# May 2020 probabilistic senate prediction competition

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/may-2020-probabilistic-senate-prediction-competition/853889>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [May 15, 2020, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/may-2020-probabilistic-senate-prediction-competition/853889 "2020-05-15T22:54:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 24

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [May 17, 2020, 7:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/may-2020-probabilistic-senate-prediction-competition/853889/24 "2020-05-17T19:23:55Z")

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I won’t bet you for two reasons…

> [@New Rules for Politics and Elections – January 2020](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-rules-for-politics-and-elections-january-2020/845727/1):
>
> **No betting.** Gambling between posters in GD and Politics and Elections over debate outcomes or real world events is forbidden. In the past we’ve had posters use this as a rhetorical device to abuse other posters and accuse them of lacking the courage of their convictions. It’s a jerk move we have decided to no longer allow.

> [@U.S. Senate races 2020](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/33):
>
> I don’t bet on political races.

If you don’t wish to participate in this competition, just don’t participate.

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