# Make Your Final Iowa Caucus Predictions Here! **URL:** \ **Category:** Great Debates\ **Created:** [January 3, 2008, 3:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130 "2008-01-03T15:06:00Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 3:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/1 "2008-01-03T15:06:00Z")
It’s all going down tonight, and the last pre-caucus polls ([Dem](http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html#polls), [GOP](http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_republican_caucus-207.html#polls)) are all in. So, if ye be sufficiently brave of heart and crazy of head to give your WAGs for the 1-2-3 finishers in each party, this is the place, and now is the time! Feel free to include percentages, for extra bragging rights if you’re on target. 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 3:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/2 "2008-01-03T15:07:57Z")
Here’s mine: Dems: a squeaker. Edwards 34% Obama 32% Clinton 31% GOP: not so much. Huckster 33% Oven Mitt 26% St. John 15% ---
**Author:** ![Sprockets](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/35a633/32.png) [@Sprockets](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sprockets)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 3:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/3 "2008-01-03T15:38:19Z")
I’m 100% sure that someone who shouldn’t be put in charge of a pissup in a brewery will “win.” ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 3:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/4 "2008-01-03T15:56:03Z")
[QUOTE=RTFirefly] Here’s mine: Dems: a squeaker. Edwards 34% Obama 32% Clinton 31% GOP: not so much. Huckster 33% Oven Mitt 26% St. John 15% [/QUOTE] Can you give us a hint as to which side you’re cheering for? 🙂 Christ, this thing is just too close to call. But, I think if HRC wins on the Dems side, it’s pretty much over for them. That’ll be too bad, because I’d really like to see Obama keeping her honest at least, even if he doesn’t win. ---
**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 4:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/5 "2008-01-03T16:08:37Z")
My predictions: no-one will win by a big majority. Fred Thompson will come nowhere and bow out. Long term: Fred will be a serious contender for the VP slot. ---
**Author:** ![Lamar\_Mundane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/85f322/32.png) [@Lamar\_Mundane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lamar_Mundane)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 4:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/6 "2008-01-03T16:21:31Z")
Democratic: Almost all of the “non-qualifiers” throw their support to Obama and he wins in a surprising easy fashion. Obama 38% Clinton 28% Edwards 28% Republican: Romney should win here easily, but I think we’ll see the beginnings of an anti-Mormon vote, and he’ll come in lower than expected. Huckabee 34% Romney 26% The rest are all going to remain viable because the Republican rules are different, but you could throw them all up in the air and they’ll all land with between 6 and 10% of the vote. ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 4:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/7 "2008-01-03T16:27:26Z")
I think Hill will take the Dem’s slot. Just based on how the Dems do their caucusing (which is different from the Pubs). Her organization will pull off a victory as her supporters strong-arm their undecided friends and neighbors. But it won’t be by much. ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/8 "2008-01-03T16:50:45Z")
[QUOTE=John Mace] Can you give us a hint as to which side you’re cheering for? 🙂 [/quote] Nah, I want to preserve my reputation for unbiased impartiality. 😃 ---
**Author:** ![Mr.Moto](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9de0a6/32.png) [@Mr.Moto](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr.Moto)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 4:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/9 "2008-01-03T16:54:33Z")
[QUOTE=Quartz] My predictions: no-one will win by a big majority. Fred Thompson will come nowhere and bow out. [/QUOTE] There are a lot of states in play so early this year that I’d be surprised to see Thompson bail before February. ---
**Author:** ![Liberal](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/848f3c/32.png) [@Liberal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Liberal)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/10 "2008-01-03T17:21:54Z")
[QUOTE=RTFirefly] GOP: not so much. Huckster 33% Oven Mitt 26% St. John 15% [/QUOTE] Who is St. John? And why is Oven Mitt even remotely clever? Are you calling him a Nazi or something? D’oh. McCain. ---
**Author:** ![stolichnaya](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/bcef8e/32.png) [@stolichnaya](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/stolichnaya)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/11 "2008-01-03T17:22:18Z")
What the hey. Obama: 35% Edwards: 30% Clinton: 25% Huck: 33% Romney: 25% McCain: 20% ---
**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/12 "2008-01-03T17:26:02Z")
For the good guys: Obama 40 Edwards 32 Clinton 25 For the other guys: Hucklebee 40 Romney 32 McCain 12 ---
**Author:** ![wonky](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wonky/32/393_2.png) [@wonky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wonky)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/13 "2008-01-03T17:36:27Z")
I’m just guessing. Obama Clinton Edwards Obama wins by a nice margin. Clinton and Edwards basically tied. Romney Huckabee These two essentially tied with Romney coming out a little ahead. Then McCain trailing them. And Fred Thompson’s support doesn’t show up. ---
**Author:** ![GrandWino](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/grandwino/32/67_2.png) [@GrandWino](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GrandWino)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/14 "2008-01-03T17:41:53Z")
**Dems** Obama 32% Edwards 28% Hilary - 27% All others in single digits. Possible Biden coming in a surprisingly strong 4th. **GOP** Huckabee - 36% Romney - 29% McCain/Thompson tied at around 10 or 11% each. ---
**Author:** ![Spoke](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a88e57/32.png) [@Spoke](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoke)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/15 "2008-01-03T17:45:43Z")
Edwards - 35% Obama - 34% Hillary - 28% Huckabee - 34% Romney - 26% McCain - 18% ---
**Author:** ![Grits\_and\_Hard\_Toast](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a183cd/32.png) [@Grits\_and\_Hard\_Toast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Grits_and_Hard_Toast)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/16 "2008-01-03T17:49:10Z")
Obama 34 Edwards 33 Clinton 30 Romney 28 Huckabee 25 McCain 17 All of the above will be quoted saying whatever % they got was better than they had hoped, that they are encouraged, that their results show the American people are responding well to their message. The also rans will say they didn’t expect much in Iowa anyway, that it will be the next one that matters… ---
**Author:** ![Malodorous](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e47774/32.png) [@Malodorous](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malodorous)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/17 "2008-01-03T18:08:37Z")
[QUOTE=Grits and Hard Toast] All of the above will be quoted saying whatever % they got was better than they had hoped, that they are encouraged, that their results show the American people are responding well to their message. [/QUOTE] I’m looking forward to Barack’s “Obama-mentum” speech later tonight. ---
**Author:** ![42fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/4/b487fb/32.png) [@42fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/42fish)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 11:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/18 "2008-01-03T23:00:52Z")
Since they haven’t started caucusing yet… Dems: Clinton 31% Obama 29% Edwards 26% Reps: Huckabee: 34% Romney: 27% McCain: 12% ---
**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 11:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/19 "2008-01-03T23:12:35Z")
Hucklebee and Hillary, the “winners”. ---
**Author:** ![athelas](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/5e9695/32.png) [@athelas](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/athelas)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2008, 11:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130/20 "2008-01-03T23:14:35Z")
Hillary wins by 7%; Huckabee by 3%. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/make-your-final-iowa-caucus-predictions-here/432130.md?page=2)