:38:56Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 4

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**Author:** ![HurricaneDitka](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/96bed5/32.png) [@HurricaneDitka](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HurricaneDitka)\
**Post date:** [January 9, 2018, 5:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/joe-arpaio-is-running-for-us-senate-seat/806246/4 "2018-01-09T17:07:38Z")

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I started [a thread about this](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=834863) a few months ago. At the time I said:

> [@What are the odds we see Senator Arpaio?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-we-see-senator-arpaio/794953/4):
>
> … here’s my WAG thinking:
> 
> 1. 10% chance he runs
> 
> 2. (assuming he does run) 25% chance he wins the Republican nomination
> 
> 3. (assuming he wins the R nomination) 40% chance he wins the seat

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