# July 2020 Swing State Confidence Pool **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [July 20, 2020, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865 "2020-07-20T19:57:43Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 8\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [July 20, 2020, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/1 "2020-07-20T19:57:43Z")
Consider these 15 swing states/districts: Arizona Florida Georgia Iowa Maine Maine CD-02 Michigan Minnesota Nebraska CD-02 New Hampshire North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Texas Wisconsin For each of these choose whether the will go D or R in the 2020 presidential election, and then assign a confidence value from 1 to 15 to each. Each confidence value must be used exactly once. Points in the amount of the confidence value will be awarded for correct guesses and incorrect guesses will earn zero points i.e. assign 15 points to the race where you are most confident of the outcome and 1 point to the race where you are least confident. The total number of points earned will be used to rank entries from best to worst. My entry (subject to change, see below) looks like this… | Race | Party | Confidence | | --- | --- | --- | | Arizona | D | 6 | | Florida | D | 7 | | Georgia | R | 1 | | Iowa | R | 3 | | Maine | D | 15 | | Maine CD-02 | R | 5 | | Michigan | D | 12 | | Minnesota | D | 14 | | Nebraska CD-02 | D | 11 | | New Hampshire | D | 13 | | North Carolina | D | 4 | | Ohio | R | 2 | | Pennsylvania | D | 10 | | Texas | R | 8 | | Wisconsin | D | 9 | Entries will be accepted until July 31, 11:59:59 PM CDT. To enter, just post in this thread. Entires can be updated by posting again before the deadline. Most recent pre-deadline post will be the official entry. Per board rules there is no prize, monetary or otherwise, for winning this competition. [May thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/may-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/854693) [June thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/june-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/911840) ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [July 24, 2020, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/2 "2020-07-24T16:15:19Z")
About a week remains to enter. Less than 15 weeks to E-day. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [July 26, 2020, 7:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/3 "2020-07-26T19:42:17Z")
Here it is: AZ D 5 FL D 1 GA R 7 IA R 10 ME D 14 ME-02 R 2 MI D 6 MN D 12 NE-02 D 8 NH D 13 NC R 3 OH R 11 PA D 9 TX R 15 WI D 4 ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [July 26, 2020, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/4 "2020-07-26T20:03:11Z")
In terms of R vs. D, we disagree only on North Carolina. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [July 27, 2020, 3:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/5 "2020-07-27T15:37:32Z")
Anybody else? Accepting entries until 11:59:59 PM CT on Friday. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [July 28, 2020, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/6 "2020-07-28T02:53:58Z")
Arizona: D 5 Florida: D 3 Georgia: R 10 Iowa: R 6 Maine: D 11 Maine CD-02: D 7 Michigan: D 14 Minnesota: D 15 Nebraska CD-02: R 9 New Hampshire: D 13 North Carolina: D 2 Ohio: R 1 Pennsylvania: D 12 Texas: R 4 Wisconsin: D 8 ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [August 1, 2020, 2:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/7 "2020-08-01T02:36:28Z")
Get it in. Get it in. Get it in. 4 hours remains. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 13, 2020, 7:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/july-2020-swing-state-confidence-pool/915865/8 "2020-11-13T19:53:29Z")
Results of July contest. | Name | Month | Score | Hits | Misses | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | JKellyMap | July | 112 | 13 | 2 | | Lance\_Turbo | July | 108 | 12 | 3 | | Kolak\_of\_Twilo | July | 89 | 10 | 5 |