# Kerry Will Win the Election **URL:** \ **Category:** The BBQ Pit\ **Created:** [November 2, 2004, 10:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627 "2004-11-02T22:59:28Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 10:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/1 "2004-11-02T22:59:28Z")
Since most votes are already cast, perhaps I should say he already has. It’s pretty obvious now that this election will set a record for turnout. High turnouts generally favor two candidates: a) the challenger- like Tucker Carlson (!) said, people don’t vote in record numbers for more of the same; and b) the Democratic candidate. (Old and wealthy people always have the time to vote; young and poor people only vote when they really care). Plus, all the polls rely on “likely voters”; it doesn’t take into account the majority of likely anti-Bush voters- youngsters who will vote for the first time to get Bush out of office. That’s my take, do with it as you please. ---
**Author:** ![Berkut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/a88e57/32.png) [@Berkut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Berkut)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/2 "2004-11-02T23:00:45Z")
So who or what are you pitting? ---
**Author:** ![Lobsang](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lobsang/32/4067_2.png) [@Lobsang](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lobsang)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/3 "2004-11-02T23:04:18Z")
> [@Berkut](#): > > So who or what are you pitting? Er, I rather think this thread is going to end up belonging in the pit. ---
**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/4 "2004-11-02T23:05:10Z")
I think **RNATB** is just expecting flames. BTW: you forgot the Redskins game and Kennedy/Eisenhower. ---
**Author:** ![andros](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e480ec/32.png) [@andros](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/andros)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/5 "2004-11-02T23:06:51Z")
Won’t somebody please think of the _zaftig_ daytime talk show hosts? ---
**Author:** ![Lobsang](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lobsang/32/4067_2.png) [@Lobsang](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lobsang)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/6 "2004-11-02T23:07:00Z")
Before this thread/board goes crazy, I have a question: Is bush likely to stand in 4 years? ---
**Author:** ![MysteryFellow63427](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/a88e4f/32.png) [@MysteryFellow63427](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MysteryFellow63427)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/7 "2004-11-02T23:07:34Z")
Thank you for your bold prognostications, **Really Not All That Bright**. ---
**Author:** ![World\_Eater](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/f04885/32.png) [@World\_Eater](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/World_Eater)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/8 "2004-11-02T23:10:50Z")
Fuck man, for the love of whatever, don’t throw the jinx on us. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/9 "2004-11-02T23:13:15Z")
I predict that Kerry will win, Bush will win, or the Canadians will launch a sneak attack and Terence and Philip will reign over the new North American Hegemony. One of those. ---
**Author:** ![Miller](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/miller/32/481_2.png) [@Miller](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Miller)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/10 "2004-11-02T23:15:11Z")
> [@Lobsang](#): > > Before this thread/board goes crazy, I have a question: Is bush likely to stand in 4 years? Stand? Stand for what? ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/11 "2004-11-02T23:18:51Z")
> [@Lute Skywatcher](#): > > I think **RNATB** is just expecting flames. > > BTW: you forgot the Redskins game and Kennedy/Eisenhower. Sort of. I don’t expect to _be_ flamed; I haven’t said anything controversial. Somebody will, though, so I figured best to save the mods some trouble. This isn’t a victory party, nor do I want it to become one when the returns are in. Regardless of who wins the election, the status quo will pretty much hold up. Bush won’t invade any other countries, _Roe v. Wade_ won’t be overturned, and further tax cuts will never pass the Congress. We won’t be leaving Iraq anytime soon, even if Kerry wins, and I’m doubtful that he will be able to shift substantially more of the burden of rebuilding to the international community than Bush has. As Americans (a British citizen in my case, but I am becoming prouder to say an American, nonetheless) we have markedly similar views. We all think terrorists are bad people; we all like cake; we all think Celine Dion sucks. **Lob** - not a chance, IMHO. The Republican Party can field any number of candidates who can appeal to voters on better credentials than “I’ve already been to the Oval Office”, and they’ll have to. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Long\_Road](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/b5a626/32.png) [@The\_Long\_Road](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Long_Road)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/12 "2004-11-02T23:24:06Z")
Maybe the we are in a new election cycle. Kerry will be in the White House for 2 terms then Jeb Bush will go for one term, then a Dem will beat him and go for two terms, then another Bush will…ahhhhhh!!! We should do it just to fuck with future school kids who have to learn the presidents. ---
**Author:** ![andros](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e480ec/32.png) [@andros](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/andros)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/13 "2004-11-02T23:25:21Z")
> [@Gyrate](#): > > I predict that Kerry will win, Bush will win, or the Canadians will launch a sneak attack and Terence and Philip will reign over the new North American Hegemony. > > One of those. Oh, shut your fucking face, you unclefucker. ---
**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/14 "2004-11-02T23:26:51Z")
I’d take the OP with a grain of salt, since the OP is really not all that bright. ---
**Author:** ![World\_Eater](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/f04885/32.png) [@World\_Eater](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/World_Eater)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/15 "2004-11-02T23:27:30Z")
> [@The Long Road](#): > > Maybe the we are in a new election cycle. Kerry will be in the White House for 2 terms then Jeb Bush will go for one term, then a Dem will beat him and go for two terms, then another Bush will…ahhhhhh!!! As far as the next Bush, I’d say that little Latino 20 or so year old cousin all the chicks dig. He’s like their JohnJohn or something. ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/16 "2004-11-02T23:29:47Z")
> [@Gorsnak](#): > > I’d take the OP with a grain of salt, since the OP is really not all that bright. I’m really not all that bright. My OP, on the other hand, is spot on. Take it as Gospel, and if you haven’t voted yet and planned on voting for Bush, don’t bother, you know, because it won’t matter 😉 ---
**Author:** ![Diogenes\_the\_Cynic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e99b99/32.png) [@Diogenes\_the\_Cynic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Diogenes_the_Cynic)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/17 "2004-11-02T23:37:09Z")
Now, now, **Reakky** , it’s not sporting to discourage our opposition from voting. I heartily encourage them to go right out tomorrow and vote. 😉 ---
**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/18 "2004-11-02T23:38:21Z")
> [@Really Not All That Bright](#): > > I’m really not all that bright. My OP, on the other hand, is spot on. Take it as Gospel, and if you haven’t voted yet and planned on voting for Bush, don’t bother, you know, because it won’t matter 😉 I voted back in June, but if I had planned on voting for Bush, I’d have to have been planning on a really long drive followed by voting fraud. Not much chance I’d head south to North Dakota just to try to convince an election official that my name really is on the list. And I really hope your OP is right, but I just couldn’t resist being a smartass. ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/19 "2004-11-02T23:43:48Z")
> [@Gorsnak](#): > > I voted back in June, but if I had planned on voting for Bush, I’d have to have been planning on a really long drive followed by voting fraud. Not much chance I’d head south to North Dakota just to try to convince an election official that my name really is on the list. > > And I really hope your OP is right, but I just couldn’t resist being a smartass. Better than a dumbass. 😃 I’m not going to mention how long it took me to figure out that you meant you were Canadian, because if I said it took five minutes you’d all laugh at me. ---
**Author:** ![GaWd](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/f08c70/32.png) [@GaWd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GaWd)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627/20 "2004-11-02T23:57:54Z")
> [@Really Not All That Bright](#): > > I’m not going to mention how long it took me to figure out that you meant you were Canadian, because if I said it took five minutes you’d all laugh at me. And if you said 10 minutes you’d be honest… 😃 [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/kerry-will-win-the-election/272627.md?page=2)