Are you just making this stuff up and do you have something like a cite to back this up?
I would need evidence to believe it, but if your credibility can be attested to I would not take the default position that you were lying. I can’t imagine that the evidence would be look much different regardless of the kind object you pulled out the ground.
Exactly. So why not look at the factors that are causative instead of honing in on the thing that happens to be merely correlated with the pertinent factors. Using race-based statistics has just as much merit as looking at statistics for food and musical preferences. Those things may also correlate with the risk factors, too, but they are not determinants and shouldn’t be treated as such. There may be few reports of rape commited by men who listen to Led Zeppelin against women who listen to Anita Baker, but that doesn’t mean that music preference is relevant.
But if I told you that my next door neighbor, a college student, does not make a lot of noise or has any parties should you doubt what I’m saying? Should you not believe me, just because it defies conventional wisdom?
Now I’m wondering how you would know what a Russian mob would do.
By applying the stats the way you have been, you are. It’s not necessary to actually say something when the very fact that we are having this discussion says that is the underlying principle to your argument. Otherwise, you’d be joining me in saying that they are irrelevant.
The above goes for everything else you said.
The only evidence is what the witness asserts, though. That evidence has as much weight as the accuser, in this case, identifying three white men as her attackers. So if you admit that a witness fingering a one-armed Chinese man changes your assessment–even though the stats tell you that one-armed Chinese attackers are rare–you have to do the same with this case. Or else you’re being inconsistent.
If the accuser claimed to have been raped and had no idea of who did it, I’d be more inclined to use what is generally understood about rape in deciding what race was likely involved. Most rapists are acquaintaces of the victim and, as result (due to those pesky correlated factors again!) are more likely to be of the same race. But if the accuser is saying she was raped by white men, there is nothing on the face of that allegation that makes me say that is unlikely.
Especially, since while there is a lot we don’t know about this case, some things that we do know suggest that the moon and sun may have been aligned in just the right way to make the rarest of rare events (that being, white-on-black rape likely enough to not warrant extra skepticism.
